Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) preview the men’s Wimbledon Championships and provides us with his best bets for the third Grand Slam of the year.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +17.2pts
2019 Wimbledon Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 1-14 July
- Venue: The All-England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club
- Channel: BBC and BBC Red Button
The year’s premier major is upon us as the men’s leading players are set to do battle at the All-England Club over the next fortnight.
Novak Djokovic is the favourite, winner here on four separate occasions, and his bid to hold all four Grand Slams at once for the second time in his career was put to rest at the French Open in the semi-finals by Dominic Thiem.
Nonetheless, the Serbian is the defending champion, but he will be wary, as always, of the threat posed by Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal. Federer’s success in west London is well-documented having triumphed eight times and he arrives with confidence after success in Halle earlier this month.
Nadal, meanwhile, added a twelfth French Open title to his collection, and he was inches away from ousting Djokovic in the semi-finals at SW19 last year and likely adding a third Wimbledon title to his name.
20-year-old Stefanos Tsitsipas, with his career firmly on an upward trajectory, still has much to prove on grass, while Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev have been handed tricky openers.
Betting Odds (bet365)
- Novak Djokovic – 11/8
- Roger Federer – 11/4
- Rafael Nadal – 6/1
- Stefanos Tsitsipas – 18/1
- Felix Auger-Aliassime – 28/1
- Alexander Zverev – 28/1
- Dominic Thiem, Marin Cilic and Milos Raonic – 33/1
With the assumption that Djokovic and Federer will comfortably navigate their quarters – although nothing is a given considering each have suffered upsets here in the past – it is probably worth examining quarters two and three, headed by last year’s finalist Kevin Anderson and Nadal respectively.
Anderson only recently returned to action at Queen’s Club after skipping the clay season with an elbow problem and he has benefitted from Wimbledon’s unique grass court seeding formula which favours traditional grass courters.
The South African looked markedly rusty in his defeat to Gilles Simon at Queen’s and his physical state will be tested over the best-of-five format.
Possible beneficiaries could be the three-time major champion, Stan Wawrinka, although the Swiss’ record at Wimbledon pales in comparisons to his success at other Grand Slams – only four visits beyond the third round in 14 visits – or the 2016 finalist Milos Raonic.
The Canadian tends to produce his best performances at Wimbledon, but he is only recently back from a knee injury and in his first tournament at the Stuttgart Open he withdrew before his semi-final match citing a back injury.
Therefore, 10th seed Karen Khachanov looks well poised to capitalise should Anderson performance as we anticipate, with the Russian over his early season slump and dangerous on grass.
He reached the quarter-finals in Paris before exiting at the hands of eventual finalist Thiem and his record at Wimbledon is encouraging after only two appearances in the main draw (third round in 2017 and fourth round last year).
Alexander Zverev also lurks in the same quarter, but the German tends to struggle at Grand Slams and he may be spread thin in his opening round match against the grass-loving Jiri Vesely.
Khachanov’s two defeats at Wimbledon have been inflicted by Djokovic and Nadal and his big serving and groundstrokes suit conditions perfectly meaning 9/1 on the Russian winning quarter two is a generous price.
Meanwhile, Nadal either goes big or goes home early at Wimbledon and the Spaniard has won his quarter only once since reaching the final in London in 2011.
That coincidentally was twelve months ago when he squeaked past Juan Martin del Potro in an enthralling five-setter in the quarter-finals and his losses since have been at the hands of the likes of Lukas Rosol, Dustin Brown and Steve Darcis.
Granted, he has been handed a kind draw with the highest seed in his section Dominic Thiem – a player who has went further than the second round only once in five visits. Unless the Austrian has suddenly conquered the grass court equation, it is highly unlikely he will pose a threat to the Spaniard.
Which paves the way for Nick Kyrgios, victor over the Spaniard in a memorable match in 2014, who could spell trouble for Nadal in the second round, but it is still hard to envisage the mercurial Australian piecing it all together with such focus on his performances.
Marin Cilic, meanwhile, hasn’t been the same force since he exited so calamitously to the unheralded Guido Pella last year, battling with a knee problem and an inability to string results together.
That could pave the way for Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, who played ever so well in defeat to Federer in Halle, and the Frenchman boasts an excellent record at Wimbledon.
The biggest question mark is, of course, surrounding the fitness of the Frenchman, but his biggest obstacle before a potential third round showdown with Nadal is Denis Shapovalov, who is woefully out of form.
A smaller stake is advised, but the Frenchman to win quarter three at 16/1 is worth a shot.