2019 KLM Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 KLM Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Rob Taylor (@RobTaylorSport) previews the KLM Open and provides us with his best bets for this week’s European Tour event in Holland.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +11.8pts

2019 KLM Open Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 12/09/19
  • Time: First tee off 7am (GMT)
  • Venue: The International, Amsterdam, Holland
  • Channel: Sky Sports Golf

It was a relief to get back to profitable ways last week, with 100/1 pick Guido Migliozzi finishing in the top 8 to secure a nice each way pay out. But for a bogey and a treble bogey on Saturday after an ill-timed tweet by me, wishing him luck, it could have been even better, but Paul Casey came through to pick up his 14th European Tour title.

Ahead of next week’s European Tour showpiece, with the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth, players convene at The International course for the first time, to compete in this week’s KLM Open. Patrick Reed stays in Europe to lead the field this week, with Thomas Pieters, Martin Kaymer and Joost Luiten also at the top of the market. Ashun Wu is the defending champion, but on a different course.

Recent winners of The KLM Open

  • 2018 – Ashun Wu
  • 2017 – Romain Wattel
  • 2016 – Joost Luiten
  • 2015 – Thomas Pieters
  • 2014 – Paul Casey
  • 2013 – Joost Luiten
  • 2012 – Peter Hanson

Key Stats & Facts

The International is being used for the first time at this event. Whilst details around the course set up remain minimal, the European Tour website has the track listed as a 6,966 yards par 73, with five par 5’s. Some players and commentators have likened the course to le Golf National in Paris, so players that have performed well at the Ryder Cup host and in the Open de France could hold an advantage.

With par 5s of such prominence, par 5 scoring is sure to be a decent indicator when whittling down a shortlist. I’ve also looked at strokes gained tee to green, and strokes gained around the green in making my selections.

However with very little to go on, these picks are always a little bit more speculative than most weeks, where data and stats are easier to unravel.

Betting Odds – The top 10 in the market

  • Patrick Reed 13/2
  • Thomas Pieters 12/1
  • Martin Kaymer 16/1
  • Joost Luiten 16/1
  • Sergio Garcia 16/1
  • Matt Wallace 16/1
  • Michael Lorenzo-Vera 16/1
  • Lee Westwood 18/1
  • Thomas Detry 20/1
  • Gavin Green 25/1

The Verdict

With a very cluttered top of market this week, I have made just two selections, choosing players with a significant pedigree who are both coming back to their best form. On a course that hasn’t been used for elite competition just yet, it’s hard to be too confident in how it will play, or which players it will suit. However I have picked two players that seem to fit the bill this week.

  • Martin Kaymer – 2pts Each Way, 16/1, Paddy Power

With comparisons drawn to Le Golf National, Kaymer hits the mark straight away, having won the Open de France back in 2009. The German has certainly got back some consistency this year, with a number of top 25 finishes, including; 3rd at Memorial, 8th at the British Masters, 9th at The Irish Open, 16th in the BMW International and 20th at the Scottish Open. Kaymer sits 4th from tee to green, 1st in par 5 scoring and 10th in approach, all of which point to a strong week here at The KLM Open. Kaymer won this event back in 2010 and finished 15th last season. In a very cluttered top of the market, Kaymer is one I fancy this week.

  • Jamie Donaldson – 1pt Each Way, 80/1, SkyBet

3 time European Tour player and Ryder Cup player in 2014 at Gleneagles, Donaldson is having some kind of resurgence to his career after a barren few years.

9th at The Scottish Open and 5th at the Scandinavian Invitation clearly show that he is comfortable with his game again. He has a good record at this event too, albeit at different locations, 4th in 2003 and 5th in 2009. At 80/1 the Welshman looks a racking each way bet to me with 8 places on offer.

Donaldson sits 25th in driving accuracy, 17th from tee to green, 24th in approach, 16th in par 5 scoring and 2nd around the green. Which to me are all the hallmarks of a contender in Amsterdam this week.

Recommended Bets

  • 2pts Each Way – Martin Kaymer @ 16/1 (Paddy Power)
  • 1pt Each Way – Jamie Donaldson @ 80/1 (Paddy Power)