2019 World Matchplay Quarter Finals Betting Preview & Tips

2019 World Matchplay Quarter Finals Betting Preview & Tips

Darts specialist Dave South (@LockupTipster) previews the quarter finals of the 2019 Betfred World Matchplay and provides us with his best bets at the Winter Gardens in Blackpool.

2019 World Matchplay Quarter Finals Betting Preview & Tips

Tuesday evening was viewed as epic and saw some marathon games, where the bookmakers cleaned up with the defeats to defending champion Gary Anderson and Michael van Gerwen.

We have two games from the first of two quarter finals, with the other on Thursday. Michael Smith will play Mervyn King and Glen Durrant will look to reach his first Matchplay Semi-Final and accelerate up the order of Merit facing off against previous champion James Wade.

Taking the two favourites tonight (Smith and Durrant) will land you a smidgen over 6/4 with Bet365 with Wade and King collecting a nice 5/1 with Boylesports for upsetting the odds again.

Form of tonight’s games/players:

Michael Smith

  • Legs played – 39
  • Maximums hit/average per leg – 10 (0.2564 per leg)
  • Highest Checkout – 130
  • Number of 100+ checkouts – 4 (2-2)

Mervyn King

  • Legs played – 34
  • Maximums hit/average per leg – 10 (0.2941 per leg)
  • Highest Checkout – 160
  • Number of 100+ checkouts – 4 (2-2)

Glen Durrant

  • Legs played – 38
  • Maximums hit/average per leg – 9 (0,2368 per leg)
  • Highest Checkout – 112
  • Number of 100+ checkouts – 2

James Wade

  • Legs played – 49
  • Maximums hit/average per leg – 9 (0.1836 per leg)
  • Highest Checkout – 160 (2-2)
  • Number of 100+ checkouts – 2

Smith v King – 19:15

  • Head To Head – King leads 8-7

The match odds imply Bullyboy is no bigger than 2/5 with Bet365 representing a 71.43% chance with King out at 11/5 thus a 31.25% chance.

Smith has certainly been a little demotivated at times and has experienced great resilience also. King has been the pundits surprise at the event knocking off Gary Anderson in good fashion on Tuesday night. Critics may blame that Anderson is not back at his peak form, but without discrediting King was a superb victory.

Mervyn has the reputation of being the grafter on the circuit, named by a number of professionals that King is always the first person at the arena especially during a pro tour weekend and puts in hours of practice. Smith is a naturally gifted thrower, like Adrian Lewis, with a throw looking so smooth and effortless on camera.

Seeing the events of Tuesday night, Smith did not mind who he played tonight, as he has a great deal of respect for both players.

With the race to 16, Smith is more experienced relatively playing this format, having played a lengthy World Championship final at the turn of 2019. Playing against King, who could be mentally fitter having Smith’s 2019 campaign thus far on the World Series and Premier League has a case for both players.

Despite the event stats King has achieved well on the maximums, with Smith under performing from his longer term maximum average per leg. Layers chalk up 15.5 as the 180 line with 8.5 being awarded to Smith as his respective line at 6.5.

Skybet tempt on King banking a 122 or better checkout at evens, with the high checkout line priced around the 139.50 line at 10/11. Skybet also goes 4/5 on four or more 100+ finishes, which may tempt some and 4/7 on Smith nailing two or more 100+ finishes, which may be seen as the safer option.

As events draw towards the close, layers tighten up on their pricing, modelling the player performances and scoring through their algorithms, making value more difficult to come by.

Glen Durrant v James Wade – 20:45

  • Head To Head – No previous meetings

Will Duzza have a post MVG hangover? Bookmakers have Glen the narrow 4/5 favourite with Bet365 and the Aldershot left hander James Wade at 6/5 with Boylesports.

Duzza was quite emotional being taken to a tiebreaker in what was billed as a champion versus champion match. Glen threw some superb darts and showed some bottle to hold it together, once when in the lead, but also when MVG went through the gears. The feeling of victory for the BDO champion was one of his finest. James Wade, having been a former champion back in 2007 knows how to win on the big stage.

Seeing Durrant as the marginal favourite almost makes the game too close to call. The total legs market is priced at 27.5 at 8/11, so well covered by the odds compilers. One bet which does appeal is for Wade to hit two or more 100+ checkouts, but is 8/11 with Hills and Skybet,

Interestingly Betfair punt that both players net two or more 100+ finishes at 10/11, but the same bet with Hills is 15/8, but just 4/5 on four 100+ checkouts in the match with the same firm.

Recommendations:

King – Over 1 100+ checkout – 10/11 Hills and Skybet 1.5 pts
Durrant/Wade – over 1 100+ checkout each – 15/8 William Hill 1pt

Recommended Bets

  • 1.5pts – King – Over 1 100+ checkout – 10/11 (William Hill)
  • 1.pt – Durrant/Wade – over 1 100+ checkout each – 15/8 (William Hill)