38 days. 102 matches. One English meltdown – no, I’m not over it – and we’re down to the final two. On Sunday, 19th July, Spain take on Argentina for a winner-takes-all humdinger of a World Cup final. Two billion people are set to tune into the biggest sporting event on the planet, and I’ve been tasked with the role of seeing where the value is in the betting. There’s no cringeworthy half-time show exploits here, just cold, hard facts and a little bit of hope. Let’s jump in.
TL;DR – Four World Cup Final Betting Tips
| Bet | Bookie | Odds | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain to win | Betfred | 13/10 | 2 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal to score | Betfred | 7/5 | 1 |
| Over 8.5 corners | Betfred | 1/1 | 3 |
| Cristian Romero to be booked | William Hill | 7/5 | 2 |
| Bet Builder | Betfred | 19/1 | 2 |
*Odds correct at 13:30 BST on 16/7/2026. Odds subject to change.
No Expiry Date
Bet 1: Spain to Beat Argentina (in 90 Minutes)
Kicking things off with the big dog – match result.
I must admit, I thought France would put up more of a fight against Spain on Tuesday evening. For them to carve out just 0.31 xG with that front line was borderline shocking.
After the game, I lamented how poor the French had been, but once the dust had settled and watching some of the highlights, my thinking was flawed. In fact, it should have been praising just how good Spain were.
They strangled them from the first kick of the game. Fabian Ruiz and Rodri conducted that midfield like they were taking centre stage at the Royal Albert Hall. A true masterclass in squeezing the opposition and nullifying their strengths.
For Argentina, well, England had them right where they wanted them. But then, Thomas Tuchel decided to give them the freedom of Atalanta and go to a back nine. And the rest, as they say, is history.
But back to business. Spain looks generously priced here at 13/10 with the best World Cup betting sites to win their second World Cup, and it’s the first of my picks.
Bet 2: Mikel Oyarzabal to Score
Mikel Oyarzabal’s penalty against France drew him level with David Villa for the most goals scored in a single World Cup campaign (5) by a Spaniard. Quite the company for a player that I, admittedly, wrote off at the start of the tournament.
He’s looked incredibly assured on the biggest stage. I don’t think I was alone in wondering how he would lead the line for Spain, but he’s answered his critics and then some.
With Cristian Romero and Lesandro Martinez at the back for Argentina, anything is possible. On their day, they look like prime Paolo Maldini, but at times, you know, they are never too far away from looking like Harry Houdini.
This bodes well for Oyarzabal, and I like that he’s on penalty duty for an additional out. World Cup odds of 7/5 anytime look solid enough for bet number two.
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Bet 3: Over 8.5 Total Corners
The corners market is a pure numbers game here, for the most part, at least.
Argentina have covered the over 8.5 total corners in each of their six games so far. They’ve set away their talisman Lionel Messi to whip them in with his left peg to good effect, and the style of play leans towards earning more set plays than most.
For Spain, the number isn’t quite as high, but at 57% it’s still strong enough to look enticing. Their style may not be as well-suited as Argentina’s, but because of the possession in the attacking third, this sort of market is always going to be one to consider.
Based on all that, to get even money here feels like a steal. Bet number three, locked in.
Bet 4: Cristian Romero to be Booked
Cristian Romero to be booked might be the least surprising pick of the day if you’re a Spurs fan. The centre-back has a torrid disciplinary record, but, surprisingly, has only been booked once in this competition, in the semi-final against England.
Given that this is an all-or-nothing game, if Spain get ahead, he may very well lose his. In fact, there’s a raft of options on the Argentina side for this market if you’re looking at alternatives. Leandro Martinez, Giuliano Simeone and Leandro Paredes, to name just a few.
But it’s good old Cuti who makes the most sense and wraps our fourth and final pick. Vamos!
