The Farmers Insurance Open is a premier event on the PGA Tour and a key fixture in the West Coast Swing. Matthieu Pavon stunned everyone last year, proving that anyone can prevail under Torrey Pines’ challenging conditions. Can local lad Xander Schauffele take the title this year, or will another outsider steal the show? Read our Farmers Insurance Open tips and make your choice.

The second leg of the West Coast swing has finally swung open – and we’ve got the odds to prove it. Here are 10 of the top UK bookies’ favourites to triumph, along with the very best odds we could dig up.

PlayerNationalityOddsBookmaker
Ludvig AbergSwedish7/4bet365
Sungjae ImSouth Korean7/1Coral
Lanto GriffinAmerican12/1bet365
Hideki MatsuyamaJapanese20/1bet365
Luke ClantonAmerican25/1Ladbrokes
Eric ColeAmerican28/1Spreadex
Christopher GotterupAmerican33/1Spreadex
Jason DayAmerican33/1Ladbrokes
Harris EnglishAmerican33/1Spreadex
Danny WalkerAmerican40/1Spreadex
Hayden SpringerAmerican40/1Spreadex
Samuel StevensAmerican50/1BetVictor
Jhonattan VegasVenezuelan50/1Spreadex
Patrick RogersAmerican45/1BetVictor
Max GreysermanAmerican66/1Coral
Sam StevensAmerican66/110bet
Wesley BryanAmerican66/1Ladbrokes
Ryan GerardAmerican80/1Coral
Sahith TheegalaAmerican70/1bet365
Andrew NovakAmerican80/1Coral

Considering the history of this event, course setup and advanced data points – like GIR% -, here are the best betting opportunities.

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Smart Plays for Round 1: Making the Most of the North Course

The North Course at Torrey Pines is far more forgiving than its Southern counterpart, playing about 2.5 strokes easier on average. With a 75% GIR rate, it’s a great chance for players to go low early in the tournament. For Round 1 Leader bets, focus on players with sharp approach stats and proximity to the hole, like Collin Morikawa, whose precise iron play suits the North’s layout perfectly. BetVictor’s odds for this market are worth exploring for those chasing early value.

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Focus on Power Players in the ‘Betting Without' Market

The Farmers Insurance Open is known for its unpredictability, with past winners often emerging from outside the superstar ranks. Torrey Pines favours big hitters, thanks to its wide fairways and opportunities to attack off the tee. Players like Taylor Pendrith, with his enormous drives, or Cameron Young, who pairs distance with a strong short game, are ideal picks. Boylesports has competitive odds on the ‘Betting Without’ market if you want to bet on less prominent golfers.

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Top Continental Europeans to Watch at Torrey Pines

Torrey Pines rewards players with elite ball-striking and mental toughness, traits often found in European talent. The 2024 tournament highlighted this, with Matthieu Pavon winning and Nicolai Højgaard finishing runner-up. If you’ve got a hunch about which Europeans could perform well at Torrey Pines, Sportingbet offers some of the best odds in this market.

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Close Calls: Betting on Tight Margins at Torrey Pines

The South Course at Torrey Pines is known for producing nail-biting finishes. Its narrow fairways and thick rough often keep the leaderboard tightly packed, with many Farmers Insurance Opens over the past decade being decided by just one stroke or a playoff. These close results are no coincidence, as the course consistently tests players' skills and resilience. For those keen on this market, bet365 offers two betting options: a 1-stroke victory (usually around 12/1 odds) or a playoff win (usually around 50/1 odds).

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Rare Feats: Betting on an Albatross at Torrey Pines

Albatrosses may be rare, but they offer big returns for bettors willing to take a chance. The par-5 6th on the South Course is a prime spot, as Shane Lowry proved with his stunning 256-yard albatross in 2024. Long hitters with precision can make magic happen on holes like this. Bwin offers a market for this rare gem, which is worth a look if you’re feeling adventurous.

The 2025 Farmers Insurance Open is set to feature a stacked field, with plenty of star players already confirmed. Major winners like Collin Morikawa, Shane Lowry and Francesco Molinari will compete alongside past champions such as Jason Day, Luke List and Matthieu Pavon.

Below, we’ve highlighted a few players that we believe could make a serious run at the title this year.

Key Golfers to Watch

Top Contenders

Here’s who we think has the best shot at taking home the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open trophy.

Collin Morikawa

Collin Morikawa enters 2025 as the world’s fourth-ranked player, fresh off top-five finishes at the Genesis Invitational and U.S. Open in 2024. His precision is unmatched, leading the Tour in Greens in Regulation at nearly 92%. With over 81% driving accuracy and elite iron play, he’s perfectly suited for Torrey Pines. If his putting clicks, he’s a top contender this week.

Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki Matsuyama, ranked fifth in the world, comes into 2025 after an outstanding 2024 season with wins at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and The Genesis Invitational. His consistency shines statistically, ranking third in Strokes Gained: Total and ninth in Approach. With a 78.86% Greens in Regulation rate and an 82.78% Scrambling percentage, Matsuyama has the tools to thrive at Torrey Pines.

Ludvig Åberg

Ludvig Åberg, ranked sixth in the world, is one of the brightest young stars on the PGA Tour. He earned his first win at the 2024 RSM Classic and added a top-10 finish at the BMW Championship. His 315.3-yard average off the tee and 7th-ranked Proximity to the Hole from 200+ yards make him a great fit for Torrey Pines’ demanding layout. With solid putting and scrambling stats, Åberg can make serious noise.

Dark Horses

For those eyeing long shots, these underdogs might rise to the occasion and deliver a memorable payday.

Matthieu Pavon

Defending champion Matthieu Pavon returns to Torrey Pines after his surprise 2024 Farmers Insurance Open victory. While his 2025 stats, like a 140th Strokes Gained ranking, don’t jump off the page, his game suits this course perfectly. He ranks 18th in proximity from 200-225 yards and 5th in driving distance, which helps him attack Torrey’s long par-5s. For those chasing value, Pavon’s course knowledge and power make him an intriguing underdog pick.

Rasmus Højgaard

Rasmus Højgaard, a rising Danish talent with five international wins, is steadily making his mark on the PGA Tour. His putting has been a standout, averaging 1.731 putts per Green in Regulation, while his approach play (39’0” proximity to the hole) keeps him in birdie contention. Though his accuracy off the tee (52.82%) needs improvement, his ability to capitalise on par-5s makes up for it. With a scoring average of 70.33 and proven composure in big moments, Højgaard is a sleeper pick worth watching.

Taylor Pendrith

Taylor Pendrith heads into the Farmers Insurance Open riding momentum from his first PGA Tour win at the 2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson. His power off the tee is a major weapon, ranking 20th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and hitting 83.33% Greens in Regulation (11th). While his short game needs work, with Scrambling at 50%, his Birdie Average of 4.75 per round shows he can score in bunches. If he sharpens his touch around the greens, Pendrith’s combination of distance and precision makes him a serious contender.

A Deep Dive into La Jolla: Course Analysis for Punters

Perched along the cliffs of La Jolla, California, Torrey Pines Golf Course is a formidable test for PGA Tour players. The South Course, where most of the Farmers Insurance Open is played, stretches 7,804 yards and challenges players with narrow fairways, thick rough and small, undulating Poa annua greens. The coastal setting adds complexity, with marine layer fog in the mornings and swirling winds in the afternoons, making club selection and course management crucial.

Success at Torrey Pines demands strong Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green performance. Players need power to tackle the long par-4s and par-5s, but must also pair it with precision to avoid trouble. Short-game skills, particularly scrambling, are vital on the South Course’s tricky greens, while putting remains a factor late in the day, when the Poa surfaces become bumpier.

For bettors, focus on players who excel in Driving Distance, Greens in Regulation and Scrambling stats—key metrics for thriving at Torrey Pines. Look for golfers with a proven track record on demanding layouts and the ability to score well on long par-4s and par-5s. These characteristics often point to contenders who can handle the course’s unique challenges.

Farmers Insurance Open Golf Prize Money

The 2025 Farmers Insurance Open comes with a massive $9.2 million purse, including $1.67 million for the winner. It’s a prize fund that guarantees a strong field, with big names and rising stars looking to cash in. High-stakes events like this tend to bring out the best in top players, but they also provide the perfect stage for someone to make a name for themselves. For punters, it’s a prime opportunity to back proven stars or rising talents aiming for a breakthrough.

Check out the best betting promos for the Farmers Insurance Open below, including golf-wide offers and exclusive deals for this popular tournament.

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