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After 17 gruelling weeks, it all comes down to this. It’s the final gameweek of the regular season, and there’s still a lot to play for on so many counts. Our Week 18 sharp money report is live as we once again look ahead to see where the value lies.

Week 18 NFL Sharp Betting Report
NFL Week 18 Sharp Money and Public Betting Report

Four teams are still in the hunt for the two remaining playoff spots, and as luck would have it, they are all in action against each other. The Ravens (8-8) take on the Steelers (9-7) for the final AFC spot, and in the NFC, the Panthers (8-8) travel to the Buccs (7-9).

On top of this, we’re still looking to see who will tie in those lucrative number one seeds, with the 49ers and Seahawks battling in the NFC, and the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC. It should be a cracker, so let’s jump straight into the NFL Week 18 sharp money report for the last time in the 2025-26 regular season.

NFL Week 18 Public Betting and Sharp Money Cheat Sheet

It’s a full fixture list live for Week 18 and 16 games to choose from. The lines have been compared across the best NFL betting sites, and our cheat sheet is locked and loaded below.

GameBets % / Money %Public vs SharpsLine MovementBest PlayConfidenceRLM
Panthers @ BuccaneersCAR: 68 / 72

TB: 32 / 28
Public Panthers

Sharps Buccaneers
Open: TB -7

Current: TB -3
Buccaneers -35.5 (Medium)No
Seahawks @ 49ersSEA: 33 / 34

SF: 67 / 66
Public 49ers

Sharps Seahawks
Open: SEA +4.5

Current: SEA -2.5
Seahawks -2.58.0 (Strong)Yes
Packers @ VikingsGB: 69 / 40

MIN: 31 / 60
Public Packers

Sharps Vikings
Open: GB -1.5

Current: GB +9.5
Vikings -9.57.5 (Strong)Yes
Colts @ TexansIND: 47 / 37

HOU: 53 / 63
Public Texans

Sharps Texans
Open: HOU -4.5

Current: HOU -10
Colts +105.5 (Medium)No
Dolphins @ PatriotsMIA: 34 / 25

NE: 66 / 75
Public Patriots

Sharps Patriots
Open: NE -2.5

Current: NE -11.5
Dolphins +11.56.0 (Med–Strong)No
Chiefs @ RaidersKC: 55 / 68

LV: 45 / 32
Public Chiefs

Sharps Chiefs
Open: KC -6

Current: KC -5.5
Raiders +5.55.5 (Medium)No
Lions @ BearsDET: 46 / 41

CHI: 54 / 59
Public Bears

Sharps Bears
Open: DET -1.5

Current: CHI -2.5
Lions +35.5 (Medium)No
Jets @ BillsNYJ: 16 / 38

BUF: 84 / 62
Public Bills

Sharps Jets
Open: NYJ +9.5

Current: NYJ +7.5
Jets +7.57.0 (Strong)Yes
Ravens @ SteelersBAL: 44 / 49

PIT: 56 / 51
Public Steelers

Sharps Steelers
Open: BAL -4

Current: BAL -4
Steelers +45.5 (Medium)No
Browns @ BengalsCLE: 45 / 39

CIN: 55 / 61
Public Bengals

Sharps Bengals
Open: CLE +8.5

Current: CLE +7.5
Browns +7.56.5 (Med–Strong)Yes
Cowboys @ GiantsDAL: 62 / 53

NYG: 38 / 47
Public Cowboys

Sharps Giants
Open: DAL -1.5

Current: DAL -3.5
Giants +3.55.5 (Medium)No
Commanders @ EaglesWAS: 24 / 30

PHI: 76 / 70
Public Eagles

Sharps Commanders
Open: WAS +4.5

Current: WAS +4
Commanders +46.5 (Med–Strong)Yes
Saints @ FalconsNO: 51 / 49

ATL: 49 / 51
Public Saints

Sharps Falcons
Open: ATL -5.5

Current: ATL -3.5
Saints +3.55.0 (Medium)No
Cardinals @ RamsARI: 3 / 26

LAR: 97 / 74
Public Rams

Sharps Rams
Open: LAR -4.5

Current: LAR -8.5
Cardinals +8.55.5 (Medium)No
Chargers @ BroncosLAC: 42 / 27

DEN: 58 / 73
Public Broncos

Sharps Broncos
Open: DEN -2.5

Current: DEN -13.5
Chargers +13.56.0 (Med–Strong)No
Titans @ JaguarsTEN: 40 / 36

JAX: 60 / 64
Public Jaguars

Sharps Jaguars
Open: JAX -4.5

Current: JAX -13.5
Titans +13.55.5 (Medium)No

Best Value Predictions for Week 18 – Top Picks

We’ve got three picks that week that we really like the look of in terms of the market. Each has reverse line movement (RLM), a key metric to finding the best NFL value picks.

GamePublic vs SharpsBest PlayConfidenceRLM
Seahawks @ 49ersPublic: SF

Sharps: SEA
Seahawks -2.58.0 (Strong)Yes
Packers @ VikingsPublic: GB

Sharps: MIN
Vikings -9.57.5 (Strong)Yes
Jets @ BillsPublic: BUF

Sharps: NYJ
Jets +7.57.0 (Strong)Yes
Seahawks @ 49ers: Confidence 8.0 – Seahawks -2.5
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It’s all or nothing in the NFC for the number one seed as the Seahawks travel to the 49ers. It’s been a crazy market, opening with the Seahawks at +4.5, and despite the public and the volume of money piling in on the 49ers, the line has shifted massively towards the Seahawks. If you got on the Seahawks at +4.5, then kudos to you, but even at -2.5 this is still the play and one of our biggest confidence ratings (8) for some weeks now.

Packers @ Vikings: Confidence 7.5 – Vikings -9.5
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It’s job done for the Packers as they locked in their playoff spot last week. The Vikings have narrowly missed out, but are still a dangerous team, especially at home. Expect a lot of the changes from GB this week, and even though the public has lumped on the Packers, the sharps have opposed heavily, seeing the Vikings' line move from +1.5 to -9.5. Classic reverse line movement here, and we are liking this play a lot, even with a big line.

Jets @ Bills: Confidence 7 – Jets +7.5
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A really interesting market here for the Jets against the Bills. Both the money and public are strongly with the Bills, but the line has shortened for the Jets from +9.5 to +7.5. It’s not a huge move in terms of the line, but given how bad the Jets have been and the consensus firmly with the Bills here, it ticks our RLM box and makes up the final play for Week 18.

2025-26 NFL Sharp Money Season Results

As we enter the final game of the Regular Season, we can now lock in that we will be in profit before the playoffs. It’s proven that this method of following the money and market shifts works, and as you can see from our results, the system has only improved as the season has gone on.

WeekGamesBestWinsLossesWin %
1N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
2161511473.33
316157846.67
416125741.67
514138561.54
615136746.15
714138561.54
813138561.54
914139469.23
1014148657.14
1115158753.33
12141410376.92
1316167943.75
1414149564.29
15161611568.75
1616168850.00
17161611568.75
Total2392271349359.03
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