EFL Cup Best Bets | Tuesday 29th October
Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) assesses Tueday evening’s League Cup action and provides us with his best bets.
- 2019/2020 Profit & Loss: -10.1pts
Burton Albion v Leicester City
Leicester City travel to Burton on the back of their huge 9-0 victory over Southampton on Friday night and are in very good form in the league too.
The bet I like here is a simple one that looks relatively nailed on. Leicester -1 on the handicap at EVEN money is the bet and I think the Foxes will have too much for a Burton side that are struggling in 13th in League One and have struggled for goals at home especially this season. They have failed to score in four of their six home games thus far in the league and are one of those sides that will be concentrating on their league form rather than this league cup.
Leicester are scoring goals for fun and even though they are bound to make changes here, you would expect them to win this relatively comfortably and continue the good form they are in.
Everton v Watford
Now this really isn’t a tie that will excite many but I think there is a way to find some value in the home side. Watford couldn’t have started the season much worse, sitting bottom of the pile in the Premier League with just five points from 10 games. They have conceded 21 goals and scored just five and I somehow don’t think the League Cup will be top of their priority list right now.
Everton have hardly been much better but they are a side with much more ability than their opponents and I would fancy them to win here. Watford’s record in this competition is abysmal, losing to the likes of Preston North End, Doncaster, Gillingham and Bristol City in the last five years.
They have won seven of their last nine games in this competition at home and have averaged 2.3 goals a game in that period. Everton should win this, even with their difficulties, pretty comfortably. The bet here is for Everton to win and over 1.5 goals at 11/10.
Crawley Town v Colchester United
This all league two affair sees a clash between the two lowest sides left in the competition and two sides that have beaten Premier League sides on their route to this stage.
Crawley Town overcame Norwich City in the second round and Stoke City in the last round, whilst Colchester have beaten both Crystal Palace and Spurs to get here. I think this is a tough one to call but feel there is reason to get the visitors on side here.
In the league, they have been tight defensively, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game, shipping just 14 goals in their 16 league games so far. They are unbeaten in five of their eight away games in League Two and are yet to concede in their three games so far in this League Cup run, keeping out both Palace and Spurs.
Crawley Town have won just one of their last eight in the league and have not kept a clean sheet in any of those eight games either, conceding 18 goals in the process. Colchester scored three at the weekend in their win over Newport and I think they will score a few here as well. Colchester to score over 1.5 goals at 31/20 is my bet for this one.