2019 WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Betting Preview

Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews the 2019 WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational and provides us with his best bets for this week’s major championship in America.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +26.2pts

WGC FedEx St Jude Invitational Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 25/07/19
  • Time: 1pm first tee
  • Venue: TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

Shane Lowry was a magnificent winner of The Open Championship on Sunday, in what was a stunning event at Portrush. My four picks all looked right in contention at one point, but disappointingly fell away over rounds 3 or 4, to leave us empty handed for the week.  Schauffele, Spieth and Van Rooyen in particular were frustrating, when a placed finish looked the minimum to hope for.

This week sees us venture to Memphis, Tennessee for a revision in the schedule and the 3rd WGC event at the Fed-Ex St Jude Invitational. A limited field with no cut sees 64 players battle it out for the latest big prize in golf, a cool $10m purse. Dustin Johnson is the defending champion on the course at TPC Southwind, whilst this WGC event, was previously held at Firestone for the Bridgestone Invitational, where Justin Thomas won last year.

Of course many of the leading players have hopped across the Atlantic having played at The Open, so it will be interesting to see how some of those in contention on Sunday, fare in very different conditions this week.

Recent winners of FedEx St Jude Classic

  • 2018 – Dustin Johnson 7/1
  • 2017 – Daniel Berger 28/1
  • 2016 – Daniel Berger 33/1
  • 2015 – Fabian Gomez 400/1
  • 2014 – Ben Crane 175/1
  • 2013 – Harris English 66/1
  • 2012 – Dustin Johnson 20/1

Key Stats & Facts

TPC Southwind is no stranger to the PGA Tour, having hosted events since 1989. The 7,244 yard par 70 course provides players with a very stern test this week.  As their own website states, it’s regularly ranked one of the toughest courses on tour! With water hazards in play on many holes, the need for an accurate approach to these Bermuda greens or a razor sharp scrambling game will be crucial.

The list of previous winners here in recent years, shows that no particular style of player can dominate here, despite DJ winning here twice in the past few years. Strokes gained approach, strokes gained tee to green and scrambling all look vital stats to be hot on this week.

Betting Odds – Top 10

  • Brooks Koepka 8/1
  • Rory McIlroy 9/1
  • Dustin Johnson 9/1
  • Jon Rahm 12/1
  • Justin Thomas 16/1
  • Patrick Cantlay 20/1
  • Xander Schauffele 20/1
  • Justin Rose 22/1
  • Tommy Fleetwood 22/1
  • Bryson Dechambeau 25/1

The Verdict

With a reduced 64 man field, I was expecting some shorter prices for some of the 2nd tier of player this week, but with 7 places on offer, I’m pleased to play the top of the market, with a trio of players who look well suited to the challenge ahead at TPC Southwind.

  • Justin Thomas – 2pts Each Way, 16/1, Paddy Power

An impressive 11th place at last week’s Open Championship could have been even better bar a poor tee shot on the 17th hole on Sunday. As I’ve said many times before this season, JT is in very strong consistent form, having come close to a win many times this season. He sits 2nd in tee to green, 3rd in approach and in my view is due a big win. He stated very publicly this week how good he feels about his game, and how much he enjoyed the challenge of Portrush. This being his debut on this course, is the only negative that I can see, but he has good correlating course form at places such as The Sony Open, so should be able to tackle TPC Southwind with confidence.

  • Bryson DeChambeau – 1pt Each Way, 25/1, Paddy Power

Despite a missed cut last week at The Open, Dechambeau is definitely back to playing some very nice golf. Runner up at the 3M Open and 8th at the Travellers in his past two starts, Bryson is 38th in approach, 31st tee to green and 49th in scrambling, but those stats have all been improving again in recent weeks. He only has two starts at this course, with a best of 45th, but that was some time ago, and he is a very different golfer now. Bryson in view is simmering away nicely and looks primed to contend in a big one.

  • Webb Simpson – 1pt Each Way, 35/1, Paddy Power

Simpson seems the archetypal golfer matched to the challenge of TPC Southwind this week. He has had a very steady season so far, including 4 top ten finishes, with a runner up place at last month’s Canadian Open being is best effort. He ticks all the boxes in the key stats I’ve looked at this week; 1st in scrambling, 20th in approach and 18th from tee to green. He also has a best of 3rd place here in 2014, so all the indicators are that he can contend again. Whilst finishing 30th last week at Portrush last week, he started very well and even lead during day 1. He is in confident form and looks an appealing each way price.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt Each Way – Justin Thomas @ 16/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – Bryson Dechambeau @ 25/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – Webb Simpson @ 35/1 (Paddy Power)