Bookies have matched the ever-increasing glitz and glamour of the Premier League transfer window by offering punters a plethora of related markets. While not so straightforward, betting on the transfer market has the potential to be profitable, so here's a guide to Premier League transfers and how to bet on them!

Here’s the latest transfer news and updates for each of the Premier League’s ‘Big Six’:

Manchester City Summer Transfers

We could see a new-look Man City next season with two strikers arriving to fill the void left by the departure of Sergio Aguero last summer. Erling Haaland is the blockbuster arrival of the summer, while young Argentine Julian Alvarez will provide ample depth. However, they could be hamstrung by the potential exits of Raheem Sterling to Chelsea and Bernardo Silva to Barcelona. Nathan Ake has also been linked with a return to Stamford Bridge.

Pep Guardiola will be disappointed to lose Gabriel Jesus to Arsenal and it remains to be seen whether the Cityzens bolster their attacking ranks further this summer. One might think that another wide player should be targeted.

Kalvin Phillips has all but joined from Leeds United to replace Fernandinho as Rodri’s second-in-command. City will pay £45m for his services.

Liverpool Summer Transfers

Sadio Mane’s exit will hurt Liverpool greatly, but the arrival of Darwin Nunez from Benfica will somewhat mitigate the Senegalese’s transfer to Bayern Munich. Nunez scored 34 goals in all competitions last season and will compete with Diogo Jota, Roberto Firmino, and Luis Diaz for a spot in Jurgen Klopp’s front three.

The Reds have also brought in young full-back Calvin Ramsey from Aberdeen and teenager Fabio Carvalho from Fulham. Takumi Minamino has departed for Monaco, while Divock Origi has also left the club.

In terms of rumours, Liverpool have been loosely linked with stunning moves for Serge Gnabry and Nicolo Barella, but such deals will be incredibly tough to pull off. Jude Bellingham will be targeted next summer.

Chelsea Summer Transfers

Chelsea have got a LOT of work to do ahead of the 2022/23 season, but new owner Todd Boehly is trying his utmost to appease supporters.

City’s Raheem Sterling is poised to join the club along with Leeds winger Raphinha. Chelsea have agreed a mammoth £60m deal for the Brazilian’s services. Those two will complement an attack that’ll be spearheaded by Kai Havertz after Romelu Lukaku returned to Inter Milan.

The Blues also need reinforcements at centre-back following the exits of Antonio Rudiger and Andreas Christensen. Sevilla’s Jules Kounde is a priority target while Napoli’s Kalidou Koulibaly and Juventus’ Matthijs de Ligt are other names on Boehly’s wishlist.

In midfield, Conor Gallagher is set to be integrated into Thomas Tuchel’s squad following his impressive loan spell at Crystal Palace, while Jorginho’s future is up in the air. The Blues could make a big-money move for West Ham skipper Declan Rice.

Tottenham Summer Transfers

Spurs made a proactive start to the summer window by signing Ivan Perisic, who starred for Antonio Conte at Inter, and Fraser Forster on free transfers before adding Brighton’s Yves Bissouma to their midfield ranks.

The Lilywhites are poised to enjoy a busy window with the likes of Harry Winks, Steven Bergwijn, and Emerson Royal strongly linked with moves away.

Conte will undoubtedly still want several new additions, however, and it looks like Everton forward Richarlison will be their fourth summer signing with Barcelona defender Clement Lenglet swiftly following him through the door.

Fabio Paratici and co will then go about bringing in another centre-back before wrapping up a deal for exciting Middlesbrough full-back Djed Spence.

Arsenal Summer Transfers

Gabriel Jesus is Arsenal’s fourth summer signing, and his addition has excited many supporters over their prospects next season. The Brazilian has been promised a leading role in Mikel Arteta’s rebuild, but it remains to be seen whether his long-term future lies in a central position.

Marquinhos, Fabio Vieira and Matt Turner make up the rest of Arsenal’s summer haul, but you can expect a few more players to come through the door in north London. William Saliba will also feel like a new signing.

Arteta has identified versatile Ajax defender Lisandro Martinez as a priority target to bolster his backline, while the club will surely seek an alternative for Raphinha after Chelsea swooped for the Brazilian under their noses.

The Gunners could also go back in for midfielder Youri Tielemans after their interest in the Belgian cooled.

On the departures front, Alexandre Lacazette has returned to Lyon, while the club are hoping to offload Nicolas Pepe, Lucas Torreira, Hector Bellerin, and Bernd Leno to help fund further incomings.

Manchester United Summer Transfers

Erik ten Hag’s rebuild is underway in Manchester! Frenkie de Jong looks set to be the first statement arrival of the Dutchman’s reign, while left-back Tyrell Malacia is also on the club’s radar. The Red Devils are hoping to wrap up a deal for Malacia soon.

United are also in the running for Arsenal target Lisandro Martinez and their proposed raid of Ten Hag’s former club could continue with a move for Brazilian winger Antony. Ajax defender Jurrien Timber, however, looks poised to stay in Amsterdam.

Christian Eriksen could arrive on a free transfer, too. The Dane has proposals from several clubs but is yet to decide his future.

In terms of departures, Andreas Pereira and Jesse Lingard have been linked with moves to Fulham and West Ham respectively. Lingard is a free agent after running down his contract at Old Trafford.

Cristiano Ronaldo will not be leaving the club this summer.

Rest of the Premier League Player Transfer Updates

Newcastle were expected to be a protagonist this summer and they’ve started the transfer window by making two shrewd signings. Nick Pope and Sven Botman will bolster Eddie Howe’s backline.

Aston Villa have also made a pair of notable additions with Diego Carlos and Boubacar Kamara arriving from overseas. Philippe Coutinho has also completed a permanent move to Villa Park.

It’ll also be interesting to see how Leeds go about replacing Raphinha. Marc Roca has been signed from Bayern to mitigate Kalvin Phillips’ exit, while Brenden Aaronson and Rasmus Kristensen have arrived from RB Salzburg for a combined £35m.

Some other interesting pieces of business from the rest of the Premier League include Nottingham Forest’s record-breaking deal to sign Taiwo Awoniyi from Union Berlin and Southampton’s move for VfL Bochum’s Armel Bella-Kotchap and

Apart from West Ham’s £30m deal for Rennes defender Nayef Aguerd, the Hammers are also hopeful of striking a deal with Villarreal for versatile forward Arnaut Danjuma.

As well as player transfers, punters can also bet on a variety of Premier League managerial markets throughout the season. Among other markets, you can bet on who the next manager of a selected Premier League club will be, or the next manager to get the sack!

Premier League clubs can refresh their squads before the start of the season and midway through the campaign. Below are the Premier League deadlines for the summer and January transfer windows in the 2022/23 season.

2022/232 Summer Transfer Window

Opens: 10 June 2022Closes: 1 September 2022 (23:00 GMT)

2022/23 January Transfer Window

Opens: 1 January 2023Closes: 31 January 2023

PlayerMoved to Fee
1.Darwin NunezLiverpool (from Benfica)£85m
2.Erling HaalandManchester City (from Borussia Dortmund)£51.1m
3.Gabriel JesusArsenal (from Manchester City)£45m
4.Fabio VieiraArsenal (from Porto)£35m
5.Nayef AguerdWest Ham (from Rennes)£30m
6.Diego CarlosAston Villa (from Sevilla)£26m
7.Yves BissoumaTottenham (from Brighton)£25m
8.Brendon AaronsonLeeds (from RB Salzburg)£24.7m
9.Philippe Coutinho Aston Villa (from Barcelona)£17m
10.Matt TargettNewcastle (from Aston Villa)£15m

Betting on the transfer market is difficult due to the sheer volume of transfer rumours that circulate on even the most innocuous of days. To make a serious profit, a lot depends on mere hunches, although reading sources you can trust aids your ability to make better-informed betting decisions. The key is to filter out all the nonsense, and separate the reliable from the rubbish.

It’s tough, especially when you consider how quick bookmakers are to adjust odds according to the latest gossip. They know more than the average Joe, that’s for sure. Nevertheless, here are four handy tips for betting on player transfers.

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    1. Stay Up-To-Date With the News In order to master transfer market betting, you must keep on top of the news. The use of social media is crucial in this regard, and Twitter is especially brilliant for efficiently accessing news from across the continent. While you must not believe everything you read, it’s important to stay up-to-date with the latest updates when betting on the transfer market.

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    2. Use Reliable Sources The surplus of information, the plethora of media outlets and multitude of sources means that we can get overwhelmed by transfer news, especially during the transfer windows. Thus, it’s imperative that you follow ‘reliable’ sources, especially on Twitter. Fabrizio Romano is the ultimate transfer guru, while journalists and reporters who work closely with clubs, like Alasdair Gold at Tottenham Hotspur, also hold significant value. The Athletic has emerged as a reliable outlet, too, while the likes of Sky Sports shouldn’t be taken for gospel due to their relationship with Sky Bet.

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    3. Find the Best Odds Bookmakers are sharp. As soon as any significant transfer news breaks, odds will be altered accordingly. Thus, you’ve got to be proactive and bet before the bookie’s odds shorten. A little bit of luck is definitely involved, and you may trust your hunch in some instances. Nevertheless, having access to reliable sources of information is key to mastering betting on Premier League transfers. Then, you must find the right bookmaker. While transfer market betting isn’t exactly universal, the majority of bookies do offer a few transfer-related specials of some sort. To optimise your profit, you must find the bookmaker that offers the best odds. A useful way to find this out is by utilising ‘Oddschecker’ to compare different markets and odds.

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    4. Find the Best Transfer-Related Market Much like traditional football betting, you must find the right market for you when it comes to betting on Premier League transfers. While there aren’t too many options, there is some variation. Regarding players, bookmakers will typically provide ‘Next Permanent Club’ and ‘Team After X Transfer Window’ markets. Sometimes, you’ll be able to bet on whether the player in question will stay at their current club.

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    It’s all about finding the right market and the most profitable option that suits you best. Where do you think you’ll have the most success?

Tip: We recommend using KickForm for football tips, predictions and odds.

PlayerMoved toDateFee
1.Jack GrealishManchester City (from Aston Villa)August 2021£100m
2.Romelu Lukaku Chelsea (from Inter Milan)August 2021£97.5m
3.Paul PogbaManchester United (from Juventus)August 2016£93.25m
4.Romelu LukakuManchester United (from Everton)July 2017£90m
5.Harry MaguireManchester United (from Leicester City)August 2019£80m
6.Kai HavertzChelsea (from Bayer Leverkusen)September 2020£75.8m
7.Virgil van DijkLiverpool (from Southampton)January 2018£75m
8.Jadon SanchoManchester United (from Borussia Dortmund)July 2021£73m
9.Nicolas PepeArsenal (from Lille)August 2019£72m
10.Kepa ArrizabalagaChelsea (from Athletic Bilbao)August 2018£71.6m

Transfer betting isn’t limited to just the Premier League. Bookmakers will offer markets for a variety of players from across Europe’s most popular leagues. Check out our guides to transfer betting in other European leagues below:

Betting on Premier League transfers is difficult; it’s tricky to make any substantial profit by using logic and reason, and you’re dependent on reliable outlets of information for your betting strategy to come off. Nevertheless, betting on the transfer market is one way of spicing up the season when the transfer windows are closed. It’s a fun way to bet and can be very profitable if you do get it right.

It’s different for every bookmaker, but typically, you can bet on a player’s next permanent club or what club that player will be at after the upcoming transfer window.

Yes. Bookmakers will offer a variety of players who could be on the move and there’s nothing stopping you from betting on as many as you want.

Yes, you can bet on a player not to switch clubs. With most bookmakers, there’s an option to back a player to stay at their current club despite all the media talk.

Of course, you can. There are a variety of manager-related transfer betting markets which you can learn a little more about in our manager betting guide.    

1 September 2023 at 23:00 (GMT).

Author Avatar
WRITTEN BY James Cormack View all posts by James Cormack

Big sports fan specialising in football. Experienced the lows of Vlad Chiriches and Tim Sherwood as a Spurs fan along with the more recent ‘success’ under Pochettino. My following of the New England Patriots since 2012 somewhat makes up for the lack of silverware produced by Spurs in my lifetime.

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