Tennis specialist Craig Vickers (@craigvickers_) previews day 7 of the men’s Wimbledon Championship and provides us with his best bets.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +16.9pts
2019 Wimbledon Day 7 Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 1-14 July
- Venue: The All-England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club
- Channel: BBC and BBC Red Button
Manic Monday at The All-England Club is always a date to be marked out on the tennis calendar with eight men’s singles matches on offer as the both halves of the draw converge.
There is traditionally no play on Middle Sunday at Wimbledon, hence no preview, but we did land our first winner of the tournament – beginning only on Thursday for ourselves – when Tennys Sandgren snatched the first set in his upset win over Fabio Fognini.
However, Steve Johnson couldn’t lay a finger on Kei Nishikori in their clash, with the contrast in quality from either end of the court so stark. Indeed, the Japanese has now progressed into the second week of a major without dropping a set since the French Open in 2015.
Nevertheless, of the eight last 16 matches on Monday the one which immediately stands out from a betting perspective is David Goffin’s clash with Fernando Verdasco.
The Belgian looks to have rediscovered the snarl which propelled him to the final of the ATP Finals in 2017, reaching the final in Halle earlier this month before equalling a career-best showing of the fourth round here after an epic five-set win over Daniil Medvedev.
The Goffin of old would have likely surrendered in four sets to the Russian, but he is now striking the ball so cleanly – his shot making in the deciding set alone on Friday was delicious – and that should worry his opponent on Monday.
Verdasco, however, is playing fine tennis of his own, halting the impressive run of the grass-loving Thomas Fabbiano in the third round. As such, separating the pair looks a pointless task.
Instead, no tie-break to be played in the match looks tempting at 9/4 with both players prone to lapses in concentration.
Although Goffin is hitting the ball cleaner than he has for the past twelve months, he is still markedly fragile on serve when matches flatline, exhibited perfectly by the fact he lost sets one and three against Medvedev in the third round from a break up.
That match didn’t feature a tie-break and, on closer inspection, the Belgian hasn’t played a breaker in his last 22 sets at Grand Slam level.
Verdasco did win one against Kyle Edmund in the second round, but the Brit is considerably stronger behind his serve than Goffin and it will be interesting to see whether the Spaniard can hold his nerve with a quarter-final place at stake.
Meanwhile, Roberto Bautista-Agut has not dropped a set at Wimbledon this year and his performance against Karen Khachanov in the previous round will have prompted a few players to stand up and take notice.
The Spaniard did not face a single break point against the big-hitting Russian and he is now a victory away from a second Grand Slam quarter-final this year after his exploits in Australia.
His opponent on Monday, Benoit Paire, is enjoying a rich vein of form himself and he was forced to rally from a set down against the big-serving Jiri Vesely in the third round.
The biggest question surrounding the Frenchman is how much he can damage the serve of the Spaniard and his Achilles heel remains the forehand stroke, with Bautista-Agut likely to pepper that wing with his flat groundstrokes.
Not much can be read into their five-setter here four years ago considering both players have evolved massively, but it looks increasingly difficult to look beyond Bautista-Agut, who will be relishing the opportunity to potentially face a player he has beaten twice already this season, Novak Djokovic, in the semi-finals.