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The American Express – Latest Odds, Tips & Predictions

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Written by Ben Gibson
Last Updated
15th January 2025

The PGA Tour’s back in full swing, and we’ve lined up some smashing American Express golf tips for a tourney famous for its surprise winners. Remember Hudson Swafford’s 250-1 stunner in 2022? Well, as the 2025 edition kicks off in sunny La Quinta, California, we bring you the latest odds, expert predictions, and the best bookies for a cheeky flutter.

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Now that the Sony Open has seen its final put of the PGA tour, we can see who the bookies fancy to dominate the greens in La Quinta. Here’s your best strike: ten top bookmaker picks to take the title, their best odds and where to find them – the perfect place to tee off your betting strategy!

PlayerNationalityOddsBookmaker
Im Sung-jaeSouth Korean12/1bet365
Justin ThomasAmerican12/1BetVictor
Sam BurnsAmerican14/1Ladbrokes
Patrick CantleyAmerican18/1Betfred
Tony FinauAmerican28/1bet365
Joohyung KimSouth Korean30/1BetVictor
Wyndham ClarkAmerican30/1bet365
Kurt KitayamaAmerican33/1bet365
Max GreysermanAmerican35/1BetVictor
Si Woo JimSouth Korean35/1bet365

Player commitments are in, and we’ve got a full field of 154 hopefuls ready to take on the American Express 2025. Known for being historically kind to outsiders, this tournament can be tricky to call. But we got you covered. Here are three expert American Express golf betting tips to get your wagers flowing. Ready to tee off? Let’s crack on!

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Justin Thomas to win the American Express 2025 (12/1 odds from BetVictor)

What’s striking about the front-runners for the American Express is that none have clinched a tournament win for a while, leaving the door wide open for potential winners. Justin Thomas, however, stands out. He placed third at the Hero World Challenge, behind Scottie Scheffler and Tom Kim—both skipping this event—, tied for second at the Zozo Championship, and secured top spots in the Travellers and PGA Championships. Though inconsistent, Thomas has proven he can compete with the sport's elite. With many big names absent, this could be his chance to shine.

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Patrick Cantlay makes a top 20 finish (20/23 odds from bet365)

Even though Patrick Cantlay only finished in the top 52 last year, we still consider him one of the best American Express golf tips for a top 20 finish. It was a shaky start to 2024, but he has found his rhythm, with five top 20 finishes on the PGA Tour heading into the new year. Most recently, he bagged a top 15 finish in the Sentry and ranked 11th in the Hero World Challenge. So, all in all, this looks like a decent shout for a value bet.

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Im Sung-jae to win Top Korean (0.1/1 odds from BetVictor)

An interesting market for the American Express is betting on which player from each nationality will finish the highest. It’s a cracking way to find extra betting opportunities. Take Im Sung-Jae, for example. While we don’t reckon he’ll take the win, given his tendency to fall short in the big events, we do think he’ll have better results than any other Korean player. He’s far more consistent than Si Woo Kim and Kyung-Hoon Lee, who often struggle to make the cut. Im’s regularly in the top five, so even at 0.1/1 odds, it’s a solid, low risk bet.

We want you fully equipped to analyse every market as the tournament tees off. That’s why we’re going the full 18, giving you insider info on the key golfers, the course, and even the American Express prize money. Get your head around every detail to make the sharpest punts.

Key Golfers to Watch

As the 154 top-notch golfers tee off, bookmakers will feature an abundance of betting options. To avoid feeling overwhelmed, here's a spotlight on six players we think stand out for both fans and punters.

Benjamin Griffin

Official World Golf Ranking: 68

If you're looking for American Express golf tips that go beyond the usual suspects, Ben Griffin is the one to consider, particularly for a top 30 finish. He’s been playing a blinder lately with a top 15 position at the RSM Classic, an 8th-place finish at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, and a top 24 at the WWT Championship. After a brief break from the game during the Covid pandemic, at only 28, he has bounced back with runner-up results at events like the LECOM Suncoast Classic, the Astara Golf Championship and the RBC Canadian Open. With his impressive return to form, Griffin's one you'd be daft to overlook.

Patrick Cantley

Official World Golf Ranking: 11

Patrick Cantlay’s journey from highly touted amateur to one of the golf’s most dependable pros has been a real spectacle. Born in Long Beach, California, in 1992, he was already making waves in the amateur scene, spending an astonishing 55 weeks as the world’s number one. Since turning professional, he’s bagged eight major wins, including the prestigious 2021 FedEx Cup. Whether it’s at the Memorial Tournament, the BMW Championship or the Tour Championship, Cantlay’s ability to take on all types of courses with a steady hand and sharp mind has been remarkable. A proper special talent, this one!

Sam Burns

Official World Golf Ranking: 20

Sam Burns, 28, has quickly established himself as one of golf's rising stars. With five PGA Tour victories under his belt, including the 2023 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, Burns has proven his ability to perform under pressure. Known for combining power with precision, he has excelled on courses that demand both. Notably, his victory at the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge, where he made a stunning comeback from a seven-stroke deficit, solidified his credentials. Burns' consistency makes him well worth considering, particularly on courses where his approach game and putting can shine.

Im Sung-jae

Official World Golf Ranking: 19

Im’s had a solid career so far, with standout wins like The Honda Classic in 2020 and the Shriners Children’s Open in 2021, showing he’s got the chops when it matters. His consistency on tour’s generally impressive, but 2024 didn’t quite live up to the hype, with his usual form eluding him at times. He failed to get the job done, despite coming close on numerous occasions. That said, he's still one to watch in 2025 – he'll be hoping to prove he's not just a good hand, but a winner.

Nick Dunlap

Official World Golf Ranking: 32

At last year's American Express, Nick Dunlap made history by becoming the first amateur in 33 years to win a PGA Tour event. His performance was nothing short of spectacular, with a record-tying 12-under 60 in the third round, giving him a three-shot lead heading into the final day. Dunlap’s win wasn’t just about the numbers though—it was a massive statement about his potential. After turning pro, he didn’t quite hit the ground running, struggling to adjust to the big leagues, but he bounced back with a second victory at the Barracuda Championship. His talent is undeniable. And if he can fine-tune his game in 2025, he could be a force to witness for years to come.

Justin Thomas

Official World Gold Ranking: 21

A seasoned pro with two major championships, five PGA Tour victories, and even a stint as World Number One, Justin Thomas has proven time and again he’s one of the best in the game – and one of the most resilient. We’ve seen Thomas bounce back from failure several times in his career, most spectacularly with his nerve-shredding 2022 PGA Championship win. His entire 2024 season can be seen as a rehabilitation from a disappointing 2023, which saw a missed cut at the Masters and an off-form performance at the Ryder Cup. Steady improvements culminated in a 3rd spot at the Hero World Challenge, and there’s no doubt he’ll be looking to complete his re-emergence as a top-tier talent with a strong showing at the 2025 American Express.

A Deep Dive into La Quinta Country Club: Course Analysis for Punters

La Quinta Country Club is a par-72 with a 7,060-yard layout, known for its narrow fairways, tight greens and strategic water hazards. Tactical players, rather than bombers, are more likely to rise to the top, as La Quinta’s design punishes reckless aggression. It’s crucial to keep this in mind when exploring American Express golf odds.

Punters should focus on players with a solid all-around game—accuracy off the tee, strong short games and good putting stats. That’s why we’re backing the likes of Justin Thomas and Im Sung-jae in the American Express 2025 —both are excellent tacticians and superb with the irons.

American Express Golf Prize Money

There are two key reasons why this tournament attracts a stellar lineup of world-class golfers. Firstly, there’s the prestige – it’s the first leg of the famed West Coast Swing. But let’s not kid ourselves – the real pull is the American Express golf prize money. With a prize pot of $8.8 million and a winner’s share of $1.584 million, it’s no wonder the world’s best swarm here like bees to honey.

And believe it or not, a bigger pot also means more opportunities for punters. No, the winners won’t be sharing. But more prize money attracts top talent, generates interest and brings more bookies into play with a wider range of markets. The more sportsbook involved, the more varied and competitive the odds – giving you plenty of chances to find the best value American Express golf odds.

All Bookies