Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and provides us with his best bets for this week’s European Tour event in Scotland.
- 2019 Profit & Loss: -8.8pts
2019 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 26/09/19
- Time: First tee off 7am (GMT)
- Venue: St Andrews, Kingsbarns and Carnoustie, Scotland.
- Channel: Sky Sports Golf
It was a disappointing betting week at Wentworth last week, with none of my picks getting amongst the top 8. It started so well with Wallace and Stenson leading the way after round 1, and Luiten and Van Rooyen in close behind. Success didn’t materialise though as Willett and Rahm fought it out in round 4, with the former Masters champion Willett, showing his return to form to pick up the victory at the European Tour’s flagship event.
On to this week then and a return to the Links in Scotland and the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, which is a long standing event on the circuit. This is a fun one as it utilises three of the most famous Links courses in Britain, and combines players with celebrity partners such as Justin Timberlake, Kevin Pieterson, Jamie Redknapp and Bill Murray. The crowds will certainly be entertained.
Players play each of the three courses in rotation on days 1-3, before returning to the Old Course of St Andrews for the concluding round on Sunday. With long days and sometimes wet and windy conditions, players’ temperaments and skill sets will certainly be tested this week.
It’s a cracking field with Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Justin Rose and Tommy Fleetwood headlining, whilst Lucas Bjerregaard is the defending champion.
Recent winners of The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship
- 2018 – Lucas Bjerregaard
- 2017 – Tyrrell Hatton
- 2016 – Tyrrell Hatton
- 2015 – Thorbjorn Olesen
- 2014 – Oliver Wilson
- 2013 – David Howell
- 2012 – Branden Grace
- 2011 – Michael Hoey
- 2010 – Martin Kaymer
Key Stats & Facts
With three courses to challenge the players this week, it’s links form and the ability to play well in wet and windy conditions that will be particularly important this week. Whilst 6 hour rounds are not uncommon, alongside the celebrity amateurs, the leading players still manage to shoot some incredible numbers across the four days, with scores of -20 not uncommon in recent years.
Unsurprisingly this week, with the courses wide open and easy to tackle off the tee, it will be the players that perform the best on the greens that will prosper. So I’m looking for players in good recent nick, a host of solid links form, is excellent from tee to green and has a red hot putter, in order to contend come Sunday. Carnoustie is historically the toughest of the three tracks, so depending on the weather conditions of the first three days, a certain draw can be beneficial to some players, if they can score well at Kingsbarns on St Andrews on calmer days.
Overall, it’s a fun event, with the chance to see some of the finest scenery in golf, alongside some fellow celebrity from sporting, music and movie backgrounds.
- Rory McIlroy 5/1
- Jon Rahm 15/2
- Justin Rose 12/1
- Tommy Fleetwood 16/1
- Shane Lowry 20/1
- Danny Willett 22/1
- Tony Finau 22/1
- Tyrrell Hatton 28/1
- Bernd Wiesberger 28/1
- Matt Fitzpatrick 28/1
- Bernd Wiesberger
Wiesberger continued his fine run of form this season, with a 17th place at Wentworth last week, but for a two over par first round, it could have been a lot better. His record at this event is decent, with a 4th and 7th place finish in his last two outings in 2015 and 2016. He also had two other top 15 finishes in the years preceding that.
After winning earlier in the year at the Scottish Open, the Austrian is showing me enough to take him as one of my two main picks this week. His strength this year has been from tee to green, but if he can find some decent form with his putter on the links, he can seriously contend.
- Erik Van Rooyen
Much of what I wrote last week for Van Rooyen holds true this week. A solid 14th place last week at Wentworth, further cemented his current form. The South African’s flat stick continues to fire as well, as he sits 7th in strokes gained putting and 4th in putts per GIR.
Whilst he is yet to record a decent effort at this event, he has posted two very successful top 20s in the last two Open Championships on other links courses. His all-around game is in great shape and he ticks a lot of boxes for me this week.
- Christian Bezuidenhout
The South African youngster has had a brilliant season so far, with no fewer than 9 top 15s, including a win at the Andalucia Masters, 2nd in the wind at Qatar, 3rd at the BMW International Open, and 3rd last week at Wentworth. He’s had a few visits to this event now, with finishes of 33rd, 36th and 48th in the past four years. But given his run this season, alongside his excellent scrambling and putting, I can see him building on his success this season and contending here this week.
Other players I considered.
Branden Grace and Haotong Li always get my attention when it comes to links events, and at 80/1 and 50/1 look decent outsiders to consider.