Darts specialist Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews night five of the 2019 Betfred World Matchplay and provides us with his best bets at the Winter Gardens in Blackpool.
2019 World Matchplay Day Five Betting Preview & Tips
The quarter finals will be decided with the last four games of the last 16 at the Winter Gardens.
The line up includes top seeds consisting of Daryl Gurney, Rob Cross and Peter Wright. With a last eight at stake, and a boost in prize money, there is a case for all eight players, to either elevate their position, or some of the bigger guns trying to defend as much as possible as the two year rolling order of merit rubs off 2017 earnings from the event. Remember that Peter Wright made the final two years ago, so stands to damage limitation attempting to match or better his position.
Punters taking on the favourites of Gurney, White, Cross and Wright will struggle to get beyond 12/5, although BoyleSports punt the front running industry price of 13/5.
Taking on all the underdogs (Brown, Bunting, Ratajski and Whitlock will net close to 128/1 with Unibet, if you deem a quid is worth a go.
Gurney v Brown – 19:15
- Head To Head – Gurney Leads 3-0
Double time Major Champion Daryl Gurney would love to add the Matchplay to his growing portfolio of titles, and will need to get past Isle of Wight's Keegan Brown, who saw off Jonny Clayton in a narrow encounter, where the former Youth Champion won 10-8 bagging two maximums, but took out four ton-plus finishes.
Gurney eventually got over the line himself versus Ricky Evans 10-7,where on a number of occasions Gurney was so far in front in the leg, that some complacency on his doubles did suffer.
The match price sees Gurney at 4/9 with Boylesports and 2/1 generally for Keegan Brown. the pair have met three times before with the most recent encounter a comfortable 6-2 victory in a pro tour event,
Looking at the recent leg by leg sample going back to the European Grand Prix back in May, sampling 101 legs, Keegan has averaged a 0.2475 180s per leg average. Gurney in comparison has averaged in
excess of 0.29 per leg. This is a small sample granted, but the Irishman is 3/4 with Sportingbet to land the most maximums, Skybet punt evens on Gurney to win the game and hit the most maximums and
also punt 11/8 for Gurney to win, net five or more maximums and achieve a 102 or better checkout.
Bunting v White – 20:15
- Head To Head – Bunting Leads 8-5
Ian White showed off his diamond performance with a whitewash over quietly fancied Joe Cullen by some punters. White was ruthless and prolific making light work of the situation.White had a healthy 40% checkout conversion as well as a 121 out and four maximums in the process.
Stephen Bunting needed a win in the opening round and got it, but went the distance chasing the tie against credible Gerwyn Price. Bunting comes into the tie at 15/8 with Unibet, with Ian White at 1/2 with
Bunting has the head to head edge and won their only meeting in 2019 at a European Tour event, where the Bullet reigned supreme 6-4 on that occasion.
White will be looking to match his best performance at the Winter Garden by making his first quarter final since 2015 and as enjoyed an excellent 2019 campaign, especially on the European Tour having won
two titles, and going deep in several other events this year.
In contrast, Bunting has never bettered the last 16 on this stage, having made the second round once before in 2014. Having made some progress including a final of a European Tour event as well as a pro
tour final, a win for the Bullet will give the former BDO World Champion some resurgence in confidence.
I do think that White is in a much better form than the bullet, despite Bunting's recent Euro tour final. The price of 1/2 on the Diamond is about right, and would have little hesitation backing this. Three bookmakers however bet evens on White to win by three legs or more, so to win this will need to avoid a tiebreak and win 11-8 or better to secure a nice 50/50 bet.
Cross v Ratajski – 21:15
- Head To Head – Cross Leads 4-2
The pair played a week ago, where Cross whitewashed his opponent tonight and will look to go one step further from two successive last 16 appearances to make his first quarter final and bookmakers are no
bigger than 1/3 to see off Krzysztof who is a general 11/4 shot. The Pole saw off injured Darren Webster in his opening tie with Cross beating Chris Dobey convincingly 10-3 in contrast.
Cross is 4/6 with Skybet to win the game and net the most maximums, with his Polish opponent unpredictable at the best of times could upset the prices. However I feel with the experience and resilience of Cross, if he is to be taken deep in the match has the tools to deal with pressure.
Wright v Whitlock – 22:15
- Head To Head – Wright Leads 17-9
Wright has hit the heights of form just at the right time as he has ranking points to defend from two years ago.
Snakebite has a streak of nineteen matches and courtesy of esteemed colleague @CarlyFletch over the streak has averaged 100.29 with a 180 per leg ratio of 0.4.
Peter's opponent Simon Whitlock comes into the game having got over the line against John Henderson. From the pricing and the Tendinitis from the Wizard over the last six weeks insists it is not affecting the throw, but threw well enough to get a rest day in. Whether or not you factor in the 94.99 average in, Whitlock still managed two 100+ checkouts as well as six maximums.
Whitlock will need to up his game in order to pose a challenge against a seemingly untouchable Snakebite so will require the wizardry to provide some luck. The last ten meetings spanning back to the start of 2018 has been Whitlock win just twice, with seven defeats and one draw.
With a Wright victory will move us one step closer to our quarter ante post bet and is likely to see a high checkout in the match, with a hopeful Wright victory.