2019 Spanish Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

2019 Spanish Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

Formula 1 specialist Ben Issatt(@BenIssatt) previews the upcoming Spanish Grand Prix and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s race.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +2.75pts

2019 Spanish Grand Prix Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 12/5
  • Time: 14:10pm BST
  • Venue: Barcelona, Spain
  • Channel: Sky Sports F1

Formula 1 is in Barcelona to begin the European stretch of the 2019 season at the Spanish Grand Prix this weekend.

This race has been a mainstay on the calendar since 1991 at the current venue and had only missed four years since 1967 switching between three venues in that time.

It is also a circuit which drivers know very well as pre-season testing takes place in the Catalan city every year, despite that accidents and collisions are quite common with a challenging layout where overtaking is tricky, to say the least.

Famous moments have been occurring at the Spanish GP even since it switched to Barcelona with Nigel Mansell and Ayrton Senna’s wheel-to-wheel drag race down the straight in 1991 one of the most iconic F1 images.

Five years later, Michael Schumacher scored not just his first Ferrari win but arguably one of his best wins of all-time in soaking wet conditions.

Pastor Maldonado notably won his only F1 race for Williams in 2012, while Max Verstappen capitalised on the two Mercedes’ colliding to win his first GP with Red Bull in 2016.

That year though was something of an anomaly as the Silver Arrows have won four of the past five years in Spain.

And once again the question this year is can anyone stop them after the reigning champions scored a record fourth straight 1-2 to begin the year two weeks ago in Baku.

Following qualifying on Saturday, however, it appears not as Valtteri Bottas stormed to a third straight pole position, finishing six-tenths clear of teammate Lewis Hamilton.

Ferrari appears to be further behind, while Red Bull may have become a match for the Italian team, with Max Verstappen putting himself fourth on the grid.

While it may appear to be a two-horse race on Sunday, there are still plenty of bets for you to consider so here are my top tips for the Spanish Grand Prix.

Key Stats & Facts

  • 19 of the previous 28 races in Barcelona have been won from pole.
  • Ferrari has not won in Spain since Fernando Alonso in 2013.
  • Mercedes can match their longest run of consecutive 1-2 finishes with 5 in Spain.
  • Vettel is currently on his longest winless streak since 2016 (12 races).

Betting Odds

  • Lewis Hamilton 6/4 (Betfair)
  • Valtteri Bottas 9/4 (Betfair)
  • Sebastian Vettel 10/1 (SkyBet
  • Charles Leclerc 20/1 (BetFred)
  • Max Verstappen 28/1 (SportBesa)

The Verdict

With Mercedes appearing so dominant, it is simply a case of which driver you choose to pick to win.

I’ve gone for Lewis Hamilton because there is a sense that he’s beginning to not enjoy the success Bottas has had so far and may just start upping his game.

Also, the start is crucial in Barcelona as a long run to the first corner offers the perfect opportunity for the Briton to get ahead into Turn 1.

Perhaps the only thing that could stop Mercedes would be a clash, but with memories of 2016 being revived, a stern warning will likely be issued from team boss Toto Wolff.

The next pick is Max Verstappen for a podium because Red Bull will be more competitive in the race and I do see a chance for the Dutchman to strategise his way ahead of Vettel.

Finally, Haas for double points appears to be a no-brainer as the team has dominated the midfield this weekend.

Of course, converting strong qualifying into a good race result has been a weakness too, but then, at the time of writing, Haas not to score double points was the same price.

Recommended Bets

  • 2.5pts – Lewis Hamilton to win 6/4 (Betfair)
  • 1.5pts – Max Verstappen Top 3 finish 2/1 (Betfair)
  • 2pts – Haas for Double Points finish Evens (SportingBet)