Check out our guide to the Nobel Peace Prize Odds and our predictions for this year’s winner. Described as the most prestigious prize in the world, the award attracts plenty of betting interest. Read on to discover more.
- 1 Nobel Peace Prize Betting Odds
- 2 Nobel Peace Prize Betting Tips
- 3 Most Popular Nobel Peace Prize Betting Markets
- 4 Best Nobel Peace Prize Betting Sites
- 5 What Is the Nobel Peace Prize Award?
- 6 Nobel Peace Prize Winners During the Last Decade
- 7 Upcoming Novelty Betting Events
- 8 ThePuntersPage Final Say
- 9 Nobel Peace Prize FAQs
Nobel Peace Prize Betting Odds
The Nobel Peace Prize betting odds for 2025 are available. Check out who the best online bookies deem as frontrunners for the distinction.
| Personality | Title | Price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yulia Navalnaya | Economist | 6/4 | William Hill |
| Donald Trump | President of the United States | 3/1 | Coral |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | President of Ukraine | 6/1 | Coral |
| Antonio Gutterres | United Nations Secretary General | 9/1 | William Hill |
| UNRWA/Philippe Lazzarini | Agency/Commissioner general of UNRWA | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Greta Thunberg | Climate and political activist | 12/1 | Ladbrokes |
| UNESCO | Specialised Scientific and Cultural Agency | 12/1 | William Hill |
| David Attenborough | Broadcaster and natural historian | 14/1 | William Hill |
| Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms | Community led initiatives for humanitarian aid | 16/1 | William Hill |
| Narges Mohammadi | Human rights activist | 16/1 | William Hill |
| NATO | Political and military alliance committed to protecting each other from threat | 16/1 | William Hill |
| World Food Programme | Humanitarian organisation | 16/1 | William Hill |
Nobel Peace Prize Betting Tips
When looking at Nobel Prize predictions, it is important to keep abreast of current affairs and to read around key subjects. The identity of the nominees is not released before the prize is awarded and even then, only the winner is revealed, with the names of the other nominees kept under wraps for 50 years.
This year, there is speculation that Yulia Navalnaya, Donald Trump and Antonio Guterres are thought to be among the frontrunners. We have been monitoring the major press releases and tuning in to the top news channels to keep bang up to date. Therefore, these are our Nobel Peace Prize betting tips.
Yulia Navalnaya: Symbol of non-violent protest as a strong candidate (6/4 odds at William Hill)
The bookies are leaning towards Yulia Navalnaya being honoured with the prestigious award this time round. The widow of the Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny has won global recognition and respect for her leadership, courage and dignity, following her husband’s death. She has emerged as a champion of non-violent protest, democracy, resistance and activism. Given the strong feelings evoked by events in Russia and their conflict with Ukraine, we think that she is very likely to receive the prestigious award in December.
Don’t rule out Volodymyr Zelensky (6/1 odds at Coral)
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been one of the favourites each year since 2022, when the Russia/Ukraine war began. He has developed a global reputation for strong leadership and has been involved in regular talks with several nations to resolve the situation. He is, once again, a strong contender, and we think that, while there are more likely winners, it is a possibility. Though being a current wartime leader may count against him.
Antonio Guterres: UN Secretary General as a consistent contender (9/1 odds at William Hill)
Current United Nations Secretary General, Antonio Guterres, features highly among the bookie’s favourites. The Portuguese politician and diplomat has emphasised the need for diplomacy in several conflicts this year and is thought to be among the nominees. He was strongly rumoured to have been nominated last year and his efforts in promoting peace, along with his contribution towards raising awareness about climate change, mean that he is a strong candidate. Thus, we think this is worth looking at – his Nobel Prize Odds are among the shortest.
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms: a great outside shout (16/1 odds at William Hill)
If you are looking to back an organisation, then Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms could offer decent value. They have played a vital role in humanitarian efforts, in the ongoing Sudanese Civil War, helping millions. While there are more high-profile nominees out there, we feel that the committee will be impressed by the organisation’s work.
Sir David Attenborough: veteran broadcaster as a possibility (14/1 odds at William Hill)
Sir David Attenborough, 99, has reportedly been nominated before, back in 2022. A national institution in the UK, Attenborough has consistently championed the natural diversity of the planet and has been an advocate of sustainable and peaceful societies. The odds are currently long enough to make this a good value outside bet.
[Bonus] Donald Trump Nobel Peace Prize Odds: 3/1 with Coral
Few people can divide opinions like US President, Donald Trump. Due to this, we think that he could be worth a speculative punt. And the bookies are still listing Trump Nobel Peace Prize odds among the shortest. The Guardian reported that Benjamin Netanyahu spoke of nominating Trump for his efforts to end the conflict in the Middle East. And the BBC reported, in June, that Pakistan were planning to nominate Trump as recognition for his role in negotiations for a ceasefire between India and Pakistan. Whether the committee will be as impressed by Trump’s efforts remains to be seen, but many observers said that he would not get voted in for another term as US President and were proved wrong. Odds of Trump winning the Nobel Peace Prize have lengthened in recent weeks and we think that there are other more likely candidates. However, history has shown that he can never be written off an election.
Most Popular Nobel Peace Prize Betting Markets
With nominees not officially revealed, there are a lot of markets still ruled out. However, there are a few betting options related to the Nobel Peace Prize, and we have outlined the main ones.
All the bookies that offer Nobel Peace Prize odds have this market. Simply choose who you think will be elected for the prize by the committee.
Most of the leading Nobel Peace Prize betting sites state that they have other markets available on request. One of these is the chance to bet on the nationality of the winner. If you pick the correct nationality, your bet will pay out.
You can bet on whether the winner will be an individual or an organisation, as both are eligible for nominations.
You can wager on whether the winner will be male or female.
Best Nobel Peace Prize Betting Sites
Check out our top list of Nobel Peace Prize Betting Sites.
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William Hill: Great value for Nobel Peace Prize betting
Christopher Sampson: William Hill is a top bookmaker when it comes to betting on awards, and their offering for Nobel Prize betting is no exception. They have regular updated odds, which are out promptly, and their prices are extremely competitive, meaning that you are getting more for your money, should you land a win.
How to Bet on Nobel Peace Prize
Thinking of placing a bet on the Nobel Peace Prize this year? Check out our step-by-step guide and use it to outline your betting strategy.
What Is the Nobel Peace Prize Award?
The Nobel Peace Prize is one of the five Nobel Prizes that was established by the will of Swedish industrialist and inventor Alfred Nobel. The other prizes are for Chemistry, Physics, Physiology or Medicine, and Literature. It was first awarded in 1901 and, barring a few exceptions, has been given annually ever since.
The award is designed to recognise people who have done the most, or the best, work for fraternity between nations, promotion of peace congresses and the abolition - or reduction - of standing armies.
The recipient is selected by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The prize award ceremony is held in Oslo City Hall, in December, with the winner revealed in October.
Who Are the Current Nominees for the Nobel Peace Prize?
There are 338 nominees for the Nobel Peace Prize, 244 are individuals and 94 are organisations. The deadline for nominations was January 31, 2025, and there was a chance for members of the Norwegian Nobel Committee to add further names in a meeting held in late February. There is a large increase in nominees from 2024, where there were 286 nominees.
The Nobel Committee does not confirm the names of the nominees to the media or to the candidates. The names of nominees are only released 50 years after the prize has been awarded. We have, however, listed some of the likely ones for this year.
Leadership, democratic activism, non-violent protest on a global stage.
Attempts to de-escalate the India/Pakistan conflict and the pursuit of peace and security in the Middle East.
Leadership, courage and efforts to find a solution to the conflict with Russia.
For championing the need for diplomacy in several conflicts and for environmental issues.
Long-term champion of environmental conservation and sustainable and peaceful societies.
Global youth climate activist, who has promoted environmental issues and peace.
Humanitarian response during civil war.
How Does Someone Wins the Nobel Peace Prize?
When looking to bet on the Nobel Peace Prize or make Nobel Prize predictions, it is important to know how to win a Nobel Peace Prize. If you know the criteria and the process, then you are more likely to make informed choices. Each year, the Norwegian Nobel Committee specifically invites qualified people to submit nominations for the Nobel Peace Prize. Those qualified to nominate are members of national assemblies and governments, members of the Permanent Court of Arbitration and the International Court of Justice, selected academics, members of the Institut de Droit, and former and permanent advisors to the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Nominations must usually be submitted to the committee by the beginning of February in the award year. Nominations by committee members can be submitted up to the date of the first Committee meeting after this deadline.
Nominations are considered by the Nobel Committee at a designated meeting, where a shortlist of candidates for further review is created. The Nobel Committee typically decides a winner in mid-September, ahead of the official announcement in October and the ceremony in December.
When Is the Nobel Peace Prize Announced?
The winner of the Nobel Peace Prize is announced in October. The ceremony takes place in Oslo, in December.
Nobel Peace Prize Winners During the Last Decade
Looking for pointers ahead of making your Nobel Peace Prize picks? Check out our list of winners from the last decade.
| Year | Winner | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Tunisian National Dialogue Quartet | For its decisive contribution to the building of a pluralistic democracy in Tunisia, in the awake of the Jasmine Revolution of 2011 |
| 2016 | Juan Manuel Santos (Colombia) | For his resolute efforts to bring the country's more than 50-year-long civil war to an end |
| 2017 | International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons | For its work to draw attention to the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of any use of nuclear weapons and for its ground-breaking efforts to achieve a treaty-based prohibition of such weapons |
| 2018 | Denis Mukwege (DR Congo) / Nadia Murad (Iraq) | For their efforts to end the use of sexual violence as a weapon of war and armed conflict. |
| 2019 | Abiy Ahmed (Ethiopia) | For his efforts to achieve peace and international cooperation, particularly for his decisive initiative to resolve the border conflict with neighbouring Eritrea |
| 2020 | World Food Programme | For its efforts to combat hunger, for its contribution to bettering conditions for peace in conflict-affected areas and for acting as a driving force to prevent the use of hunger as a weapon of war and conflict |
| 2021 | Maria Ressa (Philippines) / Dmitry Muratov (Russia) | For their efforts to safeguard freedom of expression, which is a precondition for democracy and lasting peace |
| 2022 | Ales Bialiatski (Belarus) /Memorial / Centre for Civil Liberties | The Peace Prize laureates represent civil society in their home countries. They have, for many years, promoted the right to criticise power and protect the fundamental rights of citizens. They have made an outstanding effort to document war crimes, human right abuses and the abuse of power. Together, they demonstrate the significance of civil society for peace and democracy |
| 2023 | Narges Mohammadi (Iran) | For her fight against the oppression of Iranian women and her fight to promote human rights and freedom for all |
| 2024 | Nihon Hidankyo | For its efforts to achieve a world free of nuclear weapons and for demonstrating through witness testimony that nuclear weapons must never be used again |
Upcoming Novelty Betting Events
ThePuntersPage Final Say
Nobel prize betting requires research, and for the Nobel Peace Prize following current affairs can increase your chances of making informed decisions. You can then weigh up the Nobel Peace Prize odds to work out whether you are getting good value. Use our guide to deepen your knowledge and understanding of the prize, and to extract the most out of this novelty betting market.
Nobel Peace Prize FAQs
Only two recipients have won multiple Peace Prizes. Both were organisations rather than individuals. The International Committee of the Red Cross has won three times (1917, 1944 and 1963) and the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees has won twice (1954 and 1981).
By reading our guide, you can find out the best bookmakers for Nobel Peace Prize betting, do your research, visit your chosen bookie and place your bet.
At the time of writing, Yulia Navalnaya is the favourite to win, ahead of Donald Trump.
The winner of the Nobel Peace Prize is announced in October, with the ceremony in December, in Oslo, Norway. This year, the winner will be announced on October 10, and the ceremony is scheduled for December 10.