Wolves host Aston Villa in the West Midlands derby on Friday night at Molineux, a game with ramifications at both ends of the table. We’ve taken a look at the markets to see where the value lies and have a strong-looking bet builder that pays £80 from a £10 bet.
Bottom of the table Wolves are already destined for Championship football next season. They rolled the dice in November 2025 to appoint Rob Edwards in an attempt to do the impossible, but the reality is that it hasn’t paid off. They head into the game with just one win all season and have lost 20 of their 28 Premier League games.
For Unai Emery’s Aston Villa, they’re looking to cement a return to the Champions League, and with six points separating them and Liverpool in sixth, they’re on course. They have, however, had a slight wobble of late, winning just two of their last seven, but they should have enough to get past a sorry-looking Wolves side on Friday night.
Wolves vs Aston Villa – Match Result Odds
Check out the latest Wolves vs Aston Villa betting odds:
Wolves vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
BetMGM, one of the best online bookies, is top price for this Wolves vs Aston Villa bet builder. We’re getting odds of 7/1 for this 3-fold, paying £18 more per £10 wagered than if you placed the same bet with Ladbrokes.
| Market | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Winning Margin | Aston Villa by 2+ | 9/4 |
| Shots on Target | Morgan Rogers 1+ | 4/5 |
| Team with Most Cards | Wolves | 4/6 |
| Total Odds | 7/1 |
*Odds correct at 13:30 GMT on 25/02/2026. Odds subject to change.
No Expiry Date
Bet 1: Aston Villa to Win by 2 or More Goals
Wolves have lost seven of their 14 home games this season by two or more goals. Ironically, they’ve been better on the road in terms of managing scorelines, so there’s clearly something about home advantage that’s proving too much for the players to cope with.
Aston Villa have been more efficient than destructive on the road, but only Arsenal (29) have picked up more points away from home than Villa (22). A key metric for the bet is Villa’s drastic improvement defensively, as the visitors have conceded just five goals in their last eight games.
There’s merit to taking a Villa straight up at odds of 9/10, but 9/4 on the handicap suggests an implied probability of 30.8% for a scenario that’s played out in 50% of Wolves’ home games.
Bet 2: Morgan Rogers 1+ Shot on Target
Morgan Rogers has been one of the stars of the season for Aston Villa and has already cemented a place on the plane for Thomas Tuchel’s England in the World Cup this summer. His versatility of being able to play in the 8/10 role and shifting to either flank has played a huge part in Emery’s desire to play a more fluid forward line.
He’s been one of Villa’s most prominent attacking threats, and has chalked up at least one shot on target in six of his last seven games. What’s interesting is that throughout the season, his shot on target stats have ballooned against bottom-half of the table teams, averaging 1.5 per game, up from his 0.90 season average.
Rogers is priced at 4/5 to hit the target on Friday and is another easy pick for our Wolves vs Aston Villa bet builder.
Bet 3: Wolves to Have the Most Cards
Only Brighton, Tottenham and Chelsea have picked up more cards than Wolves’ 63 this season. They average 2.23 per game, and there’s definitely a correlation here between where they are in the table and the fact that they’ve accumulated so many bookings.
Conversely, Villa have just 41 cards, bettered only by Nottingham Forest, Manchester United and Arsenal, at an average of 1.46 per game. We’re fully expecting them to dominate possession here and, given we’ve backed Villa on the handicap, to land a comfortable win. So, when we get odds of 4/6 for Wolves to have the most bookings, it’s a price we’re happy to get onboard with.
One thing that is worth noting is the appointment of Craig Pawson as referee. His referee stats show us that he has the lowest yellow cards per game in the league (2.20), so the booking threshold will be higher than most. But this should play into our hands as Villa likely won’t pick up cards for niggly fouls, strengthening the bet further.
