Tottenham v Leicester Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 10/02/19
James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Spurs v Leicester City and provides us with his best bets for this week’s first instalment of Super Sunday by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -3.44pts
Spurs v Leicester City Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 11/02/19
- Time: 13:30
- Venue: Wembley Stadium
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Claude Puel will be looking to ease the pressure on his job security as he takes his Leicester side to Wembley on Sunday, looking to end a run of four games without a win.
All looked red and rosy for Puel after successive victories against Chelsea and Man City in the festive period looked to have silenced his critics. However, the Foxes have been on a poor run of form since that City win, losing at home to Cardiff and Southampton and away at Wolves. The only win they’ve picked up in the New Year came at Goodison Park in a game that was probably the worst of the season so far.
However, their two last performances have shown signs of life; earning a well-deserved point at Anfield 10 days ago and losing narrowly to the in-form United last Sunday in a game that they definitely should’ve got something from.
As for Spurs, who would’ve thought that when Harry Kane went down in the dying embers of the United game, Fernando Llorente scored that own-goal at Craven Cottage and when Dele Alli pulled up later on in the same game, that they’d be five points off top three weeks later.
Spurs have certainly not made it easy for themselves; leaving it until the last seconds for Harry Winks to nod home the winner against Fulham, coming from behind to beat Watford with two late goals and needing a Martin Dubravka error to beat the Magpies last Saturday.
Nevertheless, the Kane and Alli-less period was all about getting results, which they have done. They’ve won their last three PL games and despite the performances not being as fluid as usual, they sit 9 points clear of United in 5th and have been dragged back into the title race.
With the likelihood of Kane and Alli being available for some of their ‘crunch’ fixtures in a couple of weeks’ time, there’s no doubt that Spurs will be able to put up more of a title challenge this time around compared to the challenge that was meant to start after their 6-2 win at Everton back in December.
But, with Pochettino having one-eye on their CL tie against Dortmund on Wednesday along with the personnel in Leicester’s starting 11, this has the makings of a close encounter.
Harry Kane and Dele Alli are back in training for the hosts, with the former reportedly set to return at Burnley next week. Spurs will also be without Eric Dier, who has a virus, while Ben Davies’ groin injury keeps him on the sidelines.
Marc Albrighton is likely to miss the rest of the campaign as his hamstring injury requires surgery. Daniel Amartey is still out with the broken leg he sustained against West Ham back in October. On the bright side, the Foxes could give a debut to January signing Youri Tielemens.
Potential Spurs Starting XI: Lloris, Trippier, Sanchez, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Winks, Sissoko, Eriksen, Son, Lucas, Llorente.
Potential Leicester Starting XI: Schmeichel, Pereira, Evans, Maguire, Chilwell, Ndidi, Tielemens, Gray, Maddison, Barnes, Vardy.
Head To Head
- All-time: Spurs-55, Draw-21, Leicester-35.
- Leicester have only won twice in last 11 meetings.
Key Stats & Facts
- The last four meetings have produced 21 goals.
- Leicester haven’t won since their New Year’s Day win at Everton (D1, L3 since).
- The Foxes have a 2-1-5 record vs the top six this season, three of their defeats were settled by just a one-goal margin.
- Spurs have earned 10 league victories this season by a one-goal margin, more than any other team.
- Heung-min Son has scored nine goals in his last 10 league and cup appearances for Spurs and has 3G’s, 2A’s in last two appearances vs Leicester.
- Leicester have been better away from home this season, gaining 18 points in 13 away matches, as opposed to 14 from 12 at the King Power Stadium.
- Jamie Vardy has four goals in his last seven league appearances against Spurs.
- 4/5 of Spurs’ league defeats this season have come at Wembley.
- 7 of Leicester’s last 8 away games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Spurs 8/11
- Draw 13/5
- Leicester 9/2
This game is a tough one for Spurs, even if they had Kane and Alli. I’m sure Puel will trust his defence that beholds the likes of Harry Maguire, Ricardo Perreira and Ben Chilwell and utilise a low-block so his technical, pacey forwards can hit Spurs on the break.
Pochettino has got to start Llorente for this one, he made a huge impact as a sub vs Newcastle, giving Spurs that focal point going forward and setting up the only goal in the game. Leicester will be looking to emulate Newcastle’s defensive game-plan by limiting the number of times Spurs’ creators are allowed to receive the ball in-between the lines, forcing the likes of Eriksen to create from a deeper role as early as possible. With Spurs winning 10 games this season by a one-goal margin and 3/5 of Leicester’s defeats being by that tight margin, I can see this game ending in a similar fashion but I’m going to back either side to win by one-goal as Leicester certainly have the players going forward to do damage on Sunday.
I think BTTS at 4/5 is great value for this fixture. 21 goals have been scored in the last four meetings, including a 6-1 and a 5-4 at the end of last season. Spurs have only failed to score twice this season, both of which were against top 6 sides, whilst Leicester has scored in 12/13 away games so far this season. Not to forget that Jamie Vardy has a pretty impressive record against Spurs, scoring four and setting up three in his last seven league meetings against them.