Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day 6 of the men’s Wimbledon Championship and provides us with his best bets.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +16pts
2019 French Open Day 6 Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 1-14 July
- Venue: The All-England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club
- Channel: BBC and BBC Red Button
Third round action at The All-England Club concludes on Friday with the bottom half of the men’s singles draw set to take shape ahead of Manic Monday.
It was an unsuccessful day in regards to our two picks when Thomas Fabbiano was routed by Fernando Verdasco in straight sets and Benoit Paire’s clash with Jiri Vesely fell short by a single game in set one.
It looked for all intents and purposes that the opening set was heading towards a tie-break before Paire inexplicably dropped serve. To compound matters, two of the next three sets went over 12.5 games.
We also lost our quarter outright, Karen Khachanov, to an inspired performance by Roberto Bautista-Agut. The Spaniard surrendered not a single break point in a straight sets win and bears the resemblance of a dark horse heading into the second week.
Moving on, however, and we have a further eight men’s matches to choose from with Kei Nishikori’s clash with Steve Johnson on No.3 Court at 11AM GMT worth further inspection.
The American hasn’t reached the fourth round at a Grand Slam since he lost to Roger Federer at Wimbledon four years ago, but what that run proved was his capabilities on the surface and he certainly boasts the weapons to trouble Nishikori.
The Japanese, in contrast, is no stranger the second week at majors, but these are usually the type of matches he struggles to maintain consistency in, with the cumulative fatigue hindering him at the quarter-final stage.
Nishikori has enjoyed the good fortune of playing two lefties more suited to the clay courts in his opening two matches, Thiago Monteiro and Cameron Norrie, and their styles are so far removed from Johnson’s slice-and-dice attitude.
Despite the scoreline, Nishikori didn’t have it all his own way against Norrie on Centre Court either, with the first set littered by complacency and the Japanese forced to rally from a break down.
Johnson’s rasping forehand and ability to sneak in behind the slice will worry Nishikori – who enjoys ping-pong tennis from the baseline – and backing the American on the set handicap looks enticing.
The Japanese’s record in five-set matches is worth taking into consideration and as such Johnson +1.5 sets is the bet at 7/4.
Meanwhile, Fabio Fognini has a penchant for playing five-setters at Wimbledon this year and he faces a player who snatched victory from the jaws of defeat in the second round, Tennys Sandgren.
That in itself makes the American a dangerous proposition, likely to play with complete freedom having been so close to exiting the tournament.
The Italian struggles to maintain a consistently high level on grass and so far both Frances Tiafoe and Marton Fucsovics have failed to take advantage.
It could be a similar story with Sandgren who, since reaching the quarter-finals at the Australian Open last year, lurches so extremely between exceptionally good and extraordinarily bad – as exhibited by the number of first round exits this year.
With that in mind, backing the American to claim the first set at 7/4 is worth a punt considering the Italian has dropped the opener in his previous two matches at SW19 this year.