Chelsea v Leicester Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 22/12/18

Chelsea v Leicester Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Marcello Cossali-Francis (@marcello95cf) previews Chelsea v Leicester City and provides us with his best bets for Saturday’s Premier League clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

Chelsea v Leicester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 22/12/18
  • Time: 15:00
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Channel: N/A

After Arsenal’s shock defeat at Southampton at the weekend, Chelsea now hold a three-point advantage over their London rivals in the race for fourth place.

Chelsea’s defeat to Wolves earlier this month almost certainly ruled Sarri’s side out of the title race, but they have won their last two league games since that defeat, including that 2-0 victory over Manchester City.

The Blues are yet to lose at home in any competition this season and have won 11 of their 13 games played at Stamford Bridge in the 18/19 season so far. They have conceded just seven goals at the Bridge in the league and haven’t conceded a goal at home since the 3-1 defeat of Palace at the start of last month.

Leicester’s form of late has not been brilliant, they were knocked out of the League Cup in the week to City (having made 10 changes to the side that lost at Palace last weekend) and have lost their last two in the league without scoring a goal. The Foxes have scored just 21 goals so far this season, which is the second lowest of the sides in the top 12, outlining their issues.

Jamie Vardy is expected to return to the side after a two-week absence through injury, which should give the away side a lift here. Vardy has five goals this season and did score in both of his last two matches before the injury, so Claude Puel will be hopeful Vardy can pick up where he left off.

Leicester’s record at Chelsea does not make for great reading, with the Foxes only ever winning four times at Stamford Bridge in their history. In the eight games these two sides have faced each other since Leicester returned to the Premier League, City have won just the once and the last time they travelled to London and took home all three points, was 18 years ago.

Leicester, given the circumstances, are big underdogs here at 10/1, which is maybe a little big given that they do have potential to hurt a Chelsea defence that is susceptible to a mistake or two. Chelsea are too short at 1/3 so the value is with the away side, but Chelsea have been so good at home, it is hard to see anything but a Chelsea win.

Team News

Victor Moses, Gary Cahill and Alvaro Morata are all doubts here, even though none were expected to start regardless. Maurizio Sarri rested key players in mid-week for this fixture, so Chelsea will be full-strength.

Jamie Vardy was rested in mid-week and is expected to start here, whilst Ben Chilwell is a an injury doubt. Claude Puel will also recall first-team players here, after resting most of them in the League Cup tie against Man City mid-week.

Potential Chelsea Starting XI: Arrizabalaga; Azpilicueta, Rudiger, Luiz, Alonso; Kante, Jorginho, Kovacic; Pedro, Giroud, Hazard

Potential Leicester Starting XI: Schmeichel; Pereira, Morgan, Maguire, Fuchs; Mendy, Ndidi; Albrighton, Maddison, Gray; Vardy

Head To Head

  • Over 25% of games between these two have ended all square, with Chelsea winning 42 of the 84 fixtures. Chelsea are un-beaten in their last seven matches against Leicester in all competitions and have won three of the last four in the league against the Foxes.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Leicester have only ever won four matches against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
  • There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Leicester’s last 8 Premier League games.
  • Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in the league at home.

Betting Odds

  • Chelsea – 1/3
  • Draw – 9/2
  • Leicester – 10/1

The Verdict

Despite the form of these two sides coming into the game, I think it is fair to say that Leicester do tend to enjoy the games against the top 6.

With Vardy returning to the side, they have their attacking threat back after two blanks in the last two league games.

Chelsea might have a very good record at home but I am not comfortable with their defence and think it is there to be got at. I think the Foxes will cause them problems and Chelsea’s attack has looked a little blunt at times, especially if Eden Hazard is not quite at it.

I think the away side will get a goal, but Chelsea will have the edge in a tight game.

Recommended Bets

  • Chelsea and under 3.5 goals – 11/10 (Ladbrokes)
  • Leicester to score – 9/10 (Marathon Bet)