Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day six of the men’s French Open and provides us with his best bets.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +12.8pts
French Open Day 6 Betting Preview & Tips
- Date: 26 May-9 June
- Venue: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France
- Channel: Eurosport UK
Friday marks day four at the 2019 French Open as third round action commences.
There was no preview for yesterday’s action, but we did profit from Juan Ignacio Londero’s victory on Wednesday.
The Argentine, who we staked a considerable sum on, was convincing in a four-set defeat of the perpetually injured Richard Gasquet, although we were wide of the mark in backing Miomir Kecmanovic to cover the set handicap.
In truth, the Serbian was outclassed by David Goffin, who is beginning to show signs of life on court (although that is likely to end at the hands of Rafael Nadal), and the disparity in Grand Slam experience was evident.
Our quarter outright, Juan Martin del Potro, survived a close scare against Yoshihito Nishioka in his second round match on Thursday. The Argentine was pushed to a fifth set by the Japanese, but of more worrying concern is his right knee, which inhibited his movement and required attention at the end of the first set.
Nonetheless, there are eleven singles matches on the men’s side to begin third round action and our first bet centres on the ever fluctuating form of Kei Nishikori.
The Japanese was hardly convincing in his second round victory over Jo-Wilfried Tsonga on Wednesday, prevailing thanks in small part to his superior fitness level over a player plagued by injury lay-offs in the last twelve months.
And he faces a player who is enjoying his best year on the tour, Laslo Djere, with successive straight sets victories in the previous two rounds.
Granted, the current guise of Albert Ramos-Vinolas is a far cry from the player he was two years ago and Alexei Popyrin was making his French Open debut, but to be broken only once coming into the third round is an excellent achievement on clay.
The Serbian is also fresh having yet to be fully stretched in his previous two matches and it will bode well for what is likely to be a physical battle against the Japanese.
Nishikori tends to be involved in at least one five-setter at a major and in current form Djere looks perfectly poised to worry the Japanese.
However, taking into account Nishikori’s remarkable record in deciding sets backing Djere to cover the +1.5 set handicap is wiser at 6/4.
Elsewhere, it is remarkable that one of Londero or Corentin Moutet will make the fourth round at the French Open on their debut at the event, but that is the scenario we are presented with.
It may seem disingenuous to oppose Londero after we championed his terrific season in our second round preview, but Moutet has been equally as impressive and the 20-year-old’s confidence will be soaring after a momentous win against Guido Pella in the last round.
Presumably the Frenchman has been priced up as underdog on the basis of having played fewer matches on the main tour, but experience seems immaterial in a match between two players enjoying the most productive weeks of their careers.
Moutet displayed various sides of his game in a four-set win over Pella. Striking the ball magnificently, he raced into a two-set lead before he was pegged by the Argentine and flirted with the ignominy of losing a set after leading 5-0.
As it was, he clung on and the resolve he showed in dismissing the loss of a 5-0 lead to break once again for 7-5 makes us slightly less apprehensive to hang our hats on the Frenchman.
Moutet to win at 7/4 is an appealing second bet.