Penalties are a huge part of the game, and the odds for these make-or-break occurrences can be eye-watering. We’ve got the best penalty stats you could ever ask to back up your analysis, as well as tips on how to use these metrics to your advantage.
What Are Penalty Stats & Why Are They Relevant?
Football Penalty stats are a collection of all the relevant information on penalties. Here, you can obtain details on the player, position, club, matches played, penalties scored, missed and conversion rate.
You can also see the teams with the most penalties this season in Europe, as well as their conversion rates and penalties conceded.
This is useful if you're betting on a team or player to get, score or miss penalties in football. It’s the best way to spot patterns or find teams that get more pens than others.
How Do Football Penalty Stats Influence Betting Markets?
The most common markets on football penalties are team markets, such as a team to score or to miss a penalty, or a ‘yes or no bet’ on whether there’ll be a penalty in the match.
For in-play betting, you can wager on individual events during a penalty shoot-out. Here, you can use our football penalty stats to see if a player has the bottle to score or is likely to miss.
Understanding Penalty Stats in Football Analytics
Penalty stats are very simple to comprehend. Our table show you which players have the best rates for penalties, and which teams win the most penalty kicks.
The only real correlation with the rest of the match is that the number of penalties might indicate how often a team is in the opposition's box. This season, the top two teams with penalties won are Real Madrid and Bayern Munich, no surprises there.
You can also use penalty stats to find any specialists, which could be good for goal betting as well. The top players this season are Salah and Kane, famous for their penalty skills. Players like Palmer and Bruno Fernandes also have a 100% penalty conversion rate, so they’re also worthy of your punts.
Advanced Metrics: Can Expected Football Penalties Be Measured?
In short, no. There aren’t any expected penalty stats. But in terms of expected goals (xG), a penalty is worth 0.75 xG, and if it is saved, the rebound is normally worth 0.60 xG, depending on various circumstances.
So, what percentage of penalties are scored? Around 85%, so the overall xG value might be slightly low.
Do Football Penalties Relate to Other Football Statistics?
There are several metrics that relate to penalty stats. The first and most obvious one is goals. Often, the top goalscorer at any club is also the penalty taker. So, goalscorer stats and betting markets will take that into account.
If a player isn’t the main goalscorer, but is a penalty taker – like Isco at Real Betis – it could be of good value to bet on them for goals.
Foul stats can also work well here, as a penalty comes from a foul. If there’s a team with a higher number of fouls than normal, especially if your analysis concludes that these are being committed in their initial third, they’re more likely to concede penalties.
Key Players & Positions for Football Penalty Stats
Are there any key positions and roles contributing to football penalty statistics? We’ll delve on this to see how it can help us to make predictions and data-driven bets.
Tactical Roles Contributing to Penalty Stats
The fact is: there is a dedicated penalty taker in every major team. Think Salah at Liverpool, Kane at Bayern or Vlahovic at Juventus. That means that football penalty statistics are much easier to interpret, as you’ll know ahead of time who’s going to take a penalty.
Most times, the striker is the one taking the penalties in a football team, due to their goalscoring capabilities. But there might be players in other positions who are set piece and penalty specialists. In this case, you’ll want to make your due diligence and research, based on previous occurrences, if there is, indeed, a designated penalty taker.
How to Identify Football Penalty Trends?
The only trend that is worth looking into is the conversion rate. You want to find the type of players who don’t miss. At the tie of writing, players like Salah, Kluivert and Mbeumo have scored 100% of their Premier League penalties this season.
You can research which teams get the most penalties awarded and conceded to give you a slight edge on how likely a penalty is, but it really depends on the run of play during a match.
Home vs Away Trends in Penalty Stats
Generally, teams are more likely to be on the front foot when playing at home, so there’s a greater chance of a penalty being awarded. The stats aren’t readily available, but if you look at the top 5 penalty goal scorers this season, here’s what you get:
| Player | Club | Home Scored | Home Missed | Away Scored | Away Missed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Salah | Liverpool | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Harry Kane | Bayern Munich | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ante Budimir | CA Osasuna | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdoulaye Toure | Havre Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Kluivert | Bournemouth AFC | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Best Football Penalty Betting Markets
Much like all aspects of football betting, there is a diverse range of wagering markets available for betting on penalties. We’ll now break down the markets provided by the top betting sites.
One of the most popular markets available on top betting sites is whether Team A or Team B will score a penalty in the match. Bookies provide odds on Team A or Team B to score a penalty over the course of the contest. The odds usually fall in line with the side favoured to win the contest, but using our statistics, you might be able to find value on an aspect the bookmakers have overlooked.
On the other side of the coin, this market follows the same principle, where you can wager on Team A or Team B to miss a penalty from the spot. This market requires a bit more research regarding certain players or teams that are poor penalty takers. On the other hand, one team might have a keeper that specialises in saving penalties. Consider the teams and players involved before wagering on this market.
This determines whether a penalty will be awarded in a match. It can be for either team involved in the contest, but does come with lower odds than you would find in the previous two markets. An element to consider with this bet is the referee. You can follow the stats of officials that are more likely to give penalties than others.
With top betting sites, you can also wager whether the first goal scored will be from the penalty spot. On occasions, games can be decided with a single goal. Therefore, if you think the game you will be watching will be a low-scoring affair, backing the 1st goal penalty market could be a sound option to take.
Some of the leading operators in the business will carry this market. You will have an option to bet on whether a penalty will be scored, missed or taken in the first or second half of the contest. It is more of a bet you may consider to deploy with in-play wagering rather than before the game.
In knockout competitions, you can bet on whether a match will be decided on penalties, or bet on who will win via penalties. Of course, the odds vary wildly depending on the skill level of each team, and previous legs, if applicable.
If a match does come to penalties, you can do some in-play betting on the individual penalty taker to score or miss. You can also keep it general and wager on which penalties will be scored or missed, ex. ‘Team A 3rd penalty to be missed’.
Key Factors Impacting Football Penalty Betting
There are a few considerations to make when using football penalty statistics to create valuable bets.
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Teams playing: The teams playing could impact the likelihood of a penalty occurring. The Premier League penalty stats show Wolves have been awarded none, but conceded 7. Liverpool has received 9, conceding none. A bet on this matchup could be ideal. In fact, there was a penalty in both games during the 24/25 season.
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Players available: If a nailed-on penalty taker is out injured and there aren't many alternatives, you may want to avoid betting on a penalty goal. The goalkeeper also plays a key role. Specialists like Pickford and Martinez are more likely to save penalties.
How to Spot Value Bets Using Penalty Stats
Here’s how you can get the most out of our penalty stats table:
Alternatively, you can decide to wait for a penalty shoutout. In that case, find matches that are likely to end in a draw after 120 minutes, and research the top takers from each team. Then wait, hope for penalties and wager accordingly.
Our Expert Football Penalty Betting Tips
The metrics are great, but knowing how to use penalty statistics for football betting is way better. We’ve got a few tips on the best way to do this.
Find the right matchups
Use our football stats to find teams that win a lot of penalties and wait until they play against a team that concedes a lot of penalties. Saint-Etienne have conceded 14 penalties this season, and PSG had a penalty in both fixtures.
Penalty takers
There are a few penalty specialists who’ll always score when they need to, so betting on those teams is always a good idea. Look for who has the most penalties this season – Kane and Salah are both on 9 right now, and with 100% conversion rate.
Betting against teams
You can bet against teams to score their penalty. Freiburg have had 3 takers and missed all 4 of their penalties. Some teams are shockingly bad at penalties.
High odds
Since penalties aren’t that common, odds are always relatively high. Compare bookies to find out which ones offer the highest odds, as there may be some added value there.
Don’t Miss Any Match Stats
ThePuntersPage Final Say
Whether you love or hate them, football penalties are an essential part of the beautiful game and play a significant role in betting. In this article, we have provided you with a breakdown of our penalty stats from across the major European and domestic leagues, along with key wagering information from the top bookmakers in the industry. You can now go out and try your hand at betting on the various penalty markets available online.
Penalty Stats FAQs
Football penalty stats are a collection of data for players and teams considering penalties. From the total occurrences awarded to a team, to the penalties scored and missed by a player.
There is a variety of betting markets available for penalties. These include whether a penalty will be scored or missed, or whether Team A or Team B will be awarded a penalty. There are also several in-play markets worth punting on.
Per 90 refers to the number of penalties scored by the player in an average of 90 minutes on the pitch.
Football penalties influence all penalty markets, goal markets, and, in some cases, foul markets.
Alan Shearer has scored the most penalties in Premier League penalty stats history, with 56 strikes.