The UFC returns to London for an exciting Figh Night card topped by Movsar Evloev and Lerone Murphy. A future featherweight title shot could be on the cards for the winner, meaning the stakes are high as we approach Saturday night.
Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy Odds & Tip
Although Movsar Evloev (19-0) and Lerone Murphy (17-0-1) have roughly the same number of fights and are both undefeated, the market still leans quite clearly towards Evloev . This is likely down to two key reasons:
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Evloev's fight record is less controversial having won all his bouts in pretty convincing fashion.
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Murphy relied on the judges twice during his draw and a split decision win over Gabriel Santos.
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On top of that, this fight suits Evloev stylistically – more on that later.
There are some factors that favour Lerone Murphy. As an Englishman, he has the home advantage, which can sway the judges. Especially given that Evloev has gone the full distance in all nine of his UFC fights. What's more, Evloev hasn’t fought for around 18 months, laid low by a persistent viral infections.
Our UFC London Tip
Given the uncertainties just mentioned, and with Evloev's odds to win already sitting very short, we rate the underdog bet on Lerone Murphy the better value play. Some of the best online bookies are offering tasty odds on the Englishman, including 10bet.
UFC Fight Night London – Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy Prediction
Evloev holds the stylistic edge as the far superior offensive grappler. Like Khabib Nurmagomedov before him, he excels at working from position to position . This gives him dominant control over opponents, often from the clinch rather than just on the mat. It also bolsters his technically solid (if unspectacular) striking, as foes constantly worry about the looming takedown.
By contrast, Lerone Murphy is the more technically versatile and powerful striker, who can certainly finish things early with knees and elbows too. This at least gives him chances to land heavy counters and score on the feet. But if he can't time Evloev's takedown with a counter knee or similar, it'll be a long night. He's good at scrambling back up quickly, but against a grappler of Evloev's calibre, that's a tough ask.
There’s a glimmer of hope for Murphy as long as the fight stays on the feet and the Englishman doesn’t act too passively. If that's the case, he is expected to inflict more damage, and that is the key criterion in modern MMA scoring. This could prove an advantage, especially with local judges.
Movsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy: Head-to-Head
From a statistical bird's-eye view, it becomes clear just how competitive this fight is. However, stylistic differences are also emerging:
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Murphy is the more active and dangerous striker.
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Evloev attempts and lands takedowns far more often.
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Neither has ever been finished.
| Movsar Evloev | Metric | Lerone Murphy |
|---|---|---|
| 19-0 | Record | 17-0-1 |
| 32 years, 2 months | Age | 34 years, 8 months |
| 170 cm | Height | 175 cm |
| 184 cm | Reach | 187 cm |
| 3-0 | KO Record | 8-0 |
| 4-0 | Submission Record | 0-0 |
| 12-0 | Decision Record | 9-0-1 |
| 3/1 | Significant strikes per minute | 87/25 |
| 48% | Striking accuracy (significant strikes) | 53% |
| 83/50 | Significant strikes absorbed per minute | 74/49 |
| 60% | Striking defence | 61% |
| 11/3 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 16/39 |
| 48% | Takedown accuracy | 54% |
| 61% | Takedown defence | 51% |
| 0.2 | Submission attempts per 15 minutes | 0.5 |
