The last promotional spot is up for grabs as Sheffield United take on Sunderland in the Championship Play-off Final. We’ve sniffed out a tempting trio of undervalued markets that combine for odds of 24/5, enough to bag you £58 from a tenner. Low risk, high reward – not a bad shout at all.
We think Sheffield United are clear favourites to not just win the Championship Play-Off, but to boss it. The bookies aren’t quite as convinced and that’s where the value lies. It’s opened the door to a cracking acca where a few sharp selections, all following the same logic, could land you a hefty return.
| Acca Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Sheffield United to Win in Regular Time | 58/50 |
| Trai Hume to be Shown a Card | 51/40 |
| Over 7.5 Corners | 7/40 |
BET 1: Sheffield United to Win in Regular Time (Odds 58/50)
Anything can happen in football but let’s be honest, it’s hard to see Sunderland as anything other than heavy underdogs here. They finished 14 points behind Sheffield United in the Championship, have lost their last five on the bounce and clocked up 13 defeats this season compared to just eight for the Blades.
To be fair, their semi-final against Coventry was a proper treat -122 minutes of cracking football capped off by Ballard’s last-gasp winner. Absolute cinema. But even so, the contrast is clear. Sheffield United cruised through their tie while Sunderland had to scrap every inch to get here.
Add to that the fact most of Sunderland’s points came earlier in the season and it starts to look like the Blades take this one comfortably in regular time. Even the 59/50 odds, which imply a 45.9% chance, feel well on the stingy side. We’d put it closer to 70 or even 75% based on just about every stat going.
Bet 2: Trai Hume to be Shown a Card (Odds 51/40)
Over the last couple of seasons, Trai Hume has picked up 12–14 cards in just over 40 matches. That gives him a 25–30% chance of getting booked any time he steps on the pitch.
And this isn’t just any old match. Everything’s on the line here. No holding back, no second chances. Sunderland’s future hangs in the balance. Honestly, the chances of a full-throttle, in-your-face full-back like Hume not getting carded in this kind of environment, with the Blades piling on the pressure, seem vanishingly slim.
Bookies have this just under evens at 51/40, which is around 44% implied probability. We’d say it’s closer to 75%, maybe even 80%. Value? Absolutely.
Bet 3: Over 7.5 Corners (Odds 7/40)
This is a nice little low-risk bet to round things off and give those returns a bit of a boost. According to our corners stats table, both teams have gone over 7.5 corners in 74% of their last five matches.
Now, 7/40 gives an implied probability of 85.1%, but we still reckon this is cracking value. In a match with this much on the line you can expect both sides to be pushing forward at every opportunity, met by full-blooded defending as neither wants to let a shot at Premier League promotion slip away.
In other words, it’s the perfect recipe for more corners than a Müller factory. This one? We’d say the true probability is closer to 95%.
Back This Value-Packed Acca with Parimatch and Grab £20 in Free Bets
All the odds above come from Parimatch, who not only offer some of the best returns going but also dish out some of the finest free bets and promos for UK punters.
And have we got a doozy for this one.
Sign up to Parimatch, opt into their “Bet £10 Get £20 in Free Bets” Sports Welcome Offer, and place a £10+ bet. The minimum odds for a qualifying acca are 2/1 and our accumulator sails right past that.
That’s it. Once your bet is settled, win or lose, you’ll bag £20 in free bets. That includes:
• £5 free bet on any sport
• £5 free bet on a football bet builder (4-fold or higher)
• £5 free bet on a double, treble or higher
• £5 free bet on any sport except horse racing
So, for a tenner, you’re getting five shots to land a winner. We reckon this acca is a monster of value, and this offer just goes and supersizes it.
