Football Substitutes Betting in 2021 – A Complete Guide

Football managers use substitutions to replace injured players, to exploit the weaknesses of an opponent or for other tactical reasons. In this guide, we will explore how substitutes can influence a match, the concept of a super-sub, popular markets for substitutes betting and betting tips and strategies.

Best Betting Sites for Substitutes Betting

#1
bet365
  • Sports betting giant
  • Brilliantly designed site
  • Excellent sports statistics section
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY

Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. #ad

#2
Unibet
  • Live stream your favourite sports
  • Multinational: available in over 100 countries
  • £10 free bet every week
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY

Unibet Sports – Money back as Bonus up to £40 + £10 Casino 18+ begambleaware.org. New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 35x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. No deposit required for NI customers. Call 08081699314 to claim. Full T&Cs apply. #ad

#3
888sport
  • One of the most trustworthy betting companies
  • Founded in 1997
  • Good VIP reward system
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY

Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Deposit methods, Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. #ad

#4
Marathon Bet logo
Marathonbet
  • Multilingual customer service team
  • Outstanding odds up to 98%
  • Huge offering of betting markets
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY

New Customer Offer - Open to new accounts only. Deposit £20 and turnover your deposit five (5) times on the Sportsbook - trebles and accumulators (with three or more selections only), minimum odds each selection 1/2 (1.50) - and you’ll receive a £20 Free Bet. Additional deposits may be required in order to fulfil the turnover conditions, which must be met within 90 days of depositing. Bets placed using Free Bets or Bonus funds, or bets that have been Cashed Out, do not count towards turnover requirements. The Free Bet will expire seven days after being credited and can only be placed as a win only single bet on the Sportsbook. Free Bet stake not included in returns. #ad

#5
Ladbrokes
  • Over 15,000 employees
  • More than 30 sports available
  • A comprehensive online betting exchange
T&Cs APPLY, 18+ ONLY

18+ Eligible UK+IRE players. Paypal & some deposit & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 = 4x £5 free bets. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. No cash-out, restrictions & T&Cs apply. #ad

 

Top 5 Betting Sites for Substitutes Betting

#1 bet365

#2 Unibet

#3 888sport

#4 Marathonbet

#5 Ladbrokes

 

How do Substitutes Influence a Football Match?

A football match taking place at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg, Germany

(Image | © marioklassen |Licence: CC)

All teams will be allowed 5 substitutes per match for the rest of the 2019/20 English Premier League (EPL) season. This in turn means that there will be more opportunities to bet!

Substitutes play a big role in a football match. A manager may introduce substitutes to lay into or expose the weakness of an opponent, to counter a change in tactics (made by an opponent), to support a change in formation, to bring a pair of fresh legs to the team, to see out a game, to replace an injured player or for other tactical reasons.

A substitute could also score a winning goal or help secure the defence. Football matches take place over 90 minutes plus injury time (and at times extra time as well), and substitutes play a key role throughout.  A strong squad is essential to the success of a team over a long season of play.

While substitutes may or may not be the usual starting eleven players, their importance to a team’s success is paramount.

What is a Super-Sub?

A super-sub is a player renowned for appearing off the bench, and contributing significantly to the success of the team; super-subs are goal scorers and game changers. From Ole Gunnar Solskjaer to Javier Hernandez and Divock Origi, the English Premier League (EPL), has been graced with several splendid super-subs over the years.

Punters should pay attention to super-subs as these players can easily influence the outcome of the game. If there is a high chance of a super-sub coming off the bench, goalscorer bets could prove to be quite rewarding.

 

Do Bigger Clubs Gain an Edge from Substitutions?

When you compare high-profile clubs such as Liverpool, Manchester City, Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, or PSG to clubs with less financial muscle, a bigger club has the financial might to attract and purchase the biggest names in the game.

To achieve sustained success, a club must have a strong squad. With the number of games that players have to play in domestic cup competitions, European competitions, international friendlies, international tournaments and domestic leagues, injuries are inevitable. For this reason, a manager has to rotate his starting eleven and rest key players from time to time, making the most of substitutions.

Bigger clubs have a definite edge over smaller clubs when it comes to substitutions. If we take Chelsea’s squad as an example, the squad boasts 4 strikers, 5 wingers, 7 midfielders, 7 defenders and 2 goalkeepers at the time of writing. Manager Frank Lampard has a wealth of options to choose from, and several impact players to bring off the bench. Manchester City, Manchester United, Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern Munich and Liverpool boast similar squad depth. It is clear that bigger clubs gain an edge from substitutions.

 

Is Betting Affected by Substitutions?

Yes, betting can be affected by substitutions. If you want to place an Anytime Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Multi Scorer, or Anytime Scorecast bet on a player who has a knack of scoring late goals coming off the bench (in other words, a super-sub), the odds can be quite lucrative. 

If you are placing a Correct Score, Both Teams to Score, or Result/Both Teams to Score bet, and are hoping that your favoured team keeps a clean sheet, you could lose your stake if a substitute scores a goal, assists a goal, or contributes towards a goal being scored against your favoured team. Similarly, a substitute could help you win a bet if he scores a goal, assists a goal, or contributes towards a goal being scored. Over/Under markets could be greatly affected by the impact of a substitute.

Markets like Player to be Booked and Player to be Sent Off could be impacted as well; the introduction of a controversial player could rile up opponents, leading to more bookings. Quick and skilful substitutes can draw fouls as opponents gradually tire during a match and tend to make uncharacteristic errors, particularly towards the end of the game.

A Winning Margin bet could also be impacted by a late goal, as could a Handicap bet.

 

Popular Betting Markets for Substitutes Betting

Here are a few of the most popular betting markets for substitutes betting:

 

Betting Tips and Strategies for Substitutes Betting

There are several factors you should consider when betting on a player who may be substituted or brought off the bench. A good idea is to go through team news, injury news, past match results, and team form guides. A football manager may decide to shuffle his team and rest key players ahead of a match.

Similarly, a manager may replace a key player with one that has a good track record against an opponent. An injury may force a manager’s hand as well. Bets may be affected by these decisions, so you should be thorough with your research.

If a goal-scoring player is returning from an injury, a manager may be keen on giving him minutes. Remember, players take time to settle in after a long injury layoff. Even if a player is likely to appear off the bench, he may or may not perform to the best of his ability.

Avoid placing a 2 or More Multi-Scorer bet on a player who may be substituted ahead of a key fixture in the league, or in another tournament. A manager is likely to substitute such players to keep them fresh once a result has been secured. 

Players usually have a point to prove against former clubs. Such players may either perform exceedingly well against a former club or succumb to pressure. Place a bet on such players on the basis of their mentality, ability, and track record.

Finally, do not expect a super-sub to score in each and every match. The highest scoring super-sub in EPL history, Jermain Defoe, has scored 24 goals off the bench in 149 substitute appearances.

Substitutes Betting FAQs

⚽  How many substitutions are permitted per football match?

3 substitutions are permitted per match. In case of extra time, an additional substitution is allowed.

🏆  Why do football managers substitute players?

Substitutions allow football managers to replace players during a match in the case of injuries, to counter the tactics of an opponent, to attack the weaknesses of an opposing team or to see out a match.

⚒️  What are the most popular betting markets for substitutes betting?

The most popular betting markets for substitutes betting are Anytime Goalscorer, Over/Under, Anytime Scorecast, Last Goalscorer, Team Goalscorer, Player to be Booked, and Player Assists.

 

ThePuntersPage Final Say

A strong squad is vital to the success of a team; it is impossible to play a league season with just 11 players. Some players are renowned for their ability to influence a match from the bench, while others add to squad depth and ably contribute to the success of a team. With so many bookies offering different football betting features, it can be a challenge to choose the bookmaker that is right for you – so we’ve done the work you and ranked the best online football betting sites.

When placing a bet on a player who has been named on the bench, or who is likely to be substituted, you should take into consideration the betting tips and strategies mentioned in this guide. While there is no particular market as such for substitutes betting, betting on substitutes, or players who may be substituted, can often require you to perform in-depth research in order to place successful bets.