After 17 gruelling weeks, it all comes down to this. It’s the final gameweek of the regular season, and there’s still a lot to play for on so many counts. Our Week 18 sharp money report is live as we once again look ahead to see where the value lies.
Four teams are still in the hunt for the two remaining playoff spots, and as luck would have it, they are all in action against each other. The Ravens (8-8) take on the Steelers (9-7) for the final AFC spot, and in the NFC, the Panthers (8-8) travel to the Buccs (7-9).
On top of this, we’re still looking to see who will tie in those lucrative number one seeds, with the 49ers and Seahawks battling in the NFC, and the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC. It should be a cracker, so let’s jump straight into the NFL Week 18 sharp money report for the last time in the 2025-26 regular season.
NFL Week 18 Public Betting and Sharp Money Cheat Sheet
It’s a full fixture list live for Week 18 and 16 games to choose from. The lines have been compared across the best NFL betting sites, and our cheat sheet is locked and loaded below.
| Game | Bets % / Money % | Public vs Sharps | Line Movement | Best Play | Confidence | RLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers @ Buccaneers | CAR: 68 / 72 TB: 32 / 28 | Public Panthers Sharps Buccaneers | Open: TB -7 Current: TB -3 | Buccaneers -3 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Seahawks @ 49ers | SEA: 33 / 34 SF: 67 / 66 | Public 49ers Sharps Seahawks | Open: SEA +4.5 Current: SEA -2.5 | Seahawks -2.5 | 8.0 (Strong) | Yes |
| Packers @ Vikings | GB: 69 / 40 MIN: 31 / 60 | Public Packers Sharps Vikings | Open: GB -1.5 Current: GB +9.5 | Vikings -9.5 | 7.5 (Strong) | Yes |
| Colts @ Texans | IND: 47 / 37 HOU: 53 / 63 | Public Texans Sharps Texans | Open: HOU -4.5 Current: HOU -10 | Colts +10 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Dolphins @ Patriots | MIA: 34 / 25 NE: 66 / 75 | Public Patriots Sharps Patriots | Open: NE -2.5 Current: NE -11.5 | Dolphins +11.5 | 6.0 (Med–Strong) | No |
| Chiefs @ Raiders | KC: 55 / 68 LV: 45 / 32 | Public Chiefs Sharps Chiefs | Open: KC -6 Current: KC -5.5 | Raiders +5.5 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Lions @ Bears | DET: 46 / 41 CHI: 54 / 59 | Public Bears Sharps Bears | Open: DET -1.5 Current: CHI -2.5 | Lions +3 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Jets @ Bills | NYJ: 16 / 38 BUF: 84 / 62 | Public Bills Sharps Jets | Open: NYJ +9.5 Current: NYJ +7.5 | Jets +7.5 | 7.0 (Strong) | Yes |
| Ravens @ Steelers | BAL: 44 / 49 PIT: 56 / 51 | Public Steelers Sharps Steelers | Open: BAL -4 Current: BAL -4 | Steelers +4 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Browns @ Bengals | CLE: 45 / 39 CIN: 55 / 61 | Public Bengals Sharps Bengals | Open: CLE +8.5 Current: CLE +7.5 | Browns +7.5 | 6.5 (Med–Strong) | Yes |
| Cowboys @ Giants | DAL: 62 / 53 NYG: 38 / 47 | Public Cowboys Sharps Giants | Open: DAL -1.5 Current: DAL -3.5 | Giants +3.5 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Commanders @ Eagles | WAS: 24 / 30 PHI: 76 / 70 | Public Eagles Sharps Commanders | Open: WAS +4.5 Current: WAS +4 | Commanders +4 | 6.5 (Med–Strong) | Yes |
| Saints @ Falcons | NO: 51 / 49 ATL: 49 / 51 | Public Saints Sharps Falcons | Open: ATL -5.5 Current: ATL -3.5 | Saints +3.5 | 5.0 (Medium) | No |
| Cardinals @ Rams | ARI: 3 / 26 LAR: 97 / 74 | Public Rams Sharps Rams | Open: LAR -4.5 Current: LAR -8.5 | Cardinals +8.5 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
| Chargers @ Broncos | LAC: 42 / 27 DEN: 58 / 73 | Public Broncos Sharps Broncos | Open: DEN -2.5 Current: DEN -13.5 | Chargers +13.5 | 6.0 (Med–Strong) | No |
| Titans @ Jaguars | TEN: 40 / 36 JAX: 60 / 64 | Public Jaguars Sharps Jaguars | Open: JAX -4.5 Current: JAX -13.5 | Titans +13.5 | 5.5 (Medium) | No |
Best Value Predictions for Week 18 – Top Picks
We’ve got three picks that week that we really like the look of in terms of the market. Each has reverse line movement (RLM), a key metric to finding the best NFL value picks.
| Game | Public vs Sharps | Best Play | Confidence | RLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks @ 49ers | Public: SF Sharps: SEA | Seahawks -2.5 | 8.0 (Strong) | Yes |
| Packers @ Vikings | Public: GB Sharps: MIN | Vikings -9.5 | 7.5 (Strong) | Yes |
| Jets @ Bills | Public: BUF Sharps: NYJ | Jets +7.5 | 7.0 (Strong) | Yes |
It’s all or nothing in the NFC for the number one seed as the Seahawks travel to the 49ers. It’s been a crazy market, opening with the Seahawks at +4.5, and despite the public and the volume of money piling in on the 49ers, the line has shifted massively towards the Seahawks. If you got on the Seahawks at +4.5, then kudos to you, but even at -2.5 this is still the play and one of our biggest confidence ratings (8) for some weeks now.
It’s job done for the Packers as they locked in their playoff spot last week. The Vikings have narrowly missed out, but are still a dangerous team, especially at home. Expect a lot of the changes from GB this week, and even though the public has lumped on the Packers, the sharps have opposed heavily, seeing the Vikings' line move from +1.5 to -9.5. Classic reverse line movement here, and we are liking this play a lot, even with a big line.
A really interesting market here for the Jets against the Bills. Both the money and public are strongly with the Bills, but the line has shortened for the Jets from +9.5 to +7.5. It’s not a huge move in terms of the line, but given how bad the Jets have been and the consensus firmly with the Bills here, it ticks our RLM box and makes up the final play for Week 18.
2025-26 NFL Sharp Money Season Results
As we enter the final game of the Regular Season, we can now lock in that we will be in profit before the playoffs. It’s proven that this method of following the money and market shifts works, and as you can see from our results, the system has only improved as the season has gone on.
| Week | Games | Best | Wins | Losses | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 73.33 |
| 3 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 46.67 |
| 4 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 41.67 |
| 5 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.54 |
| 6 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46.15 |
| 7 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.54 |
| 8 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 61.54 |
| 9 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 69.23 |
| 10 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 57.14 |
| 11 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53.33 |
| 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 76.92 |
| 13 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43.75 |
| 14 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 64.29 |
| 15 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 68.75 |
| 16 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50.00 |
| 17 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 68.75 |
| Total | 239 | 227 | 134 | 93 | 59.03 |