What is a Winning Margin Bet? Winning Margin Bet Meaning (October 2021)

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With a Winning Margin Bet you do not have to predict the score by which a team will win, but only the team‘s margin of victory.

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Winning Margin Bet Meaning

A winning margin bet is considered to be a type of single bet. Some look at this as the alternative to betting on a correct score since it allows for more possible winning outcomes. The definition of a winning margin bet is a wager placed on the exact difference in goals between the winning team and the losing team.

For example, a winning margin of +2 means the final score was 2-0, 3-1, 4-2 and so on. This, in turn, allows for a few more winning outcomes as opposed to the single possible winning outcome when betting on a correct score.

A winning margin bet also includes predicting the winning team apart from the winning margin. So, if Manchester United are playing Manchester City, a winning margin bet will require predicting which team will win as well as the difference in goals such as Manchester City by 1. In this case, a Manchester City win with the score of 0-1, 1-2, 2-3 will result in a win for the punter.


Variations of Winning Margin Bets

As mentioned above, winning margin bets need to be placed in favour of a particular team and an exact score margin needs to be predicted. The normal options available would be margins of 1, 2, 3 or 4+ .

You can also predict that neither team will score (0-0) which is known as the ‘No Goal’ option, or if the match is going to be a draw (1-1, 2-2, 3-3, and so on) which is known as the ‘Score Draw’ option. This bet type is generally decided over 90 minutes, without taking into consideration extra time or penalties.

In others sports, you may also find the option to bet on the winning margin in particular sections of the game, such as the quarters in basketball.


What Stats To Research To Help Predict a Winning Margin

As always, when trying to gain some knowledge before placing a wager, we highly suggest looking at some statistics related to the match you are thinking of betting on. Nowadays, there is a large variety of football stats available online for free – so much so, that this might in itself create a challenge when deciding which stats to actually look at when betting on different details of a match such as the score, the winning margin, the goalscorer or even the amount of corners.

When it comes to winning margin bets, we suggest looking at 3 main statistics:

  • The Head-to-Head Record

Here, you may compare what happened in the previous matches between the two teams and try to identify which is the stronger one when they face each other. This historical view can only give you an indication of what might happen, but between one season and another there are many possible changes within a team, so it is important not to only look at this stat alone.

You might also want to look at a particular team’s record against similar opposition. For example, if you are looking at betting on Leicester City vs Aston Villa, then we suggest looking at how Leicester have been doing against teams such as Everton and Leeds, as well as how Aston Villa are doing against teams such as Chelsea and Tottenham.

  • Season Form

We also suggest looking into both teams’ performance in the current season. Here, you could investigate the average number of goals scored and conceded by the teams in question, as well as gathering results against similar oppositions.

We suggest giving weight to the home and away form depending on where the fixture is going to be played. Again, there is never going to be a clear outcome, however, these stats will help give you an indication of the likelihood of a particular outcome and winning margin.

  • Current Form

Apart from the H2H record and season form, we recommend looking at the current form of a team. This means looking at the past 5 matches played by the team in question to see whether there have been any recent changes which might result in a different type of trend than identified when looking at the season form.

The short-term form of a team can be influenced by a number of factors, such as injuries, a shock result, a player returning from injury or a player coming in on loan. These may have an immediate effect on the goal-scoring capabilities of a team and hence affect the possible winning margin you are planning on betting on. Make sure to also be aware of possible squad rotation when drafting a probable first 11.

For example, an injury to Richarlison or Dominic Calvert-Lewin is likely to affect Everton’s chances of scoring. Similarly, Bruno Fernandes coming back from injury will increase the likelihood of Manchester United dominating the play, scoring more and maybe conceding less because they would allow the opposition less time on the ball. When evaluating injuries, try and determine how crucial a player is for a team and who his natural replacement would be when determining the effects of his absence or return.


Pros and Cons of a Winning Margin Bet

While comparing this market to others found on betting sites and listing the below pros and cons, we wish to remind you that every betting market comes with a fair share of risks. Our aim here is to highlight the characteristics of the market which either attract, or drive punters away from it.


  • Allows more correct outcomes than betting on exact score
  • Odds in this market are considerably high
  • Adding a winning margin bet to an accumulator will increase the potential earning substantially


  • It is difficult to predict a winning margin, especially when placing a pre-match bet
  • In-depth research suggested when betting on winning margin


Placing a Winning Margin Bet

This type of bet is neither one of the most popular ones nor is it offered by all betting sites, so if it is offered by the betting site you have chosen to use, you will most probably have to scroll over a few other betting markets to get to it. Beware that some betting sites might also split the winning margin market into two, by placing Team A to win by ‘x’ goals and Team B to win by ‘x’ goals as separate markets.

Winning Margin Bet With ‘X‘, or More Goals

You can also bet on the winning margin market while playing it safe. In this betting technique, you will bet on a number of goals, and cover any number that resides above your predicted number. Let’s take a match between Chelsea and Aston Villa as an example – Chelsea defeat Aston Villa 5-1.

For this particular match, if you bet on Chelsea to win by two or more goals, you will win the bet. This reduces your margin for error. Having said that, this betting technique is much less profitable than a straight winning margin bet.

Can I Make Profits Off a Winning Margin Bet?

Yes, you can earn money off a winning margin bet. The fact that this market requires punters to be less specific with the result than the correct score market, means that punters potentially have more probability of guessing a winning margin bet than a correct score bet. Having said that, it is very easy to lose money by placing ill-informed bets on such markets.

Lack of research could prove very costly. Punters may be lucky enough to earn money despite not researching the teams beforehand, however, this is not likely to be a winning formula in the long run.


Winning Margin in Other Sports

You can place a winning margin bet on teams participating in several other sports as well. When placing this kind of special bet on a match in the playoffs, or American Football Super Bowl, you can bet on the margin of victory your favoured team will enjoy. Let’s take a game between the New York Giants and the Green Bay Packers as an example. If you bet on the Green Bay Packers to win by 7 points, you will probably get odds of 5-1 to 10-1, depending on the bookmaker site you are placing your wager on. If the Packers do indeed win by 7 points, you will win the bet, otherwise you will lose.

You can also place a winning margin bet in sports like cricket, baseball, ice hockey, and golf – among others.


Winning Margin Bet FAQs

❓ What is a winning margin bet?

It is a bet placed on the number of goals the predicted winning team will score over and above its opponents.

➕ What does 'score draw' mean?

A ‘score draw’ is one of the winning margin bet outcomes which means the match will end in a draw as long as it is not 0-0.

🍒 What stats should I look at?

We suggest looking at the Head-to-Head record, the season form and the current form, as mentioned in more detail in  this article.

💲 Are there winning margin bets in sports other than football?

Yes, these types of bets can be placed in cricket, basketball, ice hockey and baseball, amongst others.

🎲 Winning Margin Bet Accumulator

An accumulation of several winning margin bets. An Accumulator Bet is treated as a single entity, in which each individual bet must be won for you to win an accumulator bet.

ThePuntersPage Final Say

Placing a winning margin bet requires a considerable amount of time spent on scouting potential opportunities, studying trends through statistics, and picking the right matches to bet on. With the number of outcomes being higher than in other score-related markets, this could be a market which is worth a look.

While you may end up winning a few bets without performing your due diligence initially, this strategy will not guarantee future wins. Then again, nothing in the betting world is guaranteed.

You must also look through several bookmaker sites, and choose a bookmaker which provides you with the best odds for a bet you have your heart and mind set on betting on. You can also check out our detailed article on Betting Terms & Definitions