Football Player Transfer Betting Odds & Sites (2020 Update)

We all hate it during the close season when there is no domestic football to enjoy each week. However, one thing that gets many though such barren times is following the gossip columns, rumour mills and potential heavy spending that exists when players are football transfers and betting on these odds. In this article, we explain all you need to know player transfer betting. This includes exactly what it is and how it works, where you can place this type of wager and more.

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Paddy Power
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Football Player Transfer Betting Odds Specials: Top 9 Bookmakers


Popular Football Player Transfer Betting Odds Specials

Cristiano Ronaldo Next Permanent Club (Paddy Power Odds)

Inter Miami 2/1
PSG 7/2
Real Madrid 15/2
Bayern Munich 9/1
Manchester Utd 12/1
Any Chinese Club 14/1
Sporting 18/1

Messi Next Permanent Club (Paddy Power Odds)

Manchester City 9/4
Juventus 4/1
Any Argentinian Club9/2
Inter Milan 5/1
PSG 15/2
Any MLS Club 14/1
Manchester Utd 20/1
Liverpool 20/1
Chelsea 33/1
Napoli 50/1
Bayern Munich 66/1
Lazio 100/1
Real Madrid 100/1

Neymar to Sign For Before 1st September 2020 (Paddy Power Odds)

Barcelona 9/4
Real Madrid7/1
Juventus 14/1
Newcastle 20/1
Any MLS Club 20/1

Check out all the other Player Transfer Specials at Paddy Power!


What is Football Player Transfer Betting?


Football Transfer Betting Odds

(Image: Neymar, pricey I © Antoine Dellenbach | Licence: CC BY 2.0)


Transfer windows, of which there are two in a year, allow football clubs to have the opportunity of bolstering their squads or thinning an overcrowded and often costly one. There are many factors that can lead to players looking to transfer to other teams. New managers may have come in meaning former favourite players have fallen from grace or perhaps that game changing new signing the club made three seasons ago wasn’t as game changing as the club had hoped and the chairman has decided to cut their losses on some deadweight. The point being that there are many reasons that players might look to transfer, from going up a level or deserting a sinking ship. What all this means to us, however, is that, apart from making the summer more exciting, it opens up a whole new betting market for us to get involved in.


What Kinds of Football Player Transfer Betting Odds Can You Wager On?

From the Premier League to La Liga, from Serie A to the Bundesliga, bookmakers are always quick to react to the latest transfer rumours which are rife over the season. Often dubbed “silly season”, it’s true that a great deal of these rumours will be nothing more than nonsense, made up by bored football editors and people looking for followers on social media. But, once you sort the silliness from the factual, you’ll have a whole new world of betting opportunities to play with. Perhaps this is why betting on player transfers in football has become increasingly popular over recent years. Player transfer betting allows you to bet on a certain player, or manager for that matter, moving to a certain club, or simply leaving their current one. Other markets in this enjoyable field include to stay at the current club, which club a player will be at after the summer window closes, as well as which player will be at once the January window slams shut too.

Next Permanent Club Market Player Transfer Odds


Next Permanent Club Market


This is essentially betting on a player which, unless you know something no one else does, will usually involve a player already in the news regarding a transfer to his next permanent club. This market lets you bet on the next team he will play for but does not require you to nominate a particular transfer window when his move will occur. Again, though, don’t pay too much attention to the “in the knows” on Twitter, they are more often than not, “know nothings”. Instead, follow real journalists with strong club connections and before long you’ll get to know the better-informed scribes out there. Remember, you can always bet on players NOT to move too, instead opting to stay put at their current club. There are all manner of ways you are able to approach these markets.

Next Club Signing Market Player Transfer Odds

Another way to look at transfer betting, is to look at it from the signing team’s point of view. This is to say, bet on the next player to join a club, any club. So, if you have a hunch that player x will be the next big money signing through the doors at, say, Chelsea, then this is the bet for you.

To Break Transfer Record Market

A bet on this market would require you to successfully predict that one club, either across the world by which in reality we mean Europe, or domestically, will smash through the existing transfer record within a designated time period. So, if during one summer window you expect and have read reports that Real Madrid has been persistent in their desired recruitment of a certain player and that such a transfer would blow all others that have gone before it out of the water, then this is the market for that bet.


Top 10 Most Expensive Football Player Transfers Of All Time

Neymar JrBarcelona To Paris Saint Germain £198 million2017
KylianMbappéMonaco To Paris Saint Germain £128 million2018
João FélixBenfica To Atlético de Madrid£114 million2019
Antoine GriezmannAtlético de Madrid To Barcelona£107 million2019
Philippe CoutinhoLiverpool To Barcelona£105 million2018
Ousmane DembéleBVB To Barcelona£97 million2017
Paul Pogba Juventus To Man Utd£89 million2016
Eden HazardChelsea To Real Madrid£89 million2019
Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid To Juventus£88 million2018
Gareth BaleTottenham To Real Madrid£86 million2013


When Are The Transfer Windows?

Below we've created a table that shows the dates for the transfer window schedules which vary depending on the country.

Country Pre-season WindowMid-season Window
Albania1 June – 31 August1 January – 31 January
Australia27 July – 18 October4 January – 2 February
Brazil1 January – 31 March14 July – 13 August
Bulgaria16 June – 8 September25 January – 22 February
Canada14 February – 8 May10 July – 9 August
Denmark11 June – 1 September5 January – 31 January
England1 June – 31 August1 January – 31 January
Finland1 March – 30 April1 August – 31 August
France1 June – 31 August1 January – 2 February
Germany1 June – 31 August1 January – 2 February
Italy1 June – 31 August1 January – 2 February
Japan6 January – 31 March21 July – 18 August
Kenya1 December – 31 January1 January – 30 June
Netherlands11 June – 2 September3 January – 31 January
Norway12 January – 4 April19 July – 15 August
Romania16 June – 8 September25 January – 22 February
Russia17 June – 6 September28 January – 28 February
Scotland9 June – 1 September1 January – 1 February
Spain1 June – 31 August1 January – 2 February
Sweden8 January – 31 March15 July – 11 August
Turkey11 June – 1 September5 January – 31 January
USA14 February – 8 May10 July – 9 August


Why Bet On Football Player Transfer Betting Odds?

Betting on football transfer specials isn’t only about scoring a big win and making a huge profit. Well, ok, it is a bit about that. But, there are also other reasons to dabble in these markets. Reasons, such as:

Make The Close Season More Interesting

One very obvious aspect of betting on summer window transfers is that it can liven up the summer close season. This down time can be notoriously dull while we wait for August to come around and following the transfer rumours is a very popular distraction. As such, why not make some money out of it?

Rumours Are Fun

That’s right, at the end of the day, following the transfer rumour mill can pay dividends. While 90% of what you will read will be silly and rubbish, 10% of it will not be and 100% of it will be fun to read and talk about, either with friends or online. At the end of the day, transfer rumours help the close season pass as painlessly as possible.

Influence Your Future Football Betting

Playing the transfer betting specials can also provide you with some much-needed inspiration for the incoming new season. For instance, in playing the transfer specials market over the summer, you way fell have become familiar with players that might very well be a good bet for top goal scorer or potential player of the year. You may have read reports on how new players are likely to fit into a particular managerial philosophy and agree or disagree with the report’s findings. Use this to fuel your knowledge on the forthcoming season and carry on your hot streak from the summer into the season.


Football Player Transfer FAQs

🔐 What if I Bet on a Player to Move And he Doesn’t Join The Club I Nominated?

That depends on the bet you made. If you simply bet on the player to move, then don’t worry, your bet is fine. If, however, you nominated a club and he joined an entirely different team, then your bet is a loser.

🇦🇹 Can I Bet on a Player to Not to Switch Clubs?

Yes, you always have the option of betting on a player not to move.

🇨🇭 What About Managers, is There a Market For Them to Move as Well?

There sure is and you can read more about it here.

🙋 Do Free Transfers Count?

In some cases, yes. Obviously, these will not break any transfer records but they still see a player move to his next permanent club.

📵 Can You Bet on a Player Joining Any Club in a Nominated League or Country?

Yes, for example, you could back player x to sign for “any Chinese club” or perhaps to play in Serie A next season. There really are lots of markets available plus others on request.


ThePuntersPage Final Say

Transfer windows may only come around twice a year, once in the summer and once after Christmas, but the constant media speculation never stops or takes a breath when it comes to publishing rumours. Thankfully, what this means is that we are now able to bet on player transfers all season long, even outside of the windows. It’s a yearlong open market. And why shouldn’t we enjoy it? Betting on transfer windows can provide a great opportunity to profit on players who are on the move or even some that aren’t for that matter.