Mercedes' dominance looks set to continue at the Formula 1 Japanese Grand Prix, but another close battle between the teammates is brewing. Here, we analyse the favourites and provide you with the best betting tips ahead of the action.
Formula 1 Japan 2026 | Latest Odds on Winner & Podium
| Driver | Winner Odds (Bookmaker) | Podium Finish Odds (Bookmaker) |
|---|---|---|
| George Russell | 4/7 (Betfred) | 1/8 (Ladbrokes) |
| Kimi Antonelli | 14/5 (Unibet) | 1/5 (BetMGM) |
| Lewis Hamilton | 18/1 (Unibet) | 4/1 (Betfred) |
| Charles Leclerc | 23/1 (Matchbook) | 13/10 (Unibet) |
| Lando Norris | 25/1 (Matchbook) | 18/5 (QuinnBet) |
F1 Japanese Grand Prix Weather Forecast
The F1 forecast for Suzuka predicts ideal conditions for qualifying and race day. Minimal wind, around 15°C, with sunshine and light clouds.
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F1 Japanese Grand Prix 2026 Tips: The Favourites Analysed
George Russell – Wait for Qualifying
Suzuka is no easy track for overtaking and Mercedes won't push both drivers to the limit. If Russell takes the front wing on Saturday, a second win of the season for the Brit looks likely.
Kimi Antonelli – Wait for Qualifying
We recommend the same for Mercedes' second driver. We accept a slight drift in the F1 Japan Grand Prix odds and we recomment you only back him if the teenager takes pole for the second race running.
Lewis Hamilton – Top-3 Bet
After P3 in China, things look to be improving for the seven-time world champion . The new driving style suits the veteran, so we expect Hamilton ahead of his teammate again.
Charles Leclerc – Live Bet
The current odds on Ferrari's second driver look less promising. If Leclerc slips past his teammate in the opening laps or keeps him behind, it's worth an in-play punt.
Lando Norris – No Bet
50-second deficit in Australia and a technical issue in China – Lando Norris and McLaren aren't podium contenders right now. Despite the big F1 Japan odds, it's not worth it.
Extra Tip for the Japanese F1 Grand Prix
At the top Formula 1 betting sites, you'll find a range of special markets for the Japanese Grand Prix. One of them offers value – the bet on Safety Car deployment.
| Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Safety car – Yes | 4/9 (Ladbrokes) |
