Everton v Man Utd Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 21/04/19
Football specialist James O’Rourke (@JamesOR1) previews Everton v Man Utd and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Premier League meeting by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: +1.21pts
Everton v Man Utd Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 21/04/19
- Time: 13:30
- Venue: Goodison Park
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
For Manchester United, it is just a matter of making the top-four from now on after their UEFA Champions League dream was dashed by Barcelona. This weekend’s trip to Everton will be their fourth match in the last eleven days, and after chasing shadows for the most part at the Nou Camp on Tuesday, some heavy legs could be present in the United camp. However, they cannot afford to feel sorry for themselves as they’re playing catch-up in the top-four race. Three points on Sunday is paramount.
This is an encounter that the Everton fans really get up for, but it is ultimately one which they’ve not had much joy in over the years. Should Man City defeat Watford in next month’s FA Cup Final, then seventh spot in the Premier League would qualify for the UEFA Europa League. Everton are only one point behind Leicester, who occupy that position, so they very much still have something to play for. Losing at relegated Fulham last weekend was a blow, after winning three in a row prior to that, but motivation won’t be a factor when The Red Devils come to town.
The Toffees will be without the suspended former Barcelona midfielder Andre Gomes following a stamp on Aleksandar Mitrovic, whilst Colombian international Yerry Mina is still struggling with a hamstring issue. Marco Silva may look to make some changes after the disappointing away defeat at already-relegated Fulham last time out. Players such as Michael Keane and Tom Davies could be called upon. Silva also has the likes of Theo Walcott, Ademola Lookman and Cenk Tosun in reserve.
Ole Gunnar Solksjaer is without the suspended Luke Shaw for Sunday’s trip to Goodison. Alexis Sanchez returned to the squad for the midweek clash in Barcelona to boost their offensive options. Ashley Young is back from serving a ban of his own from the weekend win over West Ham, but Ander Herrera is still out through injury. Nemanja Matic returned among the subs at the Nou Camp, so is fully back in contention for their remaining league fixtures. The newly-appointed Solksjaer will consider changes based on their recent schedule.
Potential Everton Starting XI: Pickford, Coleman, Keane, Zouma, Digne, Davies, Gueye, Richarlison, Sigurdsson, Bernard, Calvert-Lewin.
Potential Man Utd Starting XI: de Gea, Dalot, Lindelof, Smalling, Young, Matic, Fred, Pogba, Rashford, Lukaku, Martial.
Head To Head
- This is a game that Everton are always fired up for, but the reality is that they’ve come off second best in this battle for several years now. April 2015 was the last time Everton defeated Manchester United, when goals from James McCarthy, John Stones and Kevin Miralles secured a 3-0 victory over Louis van Gaal’s side.
- United therefore are unbeaten in their previous eight versus the Toffees, six of which they’ve won, including the last three. The earlier season meeting saw Jose Mourinho oversee a 2-1 win at Old Trafford, with French duo Paul Pogba and Anthony Martial scoring the goals.
- Overall head-to-head record – Everton: 69, Draw: 43, Man Utd: 88.
Key Stats & Facts
- Outside of the ‘big six’, Everton have the strongest home record in the Premier League out of the remaining 14 clubs. They’ve defeated Chelsea and Arsenal in their last two encounters at Goodison Park.
- Whilst Man Utd do have one of the better away records in the division, they have lost their last four matches on their travels in all competitions, twice to Wolves, Arsenal and then Barcelona in midweek. Also, they’ve conceded at least 2+ goals on each occasion.
- Nine of Everton’s previous 11 matches has failed to see both teams to score pay out. However, it has done in five of United’s last six in the Premier League.
- There has been an average of 3.20 goals in Man Utd league away games this season. That is a number only bettered by those involving Arsenal and Bournemouth on the road. On the flip side, games at Goodison Park has averaged 2.60 across the league campaign, which is only more than five other clubs. Those are Brighton, Leicester, Newcastle, Huddersfield and Crystal Palace.
- Everton don’t have the strongest of records versus current top half teams in the Premier League. Of the 15 clashes they’ve had so far, they’ve only won three of those. Besides trips to Wolves, West Ham, Southampton and Brighton, Man Utd have won at every other away meeting to sides outside the top-six so far.
- Everton 11/5
- Draw 12/5
- Man Utd 6/5
There is the feeling that the Solksjaer honeymoon at Old Trafford is very much over and the limitations within the squad have become more highlighted in recent times. After going unbeaten in his first 15 domestic matches in charge, the Norwegian has overseen five defeats from the last seven, which has increased the need for a summer revamp to the playing squad. First things first, they need to make the top-four, and with Arsenal and Chelsea likely to have routine home victories this weekend, it means United need to go to Goodison and get a result.
Everton won’t make life easy for them however. Although they lost away to relegated Fulham last weekend, they have defeated Chelsea and Arsenal in their last two on home soil. They’ve also kept a clean sheet versus Liverpool in the Derby at home too, so they’ll give this a good go. The head-to-head record with United however leaves a lot to be desired, but it could be argued now is the best time to face them after a gruelling night at the Nou Camp on Tuesday. The Red Devils have lost their last four away matches as well, plus they’ve encountered quite a hectic schedule in recent times.
Nevertheless, this is a game United need to be trying to win, or at the very least take a point. They’ve won on three of their last four trips to the blue side of Merseyside, and I expect that to continue. They’ll be a wounded animal, and Solksjaer will fire up his troops for this tough assignment. For all that games involving The Toffees don’t always see both teams netting, it is quite the opposite for Man Utd. 73% of their Premier League games this season has seen BTTS pay out. That should continue this weekend.