There’s something truly ecstatic about a match where a team secures victory from behind — especially when your own team turns the tables during injury time or at the eleventh hour. Among the greatest wins in history are these epic comebacks, and it’s only natural that there’s a betting market for such remarkable feats.

draftkings comeback betting market desktop screenshot
(Source: DraftKings)

In this type of betting, you’re essentially making a wager that one team will concede at some point in the match, and go ahead and win the game. It doesn’t matter whether your pick concedes in the first or second half — all that counts is for the losing team to come back and win the game within the ninety minutes.

This bet variation applies to injury time and doesn’t include games requiring extra time or penalty shootouts. Additionally, if you're betting on the second leg of a two-game series, what happens in the first game doesn’t affect the comeback bet in the second leg.

Keep in mind that different sports betting sites have varying definitions of the market. For instance, you’ll find terms such as come from behind to win, or come from behind and win.

If you consider placing this type of bet, be sure to do your due diligence. Some teams are well-known for recovering from losses as they’ve got more attacking prowess.

Let’s take a hypothetical scenario of a match between Arsenal and Brighton. You wager on Arsenal to come and win from behind. Arsenal nets the first goal in the first eight minutes, but then Brighton strikes back with two goals putting the team in the lead.

Just before the 70th minute, Arsenal equalizes and then nets another goal. Arsenal stays ahead of the match and on the stroke of the 90th-minute whistle, scores again. The match ends at 4-2, with Arsenal scooping three points.

Here’s a real example from Premier League 2023/2024 — one of the biggest comeback wins in 21 years.

AFC Bournemouth vs. Luton Town

Bournemouth had an extraordinary comeback at the Vitality Stadium, England. The team recovered from a 3-0 and beat Luton in an adrenaline-charged match. In the first half of this game, the Hatters owned Bournemouth with three neat goals by Tahith Chong, Chiedozie Ognebe, and Ross Barkley.

In the second half, however, Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke ignited the team's fire with the first goal at the 50’. The team then went on to score another goal through Illia Zabarnyi and an excellent double through Antoine Semenyo. This completed their ‘come to win from behind' victory.

This betting variation comes with several noteworthy benefits and drawbacks. We’ve described them below for you to determine whether or not it’s something you’d like to try out.

  • Great odds: Top US sportsbooks offer high odds for this market. Usually, you’ll find that they’re 25 to 30 times higher than your initial stake.
  • Easy to pick your betting option: This market has only two options — you bet on either the favorite team or the underdog. Additionally, it’s easy to calculate the result as it’s got only two possible outcomes.
  • Enhances your betting skills: To effectively make a wager on this market, you need to do thorough research on the teams, including their stats, track record, and more. This considerably impacts your gambling skills.
  • Low chances of landing a win: Comeback bets rarely pay off as only one outcome is considered a win. Other outcomes such as ending in a draw or leading from start to end and winning are considered a loss.
  • Involves complex analysis: This betting option can be challenging to predict, particularly in cup fixtures. In addition, it involves rigorous research and team knowledge.
  • Not available on all betting sites: Not all US sports betting sites offer to win from behind betting markets.

There isn’t such a thing as a lost cause in football. History has seen numerous matches where a team would seem to be in total control of a game, only to submit to an unlikely comeback. Below, we have a recap of some famous wins that will go down in the history of football.

Manchester City vs PSG in the Champions League semi-finals 2020/2021

Man City made a comeback from a goal down to win 2-1 against PSG in the Champions League semis first leg at the Parc des Princes.

The Saints took the lead in the first half through a header by Marquinhos in the 15th minute. In the second half, Manchester City went in more attack-minded and equalized in the 64th minute, thanks to a cross sent into the far corner of the net by Kevin De Bruyne.

More good tidings followed for the visitors. With just 19 minutes to the final whistle, Riyad Mahrez's free kick flew through the cracks of the Saint’s wall straight into the net — which is the goal that secured City’s 18th away win in a row.

Manchester United vs Roma in the 2020/2021 Europa League semi-finals

Manchester United came to win from behind after drubbing Roma 6-2 in the first leg of their Europa League semi-finals at Old Trafford.

Roma was leading 2-1 at halftime through Lorenzo Pellegrini’s and Edin Dzeko’s goals scored in the 15th and 33rd minutes consecutively.

The Red Devils, as you’d expect, came back guns blazing in the second half. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men gave an excellent performance as Edison Cavani scored a double — Bruno Fernandes, Paul Pogba, and Mason Greenwood each netted a goal to complete the comeback.

When it comes to comeback betting, it’s important to consider a variety of key factors:

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Team Performance

As with any other betting market, it's wise to conduct a team analysis. Look at the past and recent performances of the team you want to bet on. Answer questions such as: do they score goals? Are they late scorers? Factors like new game strategies and coaches getting fired may also greatly influence the final match outcome.

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Available Team Staff

Before you can place a ‘come from behind to win' bet, you need to see the lineups. If the starting XI lacks key players who are high scorers, the team's chances of coming back may be slim. Put simply, it’s advisable to avoid matches without important players or with the reserve team.

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Teams may not be interested in winning in the early championship, so, always consider the importance of a game. For instance, cup competitions usually produce more goals compared to league competitions. This is because a team’s survival in the competition may be at stake, which means teams won’t play for a draw, they’re looking for a win.

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Derby Event

Another vital factor regarding comeback betting is a derby event. Matches between age-old rivals are often quite intense as only the best comes out at the top. For example, a win from behind may quickly be seen in a match between Everton and Liverpool.

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Home Field Match

Don’t underestimate the power of home field advantage. Teams playing at home are likely to win in a game against the away teams.

Comeback betting is appealing to punters mainly for one reason — they carry high odds. While attaining sustainable profit on comebacks is impossible, the ability to analyze the market and teams can significantly improve your chances of success.

Essentially, statistics will indicate whether a team is likely to crumble and fold upon conceding or if there's a chance for them to make a comeback. Likewise, study the opposition to find out how often they rally in the face of adversity. This kind of information helps you to determine whether or not a ‘come to win from behind' wager is worth making.

Also known as a comeback win, this simply refers to a situation in which a team concedes at some point in a match, and then bounces back and goes ahead to win the game.

‘Win from behind' means the same thing when betting on DraftKings. You simply predict that a team which is behind will go on to win the match by outscoring the opponent. The bet includes injury time but not extra time.

While there isn’t a proven strategy to win in this betting variant, you can improve your odds by utilizing certain approaches, such as team analysis.

This depends on a team’s performance, mental strength, history of coming from behind and winning, as well as other determining factors.

WRITTEN BY David Camilleri View all posts by David Camilleri

David is a sports fanatic with a particular interest in stats and figures. When not writing about sports, you would probably find him playing or watching football, researching stats or sharing the latest news with anyone willing to listen.

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