2019 Dubai Desert Classic Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Dubai Desert Classic Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Golf specialist Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews the European Tour’s Dubai Desert Classic and provides us with his best bets for this week’s event.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +5.5pts

Dubai Desert Classic Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: Thursday 24 – Sunday 27 January.
  • Venue: The Majlis Course, Emirates Golf Club, Dubai.
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf.

The desert swing continues this week, with a trip to Dubai and Emirates Golf Clubs’ iconic Majlis Course.  Spectacular scenery, and amazing weather, makes this an event for players and fans to really enjoy. Shane Lowry will be looking to win two in a row after his brilliant effort last week in Abu Dhabi, where he fought off the challenge of Richard Sterne and one of my picks Joost Luiten, to lift the trophy.

As usual, the field here is a very strong one, with a whole host of leading names from the European Tour.

Haotong Li is the defending champion, with other recent winners being: Sergio Garcia, Danny Willett, Rory Mcilroy, Stephen Gallacher (twice) and Rafa Cabrera Bello.

Key Stats & Facts

The Majlis Course is a far more technical test than last week in Abu Dhabi, dog legs feature on a number of holes, so good positioning off the tee, to leave you primed to attack these relatively flat and fast Bermuda greens is imperative.

Held on a 7,328 par 72 course, this event has seen both long and short hitters do well, but I’m looking at Strokes Gained Approach cement my choices this week.

One of the most talked about facts this week is that in both 2016 and 2017, the winner of the Dubai Desert Classic, went on the win The Masters at Augusta. Is this a trend, or a just a sign of good players playing well? Well, in Willett and Garcia we saw two great champions, so if you have an early fancy for The Masters, perhaps pick him here too!

Recent winning scores include -23, -19, -19 and -22.

Betting Odds from Bet365 – the top 10 in the market

  • Bryson DeChambeau 10/1
  • Tommy Fleetwood 14/1
  • Sergio Garcia 14/1
  • Louis Oosthuizen 14/1
  • Henrik Stenson 16/1
  • Rafa Cabrera Bello 25/1
  • Thomas Pieters 22/1
  • Tyrrell Hatton 22/1
  • Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1
  • Matt Wallace 28/1

The Verdict

With World number 5 Bryson DeChambeau heading the betting ahead of a host of top European Tour players, it is set to be a cracking  event, and one that I have a clear strategy for my picks.

Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1: It went completely under my radar that Fitzpatrick came 4th in an Asian Tour event in Singapore last week, so I was delighted to see his price at 25/1 with him already on my shortlist for this event.

Fitz clearly plays well on more technical tracks, demonstrated by his success last year at Wentworth, defending his European Masters title, finishing 2nd in Hong Kong as well as a T12 at the US Open.

After hitting 80% of greens in regulation last week, married with his credible 30th in Strokes Gained Approach last year, I think Fitzpatrick can build on his 5th place here in 2017, and have a great week.

Ian Poulter 40/1: After his nightmare journey and a lack of preparation last week, Poulter still managed to finish in a very solid 6th place in Abu Dhabi. So what can he do this week?

Well, having won again on the PGA Tour last year, secured a host of top 15 finishes and of course having an influential role in Europe’s convincing Ryder Cup win, it’s clear that Poulter is back to his best right now.

He was 16th in Strokes Gained Approach last season and is famed for a hot putter.  So having finished 6th and 15th here in his last two starts Poulter has both the game and form to contend here this week.

Alexander Bjork 66/1: I make no apology for being one of many to back Bjork this week. It seems everyone is on him, so at 66/1, I am hoping he can give us a good run for an each way return. Bjork led the Strokes Gained Approach stat last year, was 14th in Putting, and 22nd in Strokes Gained Tee to Green. It would seem this course will really suit his strengths.

He had a steady week last week in Abu Dhabi, finishing 32nd and has a number of other good finishes on desert courses.

Bjork won last years’ China Open, was 2nd in the British Masters and came 6th here last year. His pedigree is clearly rising, and I expect him to have a good week her in Dubai.

Once again, Matt Wallace 28/1 and Lucas Bjerregaard 66/1 came very close to selection, but you can’t pick them all!

Recommended Bets

  • 2pt Each Way – Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1 (Bet365 1/4 Places 1-5)
  • 1pt Each Way – Ian Poulter 40/1 (Bet365 1/4 Places 1-5)
  • 1pt Each Way – Alexander Bjork 66/1 (Bet365 1/4 Places 1-5)