We thought after the semi-finals the likely outcomes for this one would be too clear to offer any value, but it looks like we thought too much of the bookies. Nope, they’ve fumbled the finals and we’re ready to pick up the ball and score with three juicy value bets. Back the lot and you could be looking a £34 in returns from a tenner.
The bookies are playing it far too safe, even though the stats and common sense are both shouting that several odds should’ve swung wildly after the pasting PSG gave Real Madrid. Still, their folly is your potential profit. We’ve picked out a cracking trio of tips for you lucky ducks to gobble up.
Chelsea vs PSG FIFA Club World Cup Finals Odds
| Market | Odds from bet365 | Return from £10 |
|---|---|---|
| PSG To Win | 3/5 | £16.00 |
| Both Teams To Score – Yes | 4/7 | £15.71 |
| Ousmane Dembélé To Score or Assist Anytime | 8/12 | £16.15 |
*Odds correct as of 10:51am 11/07/2025
Back any of them on their own and we reckon you’ve got yourself a sensational value punt. Especially with the ever-brilliant bet365 rolling out one of the best promos in the UK right now with a tasty 50% winnings boost on this match. Or, since they link up like a slick one-two, you could lump all three into an acca for a handsome £34 return.
Chelsea vs PSG FIFA Club World Cup Finals Tips
Bet 1: PSG To Win (3/5)
What can we say except, did you see the game against Real Madrid? PSG took the club with the greatest ever record in major international tournaments, took them round the back and shot four holes right through them like they were nothing.
Paris Saint-Germain have looked nigh unstoppable since they thumped Inter Milan 5-0 a month and a half ago, including besting the mighty Bayern Munich 2-0 with just nine men left on the field. Their creativity, attacking options, pace, and pressing has been nothing short of astounding. Put simply, they have everything a team needs to be able to beat any opponent, on any stage.
We’re not trying to dismiss Chelsea here. They didn’t win a place in the finals off the back of a box of cereal. They looked great against Fluminense (that duo of goals by João Pedro was truly a thing of beauty) and a top four finish in the Premier League is more than most teams can ever dream of. They’ve been great, but PSG just look on another level. We’d give them around an 80% chance of winning this while the bookies put them at a bit over evens (3/5 has an implied probability of 62.5%). Smells like value to us.
Bet 2: Both Teams To Score – Yes (4/7)
If we think PSG are going to win, then of course they’ll need to score. But what about Chelsea?
We reckon The Blues are heading for defeat, but not without putting up a fight. They’ve got serious firepower. In last season’s Premier League, they found the net in 34 out of 38 games, averaging 1.68 goals per match according to our trusty football stats page. They’ve been even more dangerous in the FIFA Club World Cup, where they’re scoring at a rate of 2.67 per game.
In fact, you’d have to look back 19 games to a drab, goalless draw against Brentford to find a fixture where Chelsea didn’t taste the back of the net at least one.
Yes, PSG are fantastic, but all signs point to Chelsea at least drawing blood before falling to this ferocious French team. We’d say all that considered BTTS is around 90% likely. The bookies? They’re saying 4/7. That’s an implied probability of 63.6%. Pull the other one.
Bet 3: Ousmane Dembélé To Score or Assist Anytime (8/12)
So, we’ve got PSG to win and Both Teams To Score. Logically, that means Paris Saint-Germain are going to find the net at least twice in regular time. Considering they’ve managed that in all but one of their last ten games, we’re feeling pretty confident on that front.
And if that happens, we’re pretty sure Ousmane Dembélé will be involved somewhere along the line. He was so electric against Real Madrid he left Mbappé in his dust, with more than a few pundits suggesting Los Blancos backed the wrong French forward.
Big match pressure? He doesn’t seem to feel it. In 2025 alone, Dembélé has stepped up in dozens of major moments. That includes a stoppage-time winner over Mexico in the 2024 Trophée des Champions, a Champions League hat-trick against both VfB Stuttgart and Brest, and the winning goal against Liverpool, Manchester City and Arsenal. He also picked up two assists in PSG’s 5-0 demolition of Inter Milan.
All told, he’s racked up 33 goals and 15 assists in 49 appearances. That’s just under one goal contribution per game and he seems to thrive even more in the high-pressure moments. No wonder he’s one of the frontrunners for the 2025 Ballon d’Or. Once more, we’re putting the likelihood of this one at around 80-90% while bookies at 8/12 (60% implied probability) are several degrees less convinced. But we think they’ll discover, just like many teams in this year’s Champions League, that it’s unwise to underestimate Dembélé.
