Josh Waudby (@Josh_Waudby) previews Qatar v Argentina and provides us with his best bets for the final group game by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +6.18pts

Qatar v Argentina Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 23/06/19
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Arena do Grêmio
  • Channel: Premier Sports

Qatar once again showed that they aren’t here just to make up the numbers, despite not getting anything from the game they kept a hugely talented Colombia side at bay for 85 minutes of the tie before Zapata’s clinical header from a magical ball from James Rodriguez. They have been employing a 3/5 back formation accompanied by a heavily packed midfield to try and frustrate teams, as they understand they have a lack of quality amongst the squad and their plan seems to be working to a tee.

Argentina on the other hand will be hugely disappointed with the position they are in. they currently sit bottom heading into the final game, which isn’t as bad as it sounds as a win would like send them through as runners up, and at the very least as one of the best 3rd place teams. Scaloni seems to be having huge problems finding a team that can produce the results needed, and with the quality up top with the likes of Messi, Aguero and Di Maria you don’t need to look much past the 1 goal they have scored so far to identify the problems.

Should Qatar manage to get anything from the game it is likely they would progress through the 3rd place method which would be a huge achievement for them, given many saw them as a team invited just to make up the numbers.

Anything short of a win here would be devastating to Argentina, and for Lionel Messi. The star has already retired once out of what we can only assume was frustration, but with his age now starting to roll on a real retirement could be on the cards if Argentina fail to progress here.

Team News

Neither side has picked up any injures, however it is likely we could see a lot of changes from Argentina again after another lacklustre performance.

Potential Qatar Starting XI: Sheeb, Rawi, Khoukhi, Salman, Miguel, Haydos, Madibo, Hatim, Hassan, Afif, Ali

Potential Argentina Starting XI: Armani, Tagliafico, Pezzella, Otamendi, Casco, Acuña, Paredes, Celso, Pereyra, Messi, Agüero

Head To Head

  • The two sides have only met once in a friendly back in 2005, where Argentina came out victorious with a 3-0 win.

Key Stats & Facts

  • The average age of Qatar’s squad is a whole 10 years younger than Argentina.
  • Argentina have an impression record against guest teams in CA, their last 5 victories have all seen a clean sheet too.

Betting Odds

  • Qatar 14/1
  • Draw 9/2
  • Argentina 2/7

The Verdict

This game is mightily difficult to find value. Argentina are playing poor, but it is almost impossible to imagine that they get beat here by Qatar.

I am going to take a similar path to previous CA games and go with Argentina to win to nil. Qatar’s game plan is to frustrate teams, and they do it well. On the contrary when it comes to scoring, they are not quite as prolific. Granted they managed to get 2 against Paraguay but one of them was a poor own goal on Paraguay’s behalf, and defenders such as Otamendi and Tagliafico should have enough quality to keep them at bay. As stated previously Argentina’s last 5 victories against the so called “guest teams” has come with a clean sheet.

The second bet I have in mind is around the magician himself Messi. He got a goal last time out against Paraguay to rescue a point and I’m backing him to go that bit further. He is a poor 4/9 to score anytime but we can get 3/1 on him to score 2 or more which looks a value bet. If Argentina can play anywhere as good as it suggests they should on paper, you can feasibly see them putting a fair few past Qatar. In his last 5 games Messi has got 6 goals, including two braces. Given he’s a magician from set pieces and Qatar are likely to have their work cut out at the back with the ability of Argentina’s attack he should be given.

Recommended Bets

  • 3pts – Argentina win to nil – 19/20 (Ladbrokes)
  • 1pt – Messi 2 or more goals – 3/1 (William Hill)