2019 German Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 German Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Formula 1 specialist Ben Issatt (@BenIssatt) previews the upcoming German Grand Prix and provides us with his best bets ahead of Sunday’s race.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: -5.25pts

2019 German Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 14/7
  • Time: 14:10pm BST
  • Venue: Hockenheim, Germany
  • Channel: Sky Sports F1

Round 11 of the 2019 Formula 1 season sees another European classic as Hockenheim plays host to the German Grand Prix.

By the end of Sunday’s race, the midway point of the year will have come and gone and, just like the previous 10 races before it, the question is, who can stop Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes.

The reigning world champion returned to winning ways at Silverstone two weeks ago and will start from pole at Hockenheim after emerging on top in a dramatic qualifying on Saturday.

This after Ferrari, who had been setting the pace through practice, suffered a disastrous session with Sebastian Vettel starting last and Charles Leclerc only 10th after both being hit by mechanical issues.

Instead, it is Max Verstappen who’ll line up alongside Lewis on the front row for Red Bull, with Valtteri Bottas third in the second Mercedes.

What lies ahead in the race, however, is anyone’s guess as the weather is expected to turn on Sunday in Germany and rain could spice up the action around one of F1’s great circuits.

Hockenheim isn’t the track it used to be, when long straights would blast through the forest intersected by three chicanes.

But the modern layout is still a great challenge and has one of the best overtaking opportunities of the year at the Turn 6 hairpin as well as the still iconic stadium section.

Last year, famously saw Vettel crash out while leading as light rain hit the circuit, paving the way for Hamilton to clinch a very unlikely win having started 14th.

And with similar weather expected, that proves that literally anything could happen and that means some big bets could be on the table.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Hamilton has won the past two German GP’s at Hockenheim.
  • McLaren need just two points to match their points tally for all of 2018.
  • Leclerc is on a run of four consecutive podiums.
  • Last year’s German GP was the last race impacted by rain.

Betting Odds

  • Lewis Hamilton 11/17 (MarathonBet)
  • Max Verstappen 3/1 (Bet365)
  • Valtteri Bottas 8/1 (BetFair)
  • Charles Leclerc 10/1 (UniBet)
  • Sebastian Vettel 25/1 (Ladbrokes)

The Verdict

Should the predicted rain hit, a straight duel between Hamilton and Verstappen is the most likely outcome.

Usually, it would be the Mercedes driver who gets favoured as downforce has been the main strength of the car and that’s what you need on a wet track.

But Red Bull has made strong gains recently and are notoriously strong in the rain too, so really it is a toss-up as to who comes out on top.

A wet race also provides both opportunity and peril for the recovering Ferraris, with their car characteristics not normally suited to such conditions.

However, such has been their pace over the weekend, if the rain is only light, then Vettel should have more than enough pace to come back through the field and into a top-six finish.

As for Leclerc, a strong start could put him back in the podium fight, but more likely is a comeback through to around fourth or fifth depending on the pace of Pierre Gasly.

In the midfield, the battle is fierce with hundredths of a second covering multiple teams in qualifying.

The surprise midfield leader was Kimi Raikkonen in fifth for Alfa Romeo and his experience could prove vital if conditions are as tricky as expected.

In that scenario, a dark horse to watch out for is Racing Point as the team has brought an upgraded car to Hockenheim and have two drivers in Sergio Perez and Lance Stroll that have gone well in the wet before.

Renault may also rely on their strong line-up of Nico Hulkenberg and Daniel Ricciardo to use their nouse and experience to move into the points.

The only doubt is whether their car will be competitive enough to make that progress.

As a final side note, new markets from Ladbrokes and Coral allow punters to bet on which team will set the fastest lap and claim the additional point on offer.

The odds are pretty tasty with Mercedes at 15/8, Ferrari at 11/10 and Red Bull 9/4 and as an add-on, for Germany I believe Mercedes will take that honour as drivers will be pushing as much as possible if conditions are mixed.

Recommended Bets

  • 2.5pts: Sebastian Vettel – Top 6 Finish 4/6 (SkyBet)
  • 1pt: Lance Stroll – Top 10 Finish 11/4 (Bet365)
  • 1.5pts: Renault – Double Points Finish 3/1 (SkyBet)
  • 0.5pts: Mercedes – Team to set Fastest Lap 15/8 (Coral)