Oscars Betting Guide 2021 – Odds, Tips & Predictions

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The Oscars is a specials betting event looked forward to by people all over the world. With 24 exciting awards given out to the crème de la crème of the film industry on the night, you too can be a part of the drama thanks to our detailed Oscars betting guide.

Awards season is well underway, and the who’s who of Tinseltown and beyond are gearing up for the most exciting night of it all – the Oscars. The best of the best will gather at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood to celebrate last year’s highlights of the film industry – and whilst you might not win any award, you can still make it a night to remember with our ultimate Oscars betting guide.

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Oscars Betting Odds 2021

Out of the 24 categories, there are some which receive the most attention and fanfare from both the media and the public. The most popular of these include:

Best Picture Odds

Best Picture OddsBookmaker
The Trail of the Chicago 77/1SBK
Minari12/1Paddy Power
Promising Young Woman16/1William Hill
Judas and the Black Messiah 20/1Bet365
The Sound of Metal66/1Bet365
The Father80/1Vbet


Best Actor Odds

Best ActorOddsBookmaker
Chadwick Boseman1/12BoyleSports
Anthony Hopkins 8/1Bet365
Riz Ahmed14/1Vbet
Garry Oldman25/1BetFair
Steven Yeun25/1Bet365


Best Actress Odds

Best Actress OddsBookmaker
Carey Mulligan 10/11BoyleSports
Andra Day7/2Bet365
Frances McDormand5/1BoyleSports
Viola Davis 10/1Paddy Power
Vanessa Kirby10/1Vbet


What are the Best Oscars Betting Tips?

We’ve gathered a list of some of the best and most reliable Oscars betting tips and strategies for you to consider before placing a bet on the Academy Awards.

Previous Awards Winners

Looking at the winners of the awards leading up to the Oscars (particularly the Golden Globes, SAG Awards, BAFTAS, and Critics Choice) can be a very good predictor for who will win the famous gold statuette. As we mentioned earlier, there are some favourable statistics to prove this such as that 80% of best actor and best actress winners at the SAG awards go on to win an Oscar, and only one Best Actor and three Best Actresses who have won an Oscar did not win at least one of the previous ‘big three’ awards.

Real People

Actors who play the roles of people who have actually lived tend to have more of a chance of winning Oscars. The stats don’t lie, with 12 of the last 17 winners of the Best Actor category portraying a real person. This does not apply to the Best Actress category, however, with only 2 winners in this whole decade having won when portraying a real person.

Keeping Track of Controversy

The time between the nominees being announced and the awards show leaves plenty of time for something to happen. In recent years, the Academy Awards have been plagued with controversy regarding the under-representation of people of colour and the #metoo movement, so really, anything can happen. Most recently, in 2011, La La Land won many of the Best Picture awards leading up to the Oscars; however, as time went on, it received more of a backlash for being ‘too white.’ Ultimately, against all odds, the films missed out at the 89th Academy Awards to Moonlight – a film heavily featuring people of colour.

Sharing the Spotlight

The Oscars aim to celebrate all types of films. For this reason it is very rare that one film sweeps the board. Most Best Picture films typically do actually win an award at some point throughout the show, so it might work it your favour if you try and figure out which category some films might have more of a chance in – for example a nominated sci-fi film may have a bigger chance in the Best Cinematography category.

Social Trends

The awards are not only about a person’s skills in the film industry but also about their celebrity profile as a whole. Actors involved in scandals will have less chance of winning an Oscar. Social trends relating to current issues are important to follow as if an actor is perceived as being very liked, for example someone who constantly fights for the rights of the less fortunate, this could also work in their favour as the judges making the final decisions might be influenced by the press.

Keeping Track of Gossip Papers

Although this will mostly be speculation, crucial insider information can sometimes manage to leak to the press about potential winners and losers. Even the smallest bits of information might be enough to give you a stronger and more reliable indication of who is likely to win. Read these papers with caution, however, as not every source will be a reliable source.

Consider the Smaller Markets

Whilst the spotlight typically shines on the more popular awards categories, it is the smaller, less popular ones which can have higher chances of being mispriced by bookmakers. Be alert to these markets so that you can take advantage of any underestimations from betting sites and increase your chances of maximising your winnings.


Which are Some of the Other the Most Popular Oscars Betting Markets?

Even though Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Actress categories get the most attention, there are lots of other categories at the Oscars which can make for some exciting betting!

  • Best Director – More often than not the favourite to win this award does go on to win it. There is also a trend where the winner of best director also goes on to win best picture – a perfect opportunity for an accumulator if you’re feeling daring!
  • Best Supporting Actor – Whilst not on the same level as the Best Actor category, the awards given to an actor in a supporting role still retains a high level of popularity.
  • Best Supporting Actress – Just like its male counterpart, this category also retains a high level of popularity.
  • Best Original Song – Thanks to the likes of world-renowned music artists like Lady Gaga, Adele, Sam Smith and Kendrick Lamar winning or being nominated, this category naturally receives a lot of press talk and is very popular with the bookies.


About the Academy Awards

The academy awards are the culmination of film industry awards season where golden statuettes affectionately referred to as Oscars are awarded to the top performers. There are prizes in 24 categories given out on the night, awarded by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

The origin of the name ‘Oscar’ is disputed, but the trophies made their first appearance during the first ceremony way back in 1929. What first started off as a 15-minute event handing out 15 awards, has developed into mega production broadcast to 225 countries around the world and one of the highlights in many people’s calendar. Films can be nominated if they were theatrically screened throughout the whole of 2019. Some films – such as Netflix feature productions like 2019's The Irishman – go around this by providing limiting screening in select theatres in New York and Los Angeles.

Many punters enjoy betting on awards shows like the Academy Awards because unlike most sports, the Oscars do not have a wide range of variables that can affect the results up until the end. It is not a case where nobody knows what is going to happen and luck plays a big part – like in a game of sports. The winners of the Academy Awards are decided in advance which gives bettors plenty of time to make an accurate and informed decision with confidence.

With this said, it is important to keep in mind that that it is a panel of judges who decide the winners of each award, and therefore the subjectivity of the panel may lead to some surprising results which can prove to be frustrating for some bettors. The fixed nature of the awards means that odds will usually remain relatively unchanged until awards night – unless a major scandal gets in the way of course!

When is the Best Time to Bet on the Oscars?

The winners of the Oscars are decided quite some time in advance of the ceremony. For this reason, we suggest waiting as late as possible to place your bets. This is because the more time that passes, the greater chance there will be of some information being released that could prove to be invaluable for your wager. As we discussed in our top tips, with some careful considerations, you could know the winner of particular categories with a very high level of certainty.


Past Winners

Below you can find all the winners in the Best Picture, Best Actor and Best Actress categories over the last decade.

YearBest Picture Winner
2019Green Book
2018The Shape of Water
201412 Years a Slave
2012The Artist
2011The King’s Speech
2010The Hurt Locker
YearBest Actor Winner
2020Joaquin Phoenix
2019Rami Malek
2018Gary Oldman
2017Casey Affleck
2016Leonardo Di Caprio
2015Eddie Redmayne
2014Matthew McConaughey
2013Daniel Day-Lewis
2012Jean Dujardin
2011Colin Firth
2010Sean Penn
YearBest Actress Winner
2020Renée Zellweger
2019Olivia Colman
2018Frances McDormand
2017Emma Stone
2016Brie Larson
2015Julianne Moore
2014Cate Blanchett
2013Jennifer Lawrence
2012Meryl Streep
2011Natalie Portman
2010Sandra Bullock


Fun Facts About the Oscars

  • The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences officially adopted the nickname ‘Oscars‘ in 1939.
  • More than 3,140 statuettes have been handed out since the first show in 1929.
  • Meryl Streep holds the record for the most nominations in acting with 21 nods.
  • Walt Disney is the most successful winner, with 22 wins plus 4 honorary awards.
  • The youngest recipient of an Oscar was Tatum O'Neal, who won best supporting actress for Paper Moon in 1974 at the tender age of 10.
  • The oldest winner of an Oscar was Christopher Plummer, who at age 82 won best supporting actor for his role in Beginners.


Oscars Betting FAQs

💶 When and what time will the 2021 Oscars take place? (UK timezone)

Although the original date for the 2021 Oscars was set for 28th February, it has been postponed to the 25th of April due to the effect of the 2020 global pandemic on the film industry. We will add the time of the event (for viewers in the UK timezone) after it has been confirmed.

⚖️ Where do they take place?

Every year the Oscars are held in the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, California.

🛡️ Who is hosting?

We will add the name of the host after they have been announced.

🏆 Where can I watch the awards?

In the UK you can watch the Oscars live using a Sky Cinema Pass with Now TV (a seven-day free trial is offered).


ThePuntersPage Final Say & Predictions

The Academy Awards make for an exciting betting spectacle, and is a specials event which many punters look forward to. To know more you can also check about Novelty Bets.