It wasn’t exactly a walk in the park seeing off French favourite Gaël Monfils, but Jack Draper’s into the third round and looking sharp. Now he’s facing 18-year-old Brazilian wonderkid João Fonseca, and the bookies reckon the youngster’s got the edge. We’re not so sure. We think they’ve priced this one a bit off and there’s cracking value in backing Draper to prove them wrong.
After silencing the Parisian roar and sending local hero Monfils packing, Jack Draper’s just one win away from a French Open quarter-final spot.
He’s the World Number 5 playing some of his best stuff, so you’d think he’d be a shoe-in as favourite coming up against João Fonseca, but bookies disagree.
Those 13/8 odds from bet365 convert to a mere 38.1% implied probability, but we'd price Draper at evens or better. That means that if you bet a tenner, you’d get £16.25 back, an absolute bargain if you ask us.
Draper Outlasts Monfils in French Thriller
Before we look at his upcoming showdown with Fonseca, let’s set the scene.
Jack Draper battled past French favourite Gaël Monfils in a thrilling four-set encounter to reach the third round of the French Open.
Despite a raucous home crowd and some mid-match struggles, Draper showed resilience and regained control to seal a 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 win.
Monfils, playing possibly his final Roland Garros match, dazzled with flashes of brilliance, but Draper’s composure and physical edge saw him through.
The Brit saved set points in the fourth before reeling off five straight games to clinch victory.
Draper Eyes Victory Over Talented Teen João Fonseca
Draper now faces rising Brazilian star João Fonseca in what promises to be another blockbuster showdown.
Make no mistake, the 18-year-old prodigy is a cauldron of talent ready to bubble over.
At an age when most of us are still figuring out how to work a washing machine, João Fonseca has already bagged a main tour singles title, won the 2024 NextGen Finals, and holds the title of Brazil’s top player.
He’s lightning-fast, possesses razor-sharp accuracy, and is capable of troubling anyone on the day.
That said, his game still has a few cracks. Fonseca’s movement can lack polish, and his backhand slice wobbles like jelly on a rollercoaster. We reckon Draper’s experience and red-hot form will prove too much, and he’ll come away with the win.
We’d put Jack Draper as a 70% favourite here, meaning we think the bookies are off by about 32%. That makes backing the Brit a truly brilliant value bet.
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