It’s one of the hottest anticipated markets of the World Cup, and for me, wide open. I’ve been trawling the World Cup 2026 top scorer market for a few weeks now, trying to find an angle for my picks, and I’ve come up with three options. Let’s not waste any time and jump right in.
TL;DR – My 3 Picks for the World Cup Golden Boot Market
| Bet | Bookie | Odds | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Alvarez – Argentina | Betfred | 25/1 | 1 |
| Harry Kane – England | Betfred | 6/1 | 3 |
| Miachael Olise – France | Betfred | 22/1 | 1 |
*Odds correct at 10:00 BST on 11/06/206. Odds subject to change.
Bet 1: Julian Alvarez – Argentina
Ok, hear me out. I think the bookies (and punters) are sleepwalking with Argentina in the World Cup. They’ve barely been spoken about, which, given the talent on offer, is crazy.
To think they are longer outright odds to win than Portugal, Brazil and even England, to me, isn’t right, and I’m going out on a limb to say that either they or France will win this year.
Getting back on topic, it’s always good to pick a player from the World Cup top goalscorer market who’s in a team that will go deep. And Julian Alvarez for Argentina is an obvious pick in their team.
He’s not prolific, but he scores big goals in big games. He’s got a great line supporting, with the likes of Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martinez, Alexis Mac Allister and Enzo Fernandez, to name just a few.
Granted, he’s not one of the favourites, but World Cup odds of 25/1 with Betfred, for me, is the value play in the market.
Bet 2: Harry Kane – England
Harry Kane will be another popular pick, and rightly so. He’s been flying since his move to Bayern Munich two years ago, and a campaign in North America will see his chances of winning the Balon d’Or skyrocket.
One of the reasons I still think Kane has value at 6/1 with the best World Cup betting sites is his all-around game and the fact that he will be on penalty duty for England. These can add up after six or seven games, especially in this cutthroat format, so that bodes well.
My only worry with this pick is if the pressure becomes too much. He only scored twice at the 2022 World Cup, and one of those was a penalty in the quarter-finals against France. I’m still backing him to go well, but my typical English pessimism is niggling away at this one.
Bet 3: Michael Olise – France
Backing Michael Olise as part of my 2026 World Cup top scorer tips completes the triple crown for this exciting French forward… born in Hammersmith. Smh.
He’s included in both my predictions for the World Cup most assists, and to win the World Cup Golden Ball. You could say that I’m all-in on Olise to have a breakout international tournament, and he has all the tools to do just that.
Olise scored 19 times for Bayern Munich last season and has just bagged a hat-trick against Northern Ireland in their final warm-up match. We’re getting odds of 22/1 for him to be the top scorer, and I see no reason why he’s not a shorter price.