Barcelona v Valencia Betting Preview, Odds & Tips | 25/05/19

Barcelona v Valencia Copa del Rey Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

James Cormack (@jamesxyyx) previews Barcelona v Valencia and provides us with his best bets for this year’s Copa del Rey final by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.

  • 2019 Profit & Loss: +3.42pts

Barcelona v Valencia Copa del Rey Betting Preview, Odds & Tips

  • Date: 25/05/19
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Estadio Benito Villamarin
  • Channel: N/A

Barcelona will be looking to become the first team in history to win 5 Copa del Rey trophies on the bounce as they take on a Valencia side that appear in their first CdR final since 2008.

Despite Barca looking to secure yet another domestic double, I’m sure many will see this season as a failure for the Catalans after their second-half capitulation at Anfield in the semi-finals of the Champions League.

That result meant that the current Spanish superpower haven’t appeared in a CL final since the MSN days of 2015, a record that puts a slight stain on the reputation of the best footballer of all time, Lionel Messi. The manner of their defeat on Merseyside was also shocking, the Reds were without Roberto Firmino and Mo Salah and were instead relying on Xherdan Shaqiri and Divock Origi to produce the goods, with the latter certainly delivering.

Many called for Valverde’s head after the defeat, despite the Spaniard leading his side to potentially back-to-back domestic doubles and two La Liga titles at an absolute canter.

Nevertheless, exciting times are ahead for Barcelona fans. Another Dutch revolution is coming to the Camp Nou with Frenkie de Jong and potentially Matthijs de Ligt joining in the summer. De Jong proved himself in the knockout stages of the CL to be a midfielder that is not only fluent with the ball at his feet, but can also read the game exceptionally well and I think many underrated him defensively. De Ligt, like de Jong, is a generational talent, his ability to lead a side at such a young age is unprecedented and he’s one defender in the world at the moment that I think could fill the eventual void left by Gerard Pique at the heart of defence.

Their opponents, Valencia, have also had a pretty successful season. Victory at Valladolid was enough to pip Getafe to that final Champions League spot next season. They also had a decent run in the Europa League, up until they were soundly beaten by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Arsenal in the semi-finals. If they’re able to overcome a depleted Barca side on Saturday, then I’m sure Valencia fans will be thrilled with their side’s season.

This is a talented Valencia squad with goalscorers and creators coming from everywhere. Captain and centre-midfielder, Daniel Parejo, had 9 goals (mostly penalties) and 7 assists in La Liga this season whilst wingers; Carlos Soler, Goncalo Guedes and Santi Mina all had at least 8 G+A’s in La Liga.

I think this will be a very even contest when looking at some of the players that Barcelona may be without on Saturday.

Team News        

Luis Suarez will miss the final after having knee surgery days after Barcelona’s capitulation at Anfield. Doubts have also been raised over the fitness of Ousmane Dembele, Arturo Vidal, Arthur and Nelson Semedo, the latter suffering from a head injury sustained against Eibar last weekend.

Jasper Cillessen will retain his role as Valverde’s ‘cup goalkeeper’ over arguably the best keeper in the world.

Valencia centre-back, Ezequiel Garay, was the only real injury concern coming into the final, however, the Argentine returned to training  this week after recovering from a hamstring issue.

Potential Barcelona Starting XI: Cillessen, Roberto, Pique, Lenglet, Alba, Busuets, Rakitic, Alena, Messi, Malcolm, Coutinho.

Potential Valencia Starting XI: Domenech, Wass, Garay, Gabriel, Gaya, Soler, Kondogbia, Parejo, Guedes, Rodrigo, Gameiro.

Head To Head

  • Both games in La Liga this season ended in draws.
  • Barca haven’t lost any of their last 6 games against Valencia in this competition.

Key Stats & Facts

  • Road to the final: Barcelona- R32: Cultural Leonesa (5-1 agg), R16: Levante (4-2 agg), QF: Sevilla (6-3 agg), SF: Real Madrid (4-1 agg).
  • Valencia- R32: CD Ebro (3-1 agg), R16: Sporting Gijon (4-2 agg), QF: Getafe (3-2 agg), SF: Betis (3-2 agg).
  • Barcelona have scored at least twice in the previous four Copa del Rey finals.
  • Victory for Barca will result in their 31st Copa del Rey trophy.
  • Valencia have won the competition 7 times and this is their first final since 2008.

Betting Odds

  • Barcelona 4/6
  • Draw 13/4
  • Valencia 9/2

The Verdict

As this is a final and simply anything can happen, I’m not going to rely so much on previous stats when making my verdict. I think this game will be an entertaining one, injuries to Luis Suarez and members of Barca’s midfield gives Valencia a greater chance of causing an upset. Valencia come into the final with a relatively clean bill of health and I think they’ll cause problems on Saturday. In fact, I’m going to go against the grain and back them to lift the trophy, their first since 2008. As I’ve said, this Valencia can create from most parts of the pitch and they gave Barcelona two good games in La Liga this season, drawing 1-1 at the Mestalla and 2-2 at the Camp Nou. No side has ever lifted the Copa del Rey five times in a row and I’m backing Valencia to prevent Barca from making history. They’ll have a small matter of nullifying Lionel Messi, but, I’m not expecting Valencia to do this and win 1-0/2-0 I’m expecting goals in this one with Messi and Valencia’s wingers/strikers having absolute field days.

Recommended Bets

  • 1pt – Valencia to lift the trophy- 61/20 (Marathon Bet)
  • 1pt – Over 3.5 goals- 157/100 (Marathon Bet)