Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day two of the men’s French Open and provides us with his best bets for the second Grand Slam of the year.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +11.28pts
- Date: 26 May-9 June
- Venue: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France
- Channel: Eurosport UK
Monday marks day two at the 2019 French Open and there is a mammoth order of play with both Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal in action.
And we broke even on day one in Paris, which is understandable considering there was very little value to be found.
Janko Tipsarevic did, as anticipated, trouble the struggling Grigor Dimitrov by taking him the distance, but a horror second set bagel put him immediately behind the eight ball in terms of the game handicap.
However, Marton Fucsovics had Diego Schwartzman worried when he forced a fifth set and the over 36.5 game bet landed comfortably, with the Argentine prevailing after 3 hours and 44 minutes.
There is matches aplenty on day two and the immediate head-scratcher in regards to value is Frances Tiafoe as a 13/8 shot to beat Filip Krajinovic.
The American reached the quarter-finals in his last Grand Slam outing at the Australian Open and, even considering the contrast in court conditions, he does tend to preserve his best form for bigger tournaments.
In fact, Tiafoe is 3-5 at tournaments below Masters 1000 level since his run in Melbourne compared to 5-3 at those corresponding events. One of those defeats was to Rafael Nadal in Madrid, too, where he reached the last eight.
The 21-year-old’s record in Paris may be non-existent, but he is a crowd pleaser and boasts incredible self-confidence, which partly explains his record at major events.
Krajinovic, to his credit, is an accomplished clay-courter, but his record at Roland Garros is equally as light and the majority of his form on the surface this year has been at Challenger level.
His biggest scalp was Borna Coric at the Hungarian Open, the week before the Croatian bombed out to Lucas Pouille in straight sets in Madrid.
With this in mind, it’s probably worth crossing our fingers and hoping the American’s big match mentality comes to the fore.
Elsewhere, Kyle Edmund is battling to find his best form and he has been handed an opening assignment against the Frenchman Jeremy Chardy.
The Brit has won only one match this clay swing which is remarkable for a player of his calibre, but a good chunk of his losses have came against high calibre players.
He was ousted by Diego Schwartzman in Monte-Carlo despite being a set and 3-0 up; lost to Fabio Fognini in Madrid; and was dumped out by Fernando Verdasco – who defeated Dominic Thiem in Rome – after taking the opening set.
The hope is that Edmund can re-discover his best form in Paris and he may have breathed a sigh of relief that his opening round opponent wasn’t a clay-court specialist.
Chardy’s best week on clay this season came in Madrid with a last 16 appearance, where conditions tend to suit his forehand-heavy game style, and his other two successes come with the added caveat that both players were struggling for fitness (Pablo Carreno-Busta and Richard Gasquet).
It will likely be a contest of very few breaks of serve and Edmund to win in straight sets at 3/1 is very good value for a player who can dazzle on the surface when he finds his groove.