The second major of the year kicks off on Thursday, 14th May, as Aronimink GC plays host to the 2026 PGA Championship. I’ve got four bets for the week, ranging from 17/2 all the way up to 250/1, as I pick apart one of the strongest fields of the season. Let’s jump in.
TL; DR – My Four PGA Championship 2026 Betting Tips
These are the best odds on the market right now. Just for context, by shopping around and taking these prices, you’re getting considerably more value. For example, Rickie Fowler is priced at 80/1 with Unibet and just 50/1 with BetMGM, and Nicolai Hojgaard is 90/1 with Unibet and 66/1 with bet365. Check out the best golf betting sites for more of the best odds.
| Bet | Bookies | Odds | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy to win | bet365 | 17/2 | 2 |
| Ricky Fowler e/w | Unibet | 80/1 | 1 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard e/w | Unibet | 90/1 | 1 |
| Aldrich Potgieter e/w | BetMGM | 250/1 | 0.5 |
*Odds correct at 10:30 BST on 11/05/2026. Odds subject to change.
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Bet 1: McIlroy to Continue Season Grand Slam Quest
I’m a big fan of horses for courses when it comes to betting on golf. You hear players every week talk about tracks that suit their eye and how certain conditions generally fit their game better than others.
There are, of course, outliers in this, such as your Schefflers and McIlroys of the world, and we’re at a point now where you need to pick between one or the other. This week, I’m backing Rory to win at 17/2.
There has not been a PGA Tour tournament held at Aronimink GC since the 2018 BMW Championship, so there’s not a lot of data to go on, but it just so happened that McIlroy finished fifth here, so it’s clearly a track that he likes.
It’s also a course whose baseline is up to 30% higher in favour of players who hit it long and have a high approach play metric. Double tick for Rory.
Consistency might not have been McIlroy’s strongest suit this year, but playing one event since winning the Masters shows that everything has been tailored toward success here at the PGA Championship. Even at last week's Truist Championship, he played well for two rounds, had a scratchy middle and then one poor round. But what’s key to this is that he lost strokes putting and around the green, two areas where he’s usually very strong.
My concern with backing Rory would be if the driver wasn’t working. This is hard to fix. But that’s not the case. You can spray it around at Aronimink GC, and that should play to the strengths of the six-time-major winner.
Bet 2: Rickie Fowler to Continue His Good Form
It’s been a long time since Rickie Fowler made it on to one of my bet slips, but we’re rolling it back like it was 2017 and taking on Californian to go well this week in Pennsylvania.
Fowler has carried on his good form at the back end of 2025 into 2026. He had a great chance to get his first win since 2023 at the Truist last week, and fluffed his lines with a couple of weak putts coming down the stretch to finish T2.
But that’s still a net positive for the former world number two. He’s now back in the top 50; he’s made three consecutive top-10 finishes and seven out of 11 top-20 finishes so far this season.
Putting our horses for courses cap back on for a second, only Justin Rose has played more competitive rounds at Aronimink GC in this week's field, with Fowler finishing T13 and T8 from those tournaments, gaining 1.63 strokes in the process.
Odds of 80/1 are good enough to take him on as an each-way bet, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him in the mix for a fourth straight tournament come Sunday.
Bet 3: Nicolai Hojgaard – Bombers at the Ready
With less of an impetus around driving accuracy and putting this week, I’ve been looking at a group of bombers in the mid-field to see who might go well. There are a couple of standouts in there, such as Chris Gottrup, Jake Knapp, Marco Penge, Gary Woodland and Min Woo Lee, who I want to give notable nods to.
But my pick out of the bunch is the Dane, Nicolai Hojgaard.
Now, if you’d asked me two years ago about who, between him and his twin brother Rasmus, would have the better career, I’d have likely edged towards Rasmus. It’s not really panning that way, however, with Nicolai now breaking into the top 30 in the world and Rasmus heading in the wrong direction.
What’s impressed me with Hojgaard this season has been his improvement on the greens. Sure, he averages 320 off the tee and, on his day, is one of the better iron players in the world, but he’s struggled on the greens, and if you look at his record in his last 25 starts, there’s a direct correlation between how he putts and where he finishes.
Like Fowler, he had a chance to win last week at the Truist, before finishing T2 – his fifth top-six finish of the season. He’s knocking at the door and has the talent to win a major. Odds of 90/1 make him another great PGA Championship each-way pick this week, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this price cut before tee time on Thursday.
Bet 4: Aldrich Potgieter – A Curve Ball Pick
I always like to throw in a stray curveball pick for my major bets, just to say “I told you so” as much as anything. This week I’m going for the longest hitter on tour, Aldrich Potgieter.
Now, don’t put the last of Grandma’s inheritance on this one; he’s priced at around 250/1 for a reason, but this kid has talent. And speed. Lots of speed.
He averages 326.9 yards off the tee this season, which, quite frankly, is absurd at 21 years old. We know that Aronimink GC will suit the bombers, so as long as he’s fairly consistent off the tee, I think he’s got a chance to place here.
Potgieter comes into the week in decent form, as well. He finished fifth at the Genesis in February, has three top 25’s in his last five starts, and if he can get that putter to behave, he could be in the mix come Sunday.
As I say, approach this one with caution, but if you like bang for your buck, Potgieter each way packs a punch.
My Four Betting Tips for the 2026 PGA Championship
