We’re with the bookies on one thing, PSG are very, very likely to take the win here. But everything else? They’re shooting wide of the post, and we’re banging in three absolute screamer value bets.
PSG vs Tottenham Hotspur Odds
How could the bookies get it so wrong when they’ve got the result spot on? Put simply, they’ve played it a bit too defensively, and left their nets wide open for us to dribble past and take a cracking shot at padding our wallets. They’re asleep at their posts while we’re running rings around them with these value bets.
| Betting Market | Odds from bet365 | Return from £10 |
|---|---|---|
| Handicap Result – PSG (-1) | 11/10 | £21 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 4/9 | £14.44 |
| Ousmane Dembélé to Score or Assist | 1/2 | £15 |
*Odds correct as of 12.46pm 11/08/2025
Now, we reckon all of these bets are proper big-value belters. But you can back them however suits your style. Fancy just one or two? Back them individually. Or if you’re feeling adventurous, a trio of tenners would bring you a tidy £50.44 return. And if you’ve got full faith in our tips, you can stick ‘em all together in a bet builder for a £31 return on a tenner.
Want to go even further? We’ve got even more mega value picks in our comprehensive UEFA Super Cup betting guide. You lucky people.
PSG vs Tottenham Hotspur Tips
Bet 1: Handicap Result – PSG (-1) (11/10)
In a nutshell, we reckon PSG are set to dominate this one. Spurs have been in a right mess in the Premier League, and with new manager Thomas Frank barely settling in, they won’t have had nearly enough time to rebuild.
Put it this way, the numbers don’t lie. PSG topped Ligue 1 with 84 points, a whopping 19 clear of second-placed Marseille. Meanwhile, Spurs shockingly finished 17th in the 2024/25 Premier League, close enough that we’re even tipping them as a long-shot for relegation next season.
PSG also smashed the Champions League final with a stunning 5-0 victory, so we know they don’t crack under pressure. We see PSG winning by two or more goals here comfortably, and that makes a -1 handicap at 11/10 an absolute steal.
Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals (4/9)
We’d be gobsmacked if this game doesn’t see at least three goals. Let’s talk numbers first. Tottenham top the charts with a whopping 79% of their matches last season finishing with over 2.5 goals. They may have been conceding plenty of those goals but hey, it still counts. Over in Ligue 1, PSG aren’t far behind, with 70% of their games hitting that mark.
Now, the bookies have this priced at about 69.2%, so on the surface, it looks like a decent shout but nothing too special. We beg to differ. This is a Super Cup final, after all, and when the big occasion comes around, PSG know how to turn it up a notch.
And that usually means goals flying in left, right and centre. Just take their 5-0 Champions League thrashing of Inter, 3-0 win over Reims, and superb 4-0 victories over Real Madrid and Inter Milan in the Club World Cup as proof.
We’re pretty confident this one’s true chances are north of 90%, making it an exceptional low-risk wager.
Bet 3: Ousmane Dembélé to Score or Assist (1/2)
Psst, no one teach the bookies how to read stats, because we’ve got bags of value over here. It’s simple. In the Champions League, Dembélé managed a goal or assist in 14 of 15 games, that’s 93.3% of the time. Over in Ligue 1, he bagged 21 goals and 6 assists in just 20 starts, which means he’s scoring or setting up more than once a game on average.
So, what’s bet365 got him at to score or assist in this big final, where he’s even more likely to find the net? A measly ½, or 66.7%. That’s off by at least 30%. Mathematically nonsense, that is.
Now, toss in bet365’s “Sub On Play On” promo, meaning your bet stays live if your player gets subbed off, just the kind of savvy move you expect from one of the UK’s top bookies, and you’ve got arguably the best bargain bet of the summer.
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