A busy Premier League afternoon features a key late match between Nottingham Forest and league leaders Arsenal. The Manchester derby gets things going at 12:30, but our focus is on four of the five games taking place at the old-fashioned kick-off time of 3pm.
Saturday Premier League Acca – Important Wins for London Duo
Though both have been far from perfect, we’re banking on home successes for Chelsea and Tottenham this week. Can Leeds continue their impressive form too? We think so, while a simple home victory at Anfield would round things off nicely.
Saturday’s Premier League acca comes to 3.91/1 with 10bet, one of the best betting sites available. A successful £10 wager with them returns £49.10.
| Game | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea v Brentford | Chelsea to Win | 72/100 |
| Leeds v Fulham | Leeds or Draw (double chance) | 1/3 |
| Liverpool v Burnley | Liverpool to Win | 24/100 |
| Tottenham v West Ham | Tottenham to Win | 73/100 |
| Total Odds | 3.91/1 |
*Odds correct at 13:50 on 15/01/2026. Odds subject to change.
Bet 1 – Chelsea to Beat Brentford
We really should talk about Brentford first. The Bees have been in fine form, coming into this match unbeaten in six games. Since their 2-0 defeat at Man City however, they haven’t faced opposition this good. Usually weak on the road, their three recent away successes have come at Wolves, Everton and Sheffield Wednesday. This is different.
Chelsea’s wins at lower league Cardiff (Carabao Cup) and Charlton (FA Cup) bookended a sequence of five Premier League games without a win. In fairness, that run included draws at Newcastle and Man City, along with a 2-1 defeat at Fulham which occurred when they played more than 70 minutes with 10 men.
The Blues did have to face Arsenal in Wednesday's Carabao Cup semi-final, but having changed much of the team at Charlton, they can cope with two home games this week.
At home against Bournemouth, Villa and Everton recently, Chelsea’s xG average was 2.25. Brentford’s xG average from games at Spurs, Wolves and Everton in a similar period was 1.43. Liam Rosenior’s men have enough to win this.
Bet 2 – Leeds or Draw (Double Chance)
Leeds have been excellent lately. Since their spirited display in defeat at Man City in November, they’ve won two, drawn five and lost just one of their eight league games. That loss came at Newcastle, via the latest goal in Premier League history when Harvey Barnes netted with just under 102 minutes on the clock.
During that time, Leeds managed to score 16 league goals. Daniel Farke’s men hit three against Chelsea, Liverpool and Newcastle, while they banged four past Crystal Palace. Can they also defend? The 0-0 draw at Anfield suggests so. The Newcastle result could have knocked the wind out of Leeds, but they came back strongly and won 3-1 at Derby to move through to the FA Cup fourth round last weekend.
For their part, Fulham are on their own run of six games without defeat and are perfectly capable. Taking out the games played against obvious title contenders or relegation candidates, however, their away xG average is just 1.00 per game. Leeds’ home xG average is 1.84 goals per game under the same circumstances.
We like Leeds here, but we’ve also noted that ‘both teams to score’ has landed in 80% of Leeds’ home games, and 70% of Fulham’s away. Similarly, ‘home win or draw’ has landed in 80% of Leeds’ home matches and 70% of Fulham’s on the road. The smart bet is Leeds to win or draw.
Bet 3 – Liverpool to Beat Burnley
At the odds, this looks obvious, but we still need some stats to back up Liverpool seeing off Burnley at home. Well, despite their troubles, Arne Slot’s boys have racked up 20 points at Anfield compared with relegation-threatened Burnley’s paltry four points on the road.
Hugo Ekitike has scored eight Premier League goals this term, while Cody Gakpo has five and Ryan Gravenberch four. All should be available for this game. Burnley’s joint-top scorer Jaidon Anthony should play, but their other five-goal man Zian Flemming may not make Merseyside, leaving the Clarets looking light on potential goalscorers.
Bet 4 – Tottenham to Beat West Ham
Given their recent form, Tottenham look like a risk. A closer look reveals something else, however.
Things are tight on the stats, for sure. Spurs have won only nine points at home this season compared to West Ham’s seven on their travels. Things are a little healthier in terms of goals per game, with Tottenham averaging 1.50 at home and West Ham just 1.05 away.
Spurs have won just once in seven games, but they’ve kept things close. A 2-1 home defeat to Liverpool came after a sending-off, they drew with Sunderland and Brentford and lost at Bournemouth courtesy of a 95th minute goal.
This week, they face a troubled West Ham side whose extra-time FA Cup win against QPR only succeeded in papering over a few of their many widening cracks. Before that, they went 10 games without success, that win being against Burnley. They lost 3-0 at Wolves in their last away match and their form continues to regress. It may not be pretty, but Spurs can take the points.
