Two out-of-sorts Premier League giants are scrapping to salvage a miserable season with a shot at European silverware and we reckon the bookies have it backwards. We've lined up four smart picks at a juicy 14/1, with a tenner landing you £150 if it comes good, all hinging on a United win to lead the charge.
Mark your calendars: at 8pm on 21st May, the Europa League reaches its dramatic conclusion as Tottenham face off against Manchester United. It’s shaping up to be a cracking night of football and even better for punters, with loads of value markets up for grabs.
We’ve handpicked four underrated selections and bundled them into one monster acca. Pound for pound, we reckon it’s one of the sharpest punts out there when it comes to balancing risk and reward.
| Acca Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Manchester United to Lift the Trophy | 8/11 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 10/11 |
| Bruno Fernandez To Score Anytime | 11/5 |
| Casemiro To Be Booked | 6/4 |
Bet 1: Manchester United to Lift the Trophy (Odds 8/11)
While The Red Devils have endured one of their worst Premier League campaigns in recent memory, their Europa League form has told a very different tale, capped off by a dominant 7-1 aggregate win over Athletic Bilbao.
United haven’t been flawless in Europe, but they’ve looked bold, created chances, and, crucially, played like a side that actually wants it. Basically, everything they’ve not been back home.
Spurs, on the other hand, have mostly scraped through. Not completely toothless, but definitely in need of some sharpening. They’ll give it a go, no doubt, but based on European form alone, United look to have just that bit more firepower to get the job done.
A 8/11 shot with a 57.9% implied probability? We reckon it’s closer to 3/4. Massively undervalued, if you ask us.
Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals (Odds 10/11)
Tottenham banged in five in the semis, United managed seven. So, both sides were clearing the 2.5 goals mark on their own.
Add in the fact this match means a great deal to both, after the seasons they’ve had, and you’ve got all the ingredients for fireworks.
United will push the tempo, Spurs will have to respond, and with both defences leakier than a chocolate teapot, we reckon this one smashes the over.
10/11 odds? Just over evens at 52.4%? Pull the other one.
Bet 3: Bruno Fernandes To Score Anytime (Odds 11/5)
If we’re backing a goal fest, we’d be daft not to throw Bruno Fernandes in to score anytime. He’s been United’s beacon in a pretty dismal season, leading by example, banging in goals and pulling the strings from midfield.
Eight of their league goals this season? That’s 19% of the team’s entire tally. In Europe, he’s been even better. Seven of United’s 33 goals in the Europa League have come from Bruno, which is over 20%. So rough maths says about one in every five goals has his name on it. And if we’re expecting United to net a few here, maybe even three, his chances just keep rising.
Bookies are handing him 11/5 (31.3%) to score anytime? Honestly, feels like a steal. We'd say double that.
Bet 4: Casemiro To Be Booked (Odds 6/4)
Our vision for the match is clear. We are expecting a high-scoring, aggressive game with Tottenham on the back-foot.
In a game like that, you need someone to keep the pressure on. That’s where Casemiro comes in. He’ll be right in the thick of it, breaking up play and stamping out any Tottenham counter. And with the intensity we’re expecting, he’s a prime candidate for a card.
He’s picked up 17 fouls in 22 league games this season, that’s nearly 80%of his appearances. In a high-stakes showdown like this, we’d say the chances of him going in the book are sky high.
Yet the bookies are offering 6/4? That’s just a 40% shot. Under evens for Casemiro to get a card in a match that’s bound to boil over? Come off it. That’s going straight on the acca, no question.
Get Stuck In: The Ultimate Europa League Betting Guide Awaits
Four value bets, one acca, and £150 returns on a tenner. We think it’s a belter of a deal.
And if you’re hungry for more, have we got a treat for you. Our experts have cooked up a full-blown Europa League guide, packed with even more tasty betting tips and everything you need to smash your matchday punts, from top odds to the juiciest football promos currently on offer in the UK.
