The FIFA Club World Cup has been full of chaos and curveballs, yet the odds still scream status quo. That’s where we come in. We’ve scouted Day 12’s match-ups and found three golden value picks hiding in plain sight. Back the lot and you could be looking at a tasty £76.50 return.

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City slips, Juve strikes and a quiet exit – Day 12’s unmissable picks!

This tournament’s been a rollercoaster: we’ve had controversy, mixed motivations, and results flying in from all angles. Which, for punters like us, is an absolute goldmine. Even with just two fixtures on the slate, the value’s there if you know where to look. And guess what? We do.

MatchMarketOdds from bet365Returns from £10
Juventus vs Man CityJuventus of Draw (Double Chance)19/20£19.50
Juventus vs Man CityKenan Yıldız To Score15/4£37.50
WAC Casablanca vs Al AinUnder 2.5 Goals19/20£19.50

Juventus vs Man City : Juventus or Draw (Double Chance)

This double chance bet might’ve made you do a double take, but hear us out. Thanks to sky-high expectations for City, you’re getting near-evens odds on two out of three possible outcomes between a couple of Europe’s finest.

Yes, Man City are elite. But they’re not untouchable — just look at their loss to Crystal Palace in the FA Cup final for proof. And that was a match City really wanted to win. Here? They’ve already booked their knockout spot, and we reckon they’ll be coasting through this one with half an eye on bigger fish.

Ambition often breeds apathy in lesser tournaments, and Juventus look perfectly poised to pounce. Taking a scalp like City’s means a lot more to them and that extra fire could be the edge they need to snatch a win or, at the very least, a draw.

Let’s talk numbers: in the 2024/25 Premier League, City won 21 games but dropped points in 17, that’s a win rate of 55% in the comp they care most about. Factor in a dip in motivation here, and that percentage plummets. Yet the bookies are offering 10/11 (52.4% implied) for a Juventus double chance as if this were any other match. It’s an oversight we highly recommend you exploit.

Juventus vs Man City: Kenan Yıldız To Score

If Juventus want to walk away with a win or even a draw against one of the Premier League’s finest, they’ll need to make friends with the back of the net in 90 minutes. And we reckon Turkish forward Kenan Yıldız is the man for the job.

While Man City have been moaning about the heat, Yıldız has been cranking it up, getting on the scoresheet in their 5–0 roasting of Al Ain and then bagging a brace against WAC Casablanca.

Once again, it’s a case of the bookies not clocking the context. At 10/3 odds, they’re giving him just a 23.1% chance of scoring. That’s barely an upgrade on his 20% strike rate in Serie A last season. Put simply, Yıldız has found a new gear but bookies have barely moved their dial.

We’d peg his chances at closer to 40%, which makes this bet as satisfying as sipping a glass a Bicerin before breakfast.

WAC Casablanca vs Al Ain : Under 2.5 Goals

With both sides already out of the knockout stage this one’s more of a send-off than a showdown as Wydad and Al Ain get ready to head back to the day job in their home leagues.

Chances are this match will be more damp squib than fireworks display so why not liven it up with what we reckon is the best value bet on the board: Under 2.5 Goals.

Forget their outings against Juventus and Man City, those were outliers against top-tier opposition. Five goals, six goals? That’s not the norm for either side. Strip those away, and you’ll see Wydad have gone under 2.5 goals in three of their last five, and Al-Ain in four of their last five. That’s 7 out of 10 combined, or a 70% hit rate.

Add to that the likelihood motivation will be thinner than airline tea and we’d nudge that chance up to 80% easy. So, if you fancy squeezing some excitement out of this last-call kickabout, this sneaky value bet might just turn a yawner into a belter. After all, what’s more fun than winning?

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