The Eurovision final 2025 is here! The running order has been confirmed, and the UK have been dealt a killer blow with the trio set to take the stage in 8th position.
The UK’s Eurovision hopes have been destroyed; the last time a nation won the Eurovision from 8th spot was in 1998. Although Loreen won it from 9th in 2023.
Since 2019, the UK has finished in last, last, 2nd, 25th, and 18th. Since 2010, the UK has finished outside the top 20 eight times. Our hopes aren’t too high this year either.
Even though the odds don’t look as bad for Remember Monday, they’re still unlikely to do very well. The odds of finishing in the top 10 are 9/1 with BoyleSports.
The Eurovision Running Order
The Eurovision final 2025 running order has been confirmed. The running order has a massive effect on how a song will fare in televoting, so for betting purposes, it’s crucial.
| 1 | Norway | 10 | Iceland | 19 | Switzerland |
| 2 | Luxembourg | 11 | Latvia | 20 | Malta |
| 3 | Estonia | 12 | Netherlands | 21 | Portugal |
| 4 | Israel | 13 | Finland | 22 | Denmark |
| 5 | Lithuania | 14 | Italy | 23 | Sweden |
| 6 | Spain | 15 | Poland | 24 | France |
| 7 | Ukraine | 16 | Germany | 25 | San Marino |
| 8 | United Kingdom | 17 | Greece | 26 | Albania |
| 9 | Austria | 18 | Armenia |
Studies have shown that the position in the Eurovision running order can drastically increase or decrease your chance of success.
-
In 68 editions, no team has ever won it from the 2nd spot. That’s a curse unlikely to be broken in 2025.
-
There have never been any winners in the 16th, 25th or 26th position either, but there have been fewer editions with that many countries taking part.
-
17th is statistically the best position with 7 winners, which makes 16th having no winners crazy.
In fact, taking a look at the previous results can reveal which spots are best:
| Position | Total Wins | Wins Since 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| 1st to 8th | 17 | 1 |
| 9th to 16th | 27 | 8 |
| 17th to 24th | 27 | 15 |
| 25th + | 0 | 0 |
* There have been 71 winners in 68 editions. In 1969, four countries topped the leaderboard, and they shared the title.
It’s clear which spots get the most traction, and with the favourites Sweden being placed in 19th, their winning is looking even more likely. They’re currently priced at 1/1 with BoyleSports.
For 2025, it’s basically not worth betting on any of the first 8 songs or the last 2 songs. None of them had a good chance to begin with, but they’ve been hit with a positional curse.
Outright Favourites
You can check out the full range of odds, as well as some more detailed tips and insights on our Eurovision betting page.
Not too much has changed since the start of the week, except the fact that there have been two huge surprise eliminations in Belgium and the Czech Republic.
| Country | Outright Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 1/1 | BoyleSports |
| Austria | 10/3 | BoyleSports |
| France | 9/1 | BetVictor |
| Netherlands | 18/1 | Spreadex |
| Finland | 20/1 | Spreadex |
| Switzerland | 33/1 | BoyleSports |
| Israel | 35/1 | Spreadex |
| Estonia | 40/1 | Spreadex |
| Albania | 70/1 | Spreadex |
| Malta | 150/1 | Spreadex |
| United Kingdom | 150/1 | Spreadex |
| Italy | 175/1 | Spreadex |
Sweden is almost guaranteed the trophy at this point, and they’re so confident that Malmö has already stated that they don’t want to host the event again.
Austria had a barnstorming semi-final, and another solid performance in the final could be enough to cause an upset.
If you’re looking for an outsider, Malta is priced as high as 150/1, and as low as 50/1 with 10bet. It’s a massive longshot, but the odds tell an interesting story.
Other Eurovision Markets
To Finish in the Top 10
There are a few countries which will likely be in and around the top 10. With BoyleSports, Malta priced at 9/4, Italy at 2/1, and Ukraine at 11/10, have the best odds to finish in the top ten.
Miscellaneous News
Beloved Doctor Who actor Ncuti Gatwa will no longer be announcing the UK points at tonight’s event due to ‘unforeseen circumstances’
Sophie Ellis-Bextor will be taking on the role in the Eurovision final 2025.