Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day 9 of the men’s Wimbledon Championships and provides us with his best bets.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +17.51pts
2019 Men's Wimbledon Day 9 Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 1-14 July
- Venue: The All-England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club
- Channel: BBC and BBC Red Button
The men’s quarter-finals are upon us at Wimbledon with an intriguing set of matches on offer.
And our faith in Roberto Bautista-Agut was rewarded on Monday when the Spaniard produced another excellent performance to dispatch Benoit Paire in straight sets. Guido Pella, who came from two sets down to end Milos Raonic’s bid in the previous round, awaits.
Unfortunately, David Goffin and Fernando Verdasco contested a tight opening set tie-break to prevent us from landing a successful double. The Belgian eventually prevailed in four sets and his reward is a showdown with defending champion and world number one Novak Djokovic first up on Centre Court.
Rafael Nadal, meanwhile, will meet 2017 semi-finalist Sam Querrey – whom he lost to when the pair last met in Acapulco two years ago – while Kei Nishikori stands in the way of another appearance in the final four for Roger Federer.
And it’s the latter clash – scheduled second on Centre Court – which looks particularly interesting from a value perspective.
Nishikori will contest his fifth Grand Slam quarter-final in succession but the curious aspect about the Japanese’s path has been the relative lack of five-setters.
His hopes of springing an upset on Djokovic at the Australian Open and Nadal at Roland Garros at the last eight stage last month were considerably dented by his exertions in the early rounds, but the 29-year-old has in fact spent less time on court in the past week than Nadal.
That bodes well for Nishikori considering he is so reliant on his fitness and it’s his clash with Djokovic at Wimbledon twelve months ago that might have Federer slightly worried.
The Japanese pushed the eventual champion to four sets that afternoon and it’s hardly unlikely that he could dent similar holes in the game of the eight-time champion.
Nishikori tends to trouble the Swiss more than the other two members of the Big Three, memorably taking Federer to a deciding set at the Australian Open in 2017 – which the 37-year-old went on to win – before his body let him down.
The perception of Federer’s previous round obliteration of Matteo Berrettini was that it was a statement sent out to the locker room, but in reality he has looked the least convincing out of the Big Three this past week, unable to truly press home his superiority against the likes of Lloyd Harris and Jay Clarke.
The Swiss’ record at Wimbledon is so remarkable that it seems an extremely tall order for Nishikori to pull off the upset, but over 3.5 sets at 27/25 looks enticing.
Meanwhile, Nadal has played nine sets at Wimbledon without the hint of a breaker and no tie-break in his match with Querrey is available at 13/8.
That price may have spawned from the American’s four-set win over Tennys Sandgren in the fourth round which included three tie-breaks, but Nadal’s ability on return remains phenomenal.