Goalscorer betting is a medium-to-high risk betting option which involves betting on which player will score. In this article, we will discuss the most popular goalscorer bets, including Anytime Goalscorer, First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer and other goalscorer markets. We will also explain our top betting tips and strategies on how to get the most value out of these bets!
Goalscorer Betting Explained
The concept of goalscorer betting is very simple, yet potentially much more lucrative then regular football betting. While betting on a football result (win, loss or draw) can see attractive odds for many punters, goalscorer markets usually offer much higher prices.
Goalscorer betting comes in many variations, such as Anytime Goalscorer, First or Last goalscorer, To Score First and/or Last Goal, Player to Score 2 or More Goals, Player to Get a Hat Trick, Player to Score in Both Halves, or Player to Score Exact Goals. These can also be combined into more complex bet types.
Goalscorer Betting Tips
Obviously, as with any other types of bets, the main reason for goalscorer betting is to make money. Thus, you must look for bets that have the lowest potential risk with the highest possible payout. In general, goalscorer bets have much higher payouts, though the risk is a bit higher as well. Additionally, Anytime Goalscorer poses a slightly lower risk than First Goalscorer or Last Goalscorer.
Anytime Goalscorer Prediction Tips
Everyone expects players like Messi, Ronaldo, Salah, and the like to score; consequently, odds are lower. On the other hand, an unsung hero such as a midfield strongman or defender with a good heading record would have higher betting odds. Why not combine several Anytime Goalscorer bets at once? Or perhaps combine them with a First Goalscorer bet? We will look into this further below.
1. Assess likely candidates with best odds for Goals Record and Scoring Streak
That brings us to the next point. Players on a hot streak or with a recent positive goal scoring record could be likely candidates to score. Imagine betting on Ole Gunnar Solskjær during the 1999 Champions League final, when Manchester United came from behind in stoppage time with a goal from Ole!
There are many top players today capable of similar feats. It is simply a matter of researching your team thoroughly to see which players are on scoring streaks. Defenders can score too, although less likely. Nevertheless, during set pieces, they often venture forward and score headers.
2. Look out for Penalty/Set Piece Experts
Penalty-takers and set-piece experts are likely to score at any time during the game. Cristiano Ronaldo is such a player, who can seemingly score from any position with a free kick. Harry Kane of Tottenham is a penalty expert, and banking on him scoring either from open play or with a set-piece is almost a sure bet with his recent record before getting injured. When a team is notorious for defending stubbornly, the defence can be pierced with a free kick. One mistake in the penalty box can even lead to a spot kick.
These free kick and penalty-takers all offer excellent value and superior odds. Do not underestimate penalties and set pieces, especially if the opposing team is parking the bus in front of goal!
3. Check social media updates
Teams routinely announce their formations an hour before kick-off on Twitter. Keep an eye out for these tweets, because as soon as the formations are out, you can place bets accordingly. That will depend on who is taking part in the match, and if the best footballer isn't on the field of play. The chances of other players scoring increases, and most bookies may not have reacted in time to change the odds. This means that you need to be quick to check social media in order to place effective bets.
4. Use a live betting strategy
You can bet on Anytime Scorer here with higher odds, especially if more than 10 minutes have passed. Bear in mind that players for teams who need a win at all costs would have more motivation to score during the game, especially in the dying minutes of play. Another bet option would be Next Goalscorer, and who is more likely to be the First Time Goalscorer – if it is still an option.
5. Combine with other bets
As any investor will tell you, diversification brings better chances of winning in the long run. The same can be said about betting. As you widen your scope and range, you may choose to combine several bets, possibly including a few with higher odds to offset those with lower prices. This is why it makes sense to combine Anytime Goalscorer bets with say, First Scorer wagers. Ideally, if you choose an accumulator bet, it is best to combine Anytime Goalscorer bets, or maybe even put your selections in a system bet if you choose more than 3. In addition, don't forget to try out the Bet Builder tool if your chosen bookie has it available.
By combining different bets, you'll end up with smaller-odds bets that are more likely to be successful, in conjunction with higher odds first-time scorer bets. In this way, you minimise the losses inflicted by the higher odds bets, and replace these losses with more reliable, lower-odds bets.
First Goalscorer Prediction Tips
If you want to make a correct First to Score prediction, there are a few things you will want to keep in mind.
1. Find value on First Goalscorer betting
You'll naturally want to fish out the best odds when staking on the most likely players to score first. For those who are less obvious, you could get even more value by backing an attacking midfielder or goal-scoring defender, as they generally have more favourable odds than out-and-out attackers.
2. Use First Goalscorer stats
You should check which players are in top form, rather than backing a player who has not scored in ten games! This brings us to injuries and suspensions, which regularly pave the way for any tactical changes. For instance, a defender may be pushed into a central midfield position if a striker gets injured and has to come off the field of play. That, of course, changes the odds of him scoring first.
3. Consider the overall form of a team
In a broader sense, the above also applies to the team’s overall form. If a team has a strong attack force, the chances that the team will score first are enhanced. Some teams are notorious for scoring last-minute goals, or for scoring early on and then sitting back to defend their lead. Such a team could be a good pick for a First Goalscorer bet, and can dramatically affect Last Goalscorer odds, apart from those of the First Goalscorer. Dead-ball specialists, or better yet, a defender who takes penalties and free kicks, would provide higher odds and value.
4. Look at head-to-head matchups
Head-to-head records between teams can highlight which players tend to be at their strongest (or weakest) when up against certain opponents, throwing up useful pointers for bettors in the process. Some strikers seem to struggle against certain players, while bottom-placed teams have been known to fight like lions, overcoming the odds and thus creating an upset.
5. Look out for derby matches
Derby matches are always hotly contested, and you should also consider the opponent’s tactics as well as those of the team or players that you're backing. Does they park the bus in front of the goal? Are they a physical squad that tends to give away free kicks and penalties? Perhaps a player is just returning from a long injury layoff, and may not be able to complete a full 90 minutes.
6. Top First Time Goalscorer candidates and European Leagues
The top five European leagues are full of stars and creative players – think Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo, Sergio Aguero and Mbappe. These are all prime candidates; however, the odds may be a bit low. Take Barcelona star Messi as an example; the talismanic Argentinian is at the top of his game, but Kylian Mbappe, Ciro Immobile and Salah, along with Cristiano Ronaldo, will be eager to overhaul Messi at the top. Other notable First Goalscorer candidates include Robert Lewandowski of Bayern Munich, Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah of Liverpool.
Last Goalscorer Prediction Tips
Many of the tips for Anytime Goalscorer or First Goalscorer also apply to Last Goalscorer betting. You should also consider the value in defenders and midfielders, as well as the frequent correlation between First and Last Goalscorer odds.
1. Last Goalscorer is easier to predict towards the end of the match
Last Goalscorer betting is particularly interesting for live bets, especially during the later phases of a match. Betting pre-match on Last Goalscorer is akin to pure gambling, though there is no reason not to do it, as long as the odds are high enough. Here too, you can see payouts of up to 1000/1.
2. Fresh players have a higher chance of scoring
Most team managers will save one of their most explosive and fastest forwards for the final minutes of the match. These substitutes usually have much more energy than players who have already been running up and down the pitch for the last 70+ minutes. Thus, they have a great shot of being the Last Goalscorer.
Understanding Goalscorer Odds
When it comes to fully comprehending Premier League Anytime Goalscorer odds, or those for tournaments such as the Champions League or any other football competition for that matter, you should understand what you are betting on and why.
Anytime Goalscorer odds
Anytime Goalscorer odds are usually much higher than Match Result odds, though they are significantly lower than First or Last Goalscorer odds. If you bet on a striker in a successful team, there is a good chance he will score at least one goal during the match. This is why strikers have the shortest odds. Of course, midfielders have higher odds, while goalies have astronomical odds. This is all due to market predictability. With payouts of 10/1 or 20/1, it is easy to see how Anytime Goalscorer odds can be tempting to punters.
First Goalscorer odds and Last Goalscorer odds
First and Last Goalscorer odds are always higher than Anytime Goalscorer odds, due to them being so much more specific. This makes them a higher risk betting option. Of course, this risk comes with a higher rewards. Depending on which player you choose, First Goalscorer odds can easily be 100/1 or even more.
Goalscorer Rules Explained
Since First Goalscorer is a specific betting market relating to a player, there are a couple of things to keep in mind. If your player is stuck on the bench when the teams are announced and not on the field of play, what happens then? Understanding the betting rules for this kind of wager is essential.
Anytime Goalscorer rules
Anytime Goalscorer is a simple and popular bet placed on a player to score during a game, whether in open play, set pieces or penalties during regular and extra time. If the chosen player scores at any time, the bet wins at the stated odds, which differ from player to player.
First Goalscorer rules
First Goalscorer betting is incredibly easy to understand – it simply requires you to place a stake on a particular player you think will score the first goal during a match for your bet to pay out. First Goalscorer betting is a great way to boost your odds, as you'll receive superior prices than, for instance, Anytime Goalscorer betting. Almost all best betting sites in the UK offer betting options on First Goalscorer these days, and it is among the most popular online and land-based bookmaker betting markets.
Last Goalscorer rules
The Last Goalscorer market is just as easy to understand as First Goalscorer – you need to bet on which player will score the last goal in the match. As with First Goalscorer, this will also give you much higher odds than Anytime Goalscorer, though it can be very hard to predict.
Own goals do not affect goalscorer bets, as the bet immediately rolls over to the second goal in these instances.
No Player Scores
If no player scores and the result is a 0 – 0 stalemate, then the No Goalscorer bet wins.
Players Who Do Not Appear
If a player you backed does not appear on the field at all, your stake is refunded in full. The same goes for players who appear on the pitch after the first goal is scored.
Usually, overtime does count towards goalscorer betting, though you should check with your bookie, just to be sure. Most bookies explain betting rules very well.
Penalties, Free Kicks and Penalty Shoot-Outs
While regular penalties and free kicks usually count for goalscorer bets, penalty shoot-outs in elimination matches do not.
Other Goalscorer Markets
Bookies offer plenty of goalscorer bets, such as First Goalscorer/Last Goalscorer for one team (FGS/LGS), Anytime/FGS/LGS + Correct Score/Goals/ (Wincast and Scorecast) and Player to Score 2/3 or More Goals.
- To Score First and/or Last Goal: This is a combination of First Goalscorer and Last Goalscorer. If your player scores the first and/or last goal, you win.
- Player to Score 2 or more goals: If your player scores at least two goals, you win this bet.
- Player to get hat trick: If your player scores at least three goals, your bet is successful.
- Player to Score in Both Halves: If your player scores at least three goals, your bet will pay out.
- Player to Score Exact Goals: This bet allows you to predict exactly how many goals your player will score.
Complex Goalscore Bets
Goalscore betting can be combined with other types of bets in order to create a more complex bet for a higher payout.
Anytime Player to Score and Result
Anytime Player to Score and Result lets you combine betting on whether a player will score, as well as predict the game result (win, loss or draw). It is similar to the Wincast bet.
The Wincast bet is among the most common to combine with a First Goalscorer bet. It pays out if you predict the first goalscorer correctly, and the winning team as well. Keep an out for the latest predictions and tips to enhance the Wincast market across the major European leagues, like the Premier League, the Champions League, Italian Serie A and more.
You can also combine the bet with a match result. This is known as a Scorecast, and is slightly more complicated than a Wincast wager. You need to predict the First Goalscorer and the exact game score, and you can roll the three bets into one, whereby they all need to come through for you to win. This will be a combination of First Goalscorer, Winner of the Game, and the Correct Score.
Team First Goalscorer
You can choose to bet on Team First Goalscorer, which is a slightly easier market to bet on than just the first goalscorer. The name of this bet means that, even if another player from the opposing team scores first, if your chosen team’s player scores, you still win the bet. You will have to name the first goalscorer for a specific team, however.
Using Goalscorer Bets in Accas
While accas can be a good way to increase your win potential, we do not always recommend them for goalscorer betting. That is because the odds are usually already quite high, so adding another element of risk may be pushing it a bit.
Another thing to keep in mind is that most bookies will not allow accas on the same match. For higher payouts regarding precise match predictions, we recommend using one of the complex goalscorer bets mentioned above, or similar.
Where to Back a Goalscorer Bet
All major international or UK bookmakers accept goalscorer bets. Of course, that does not mean they all have the same promos, conditions and odds. While it is impossible to predict who will have the best goalscorer odds for a particular player or event, sites like PaddyPower, Ladbrokes or bet365 usually have the biggest diversity of betting options, as well as the most competitive odds and regular promos.
Sports With Goalscorer Betting Markets
Goalscorer betting is most prominent in football betting, though it also occurs in virtually any sport where players can score goals. That includes sports like hockey, NHL, handball, lacrosse, polo and water polo.
Advantages of Goalscorer Betting
Goalscorer betting has many advantages. It has higher payouts and is relatively easy to predict, as there is plenty of statistical evidence to show how well a player is doing during a season. The only real disadvantage is that goal scoring can be harder to predict than the match result, making it a high-risk / high reward bet.
1. Attractive odds
The more complex or restricted your bet, the higher the potential payout. This makes it a good bet, if you can find the right value for your wager.
2. Anytime bets go on to the final whistle
The main advantage of Anytime Goalscorer bets, in particular, is that the action goes on until the final whistle. If your player does score in the last few seconds of the game, and your bet wins, imagine all the ensuing excitement and celebrations!
3. You can bet on multiple players
Another benefit is that you can make several anytime player bets, so if your chosen player scores early on, another has a chance of doubling your victory.
4. One win can make up for multiple losses
Since your payout will be many times your bet, a single win can easily make up for multiple losses. If you win a single bet at 10/1, while losing 5 other bets of the same size, you will still have a profit of two times your total wager. That said, we do not encourage punters to chase their losses.
5. Easy for beginners
Moreover, you do not have to be a football expert to win an Anytime Goalscorer bet. With a bit of basic research, you can easily find out the players most likely to score. You can easily calculate how likely a player is to score based on data. You can also check out our detailed article on Betting Terms & Definitions.
Goalscorer Betting FAQs
Usually, goalscorer bets cover the 90 minutes of official time and injury time, unless otherwise stated. Generally, extra time and penalty shootouts will not count. Check the rules your bookie offers to be sure.
Usually, no. Penalties during official time and penalty shootouts do not count. Again, it's best to check the rules of your book in question to be absolutely certain.
Own goals do not count for goalscorer bets. If you bet on First Goalscorer, and the first goal turns out to be an own goal, then the bet will move on to the next goal that is scored (after the own goal). If your player scores the second goal, you will win your bet.
If the player on whom you bet does not play in the match, the bet will simply be voided. That means you will get a full refund.