2019 Canadian Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Canadian Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Formula 1 specialist Ben Issatt (@BenIssatt) previews Sunday's Canadian Grand Prix and provides us with his best bets for the evening's race.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +4.25pts

2019 Canadian Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 9/6
  • Time: 19:10pm BST
  • Venue: Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, Montreal
  • Channel: Sky Sports F1

Formula 1 takes a short break from Europe and heads to North America for the Canadian Grand Prix this weekend.

One of the most unique settings on the calendar, the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve is located on an island along the St. Lawrence Seaway situated not far from downtown Montreal.

Like Monaco two weeks ago, much of the track is wall-lined, the big difference is this is one of the fastest circuits with four straights where the cars are exceeding 300kph.

The most iconic corner is the Turn 10 hairpin, one of the great amphitheatres in F1 with fans looking down over the action.

However, the big challenge is the tricky final chicane with the infamous ‘Wall of Champions’ on the outside.

This is so-called after Jacques Villeneuve, Michael Schumacher and Damon Hill all crashed there in 1999, and more recently Sebastian Vettel and Jenson Button have also hit the concrete.

It’s a layout where F1 can expect the unexpected and several big names have all scored their maiden wins in Montreal.

Jean Alesi and Robert Kubica both scored their only victories in Canada, while Lewis Hamilton and Daniel Ricciardo began their tallies at this circuit.

Since that first in 2007, the current world champion has won five more times to move within one of the record held by Schumacher of seven wins.

The race most current fans recall is 2011, a four-hour wet/dry classic which saw Button complete six pit-stops and come through from last at one stage to pass Vettel on the final lap and claim victory.

It’s a race that remains the longest ever in F1 and likely won’t ever be beaten because of new rules brought in afterwards.

Switching focus to this year where expectations were high at the start of the weekend that Ferrari could challenge the dominance of Mercedes and potentially, end their eight-race winning streak.

And after qualifying that possibility is very much on as Vettel came out on top in qualifying to claim pole with Hamilton second and Charles Leclerc third.

An action-packed session also saw Ricciardo finish a surprise fourth for Renault, while a crash for Kevin Magnussen leaves Max Verstappen having to recover from ninth.

What does that mean for your betting options for Sunday’s race?

Key Stats & Facts

  • The 2005 Canadian GP attracted the biggest live TV audience ever for an F1 race.
  • Five of the past six races have been won from pole.
  • Bottas has scored a podium each year since 2015.

Betting Odds – Canadian GP Winner

  • Lewis Hamilton 5/4 (SkyBet)
  • Sebastian Vettel 10/3 (BetFair)
  • Charles Leclerc 11/2 (SportingBet)
  • Valtteri Bottas 22/1 (SkyBet)

The Verdict

The big question heading into the race is whether Ferrari can maintain their single lap pace over a full race distance to challenge Mercedes.

Their power advantage should remain, albeit not quite as substantial and the tyres are expected to be the big unknown.

Hot temperatures on Friday saw the soft and medium compounds struggling to durability and it is expected to be the same again.

How long the medium tyre, which Ferrari and Mercedes will start on, will determine if it is a one or two-stop race.

Based on the similarities to Bahrain then earlier this year, I see Charles Leclerc as a very strong contender to win after the Monegasque largely dominated that race in similar conditions.

The Ferrari driver has been fast too despite struggling to find the perfect lap in qualifying, so he can very much look at challenging Hamilton and Vettel on Sunday.

Based on his ability to read a race and the tyres, I’ve also chosen Daniel Ricciardo to maintain a top-six position from fourth, though a fun battle with the man who replaced him at Red Bull, Pierre Gasly, lies in store.

Finally, Alexander Albon has already shown great potential in his rookie season and I believe he can make up the necessary places from 13th to score a top 10 finish in Canada.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts – Charles Leclerc – Outright Winner 11/2 (SportingBet)
  • 2.5pts – Daniel Ricciardo – Top 6 Finish 3/4 (SportingBet)
  • 1.75pts – Alexander Albon – Top 10 Finish 5/2 (BoyleSports)