Boxing specialist (@OltaiPaul) previews Canelo Alvarez v Rocky Fielding and provides us with his best bets for the Super Middleweight clash on Saturday night.

Canelo Alvarez v Rocky Fielding Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 15/12/18
  • Time: 11pm (ET) & 5am (GMT)
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden, NY
  • Channel: DAZN (US) & Sky Sports Main Event (UK)

After what is possibly not just the biggest victory of his career so far but may be his biggest victory he will have, Canelo Alvarez captured the Super WBA Middleweight and WBC Middleweight titles defeating long reigning champion Gennady Golovkin in what some deem a controversial majority decision after their also controversial draw the previous year. In what will only be his 2nd bout of 2018, Alvarez is looking to step up another weight having originally started his career as a Welterweight and winning a world title at Super Welterweight before then capturing the Middleweight crown he looks to now take on Britain’s WBA regular Super Middleweight champion in Rocky Fielding.

With Fielding having went over to Germany and defeating then regular champion Tyron Zeuge in July this year by 5th round knock out it came as a huge shock when it was announced his first defence would be against world boxing star Alvarez. With just one defeat on his record to fellow Brit Callum Smith via 1st round knock out in 2015 Fielding has went on to remain undefeated since having picked up the British and Commonwealth belts before capturing the WBA regular title as previously stated this year. Some may not regard the regular title in high esteem but it still holds the honour of being called a world champion in many people’s eyes and a lot would not have begrudged Fielding making multiple less high profile defences, so the fact he has accepted Alvarez has his first defence has to be given big props.

For Alvarez the last 12 months have been very up and down for the once defeated Mexican warrior. Having fought to a controversial draw vs Golovkin it then surfaced he had failed a drug test for banned substance clenbuterol, this then subsequently led to a 6 month ban delaying the re-match with Golovkin. Finally getting his chance again in September this year many felt we would see a different Alvarez to previous but proving his doubters wrong he went on to claim a majority decision and replace Golovkin as Middleweight king. Wanting to further prove himself he has now decided to step up another weight division and take on Fielding and capture a ‘world’ title at a 3rd weight class.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Alvarez has been a professional boxer since the young age of 15.
  • Both currently only have one defeat each on their record, Alvarez (Floyd Mayweather) and Fielding (Callum Smith).
  • Alvarez is giving away 5 inches height advantage being 5’ 8’’ and Fielding 6’ 1’’ with a negative of 4.5’’ reach.
  • Despite being the older man Fielding has had nearly half the bouts Alvarez has.

Betting Odds

  • Canelo Alvarez 1/16 (SkyBet)
  • Draw 33/1 (SkyBet)
  • Rocky Fielding 8/1 (Bet365)

The Verdict

For me I personally cannot see beyond a Alvarez victory despite the physical disadvantages he may hold. Alvarez has operated at a much higher level for most of his career and has faced these types of physical disadvantages previously when facing fellow Mexican Chavez Jr in 2017 who is also a lofty 6’ 1’’. With superior upper body movement and the ability to stay in the pocket and not take much punishment you cannot help but feel this is the perfect opponent for Alvarez to step into the 168lb division.

The one advantage people may feel Fielding holds and probably his biggest asset is his power, but for me he doesn’t hit no harder than Golovkin who in 24 rounds against Alvarez never once visibly hurt him. The way Alvarez works to the body is the perfect way to break down the physically taller opponent in Fielding, this leads me to think Alvarez will pick up a victory in the mid stages between rounds 4-6 with Fielding unable to continue.

Recommended Bets

  • Alvarez to win between rounds 4-6 9/4 (Bet365)
  • Fielding’s corner to throw in the towel 7/1 (SkyBet)