2019 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Formula 1 specialist Ben Issatt (@BenIssatt) previews the upcoming Azerbaijan Grand Prix and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s race.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -2.25pts

2019 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 27/4
  • Time: 13:10pm BST
  • Venue: Baku, Azerbaijan
  • Channel: Sky Sports F1

Formula 1 is ready for an annual dose of craziness as the streets of Baku again host the Azerbaijan Grand Prix on Sunday.

A relatively new addition, having first taken place in 2016, this race is well-known for creating drama with some memorable moments in the past two years.

2017’s event was notable for Sebastian Vettel’s road rage incident with Lewis Hamilton as the pair banged wheels and Daniel Ricciardo capitalising to take an unexpected win.

12 months later though, the Australian was involved in a collision with then-Red Bull teammate Max Verstappen.

That would be followed by Hamilton clinching victory from teammate Valtteri Bottas after a puncture struck the Finn on the penultimate lap.

So far, this year has been no different in Baku with an eventful qualifying session on Saturday.

The result was Bottas securing a last-gasp pole ahead of Mercedes teammate Hamilton after Charles Leclerc, who had been the quickest man throughout practice, crashed earlier in the session.

Ferrari is still represented with Vettel in third and Max Verstappen is also in the mix in fourth for Red Bull.

Nothing though is guaranteed, so here are my bets for you to consider ahead of Sunday’s race.

Key Stats & Facts

  • The Baku street circuit includes the longest flat-out straight in F1 at 2.2km.
  • Only Nico Rosberg in 2016 has converted pole into victory.
  • Racing Point’s Sergio Perez holds the most podiums in Baku with two
  • A midfield driver has stood on the podium each of the first three years..

Betting Odds

  • Lewis Hamilton 13/8 (SkyBet)
  • Valtteri Bottas 9/4 (SkyBet)
  • Sebastian Vettel 13/4 (Unibet)
  • Charles Leclerc 8/1 (Sporting Bet)
  • Max Verstappen 14/1 (SkyBet)

The Verdict

Caution is advised because Baku is such an unpredictable race with a Safety Car almost guaranteed (2/9 via Betfair), but there are still some good value bets which have a strong chance of coming good.

Valtteri Bottas to win is a solid shout because he does perform well on the Baku circuit and is owed a result after his near-miss in 2018.

Mercedes should have the race pace over Ferrari too, but with so many scenarios that can impact the leader, maintaining a position is very tricky.

Charles Leclerc for a podium is a bold shout as he will start from ninth place, providing there is no engine or gearbox damage from his qualifying crash.

But he will have the best tyre strategy and with will allow him to time his pit-stop at the perfect opportunity, something that could bring him very much into contention.

The main questions are how quickly can he come through the field? And will his confidence, and therefore pace, be impacted by the accident?

Now into the safer bets with the first being Kimi Raikkonen to score points in the top 10.

The Finn with all his experience should cope with all the madness in the midfield and if anything, could well move forward rather than back from his starting position of eighth.

Finally, there are a number of drivers that stand out as likely candidates to cause on Sunday with Daniil Kvyat the highest starting, so I’ve chosen him as my pick not to finish.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Valtteri Bottas to win the race – 13/4 (SkyBet)
  • 1.5pts – Charles Leclerc to finish in top 3 – 13/10 (Sporting Bet)
  • 3pts – Kimi Raikkonen to finish in top 10 – 4/6 (BetFred)
  • 2pts – Daniil Kvyat not to finish the race – 9/4 (Bet365)