Anthony Olsson (@Ant_olsson93) previews Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos and provides us with his best bets for Sunday’s Week 7 clash by analysing team news, potential line-ups, head-to-head, key stats and facts and more.
- Profit & Loss: +26.15pts
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Betting Preview, Odds & Tips
- Date: 18/10/19
- Time: 1:20 am
- Venue: Mile High Stadium
- Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
The Denver Broncos host division rivals, Kansas City Chiefs, on Thursday Night Football looking to pick up their 3rd win in a row after losing their first 4 to start the season. The Chiefs come into the game having lost their last 2 games and sit in 1st place in the AFC West. Kansas are one of the most talked about teams in the league thanks to their dynamic Quarterback, Patrick Mahomes, who has over 2000 yards and 14 Touchdowns already this season.
The Chiefs have struggled with injuries this season and on a short week they could have a patched up team taking on a fired-up Broncos side at a raucous Mile High Stadium. The Chiefs will be without Wide Receiver, Sammy Watkins, and they have a few injuries on their Offensive Line. That O Line struggled against Indianapolis in week 5 and those struggles saw Mahomes pick up an ankle injury that seemed to affect him in Week 6 against Houston.
The Chiefs still have a lot of offensive weapons in, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, Damien Williams and LeSean McCoy who will all be capable of making a difference on Thursday Night, but they will need to hope their Offensive Line holds against a revitalised Broncos Defence. All eyes will be on Mahomes to see if he can carry his side on his back and pick up what would be a vital win.
The Broncos defence had gone their first 4 games without a takeaway before getting three against the Chargers. Last weekend, the Broncos came up with seven sacks, held the Titans to 204 total yards and produced the 19th shutout in franchise history in a 16-0 victory. Their Head Coach, Vic Fangio, is in his first Head Coach role after being a defensive assistant all his career, and it was a very surprising to see that they were struggling on defence. The Broncos will be chomping at the bit to have a crack at a weakened Chiefs offensive line.
The Broncos do have a big chance in this game if they can keep Mahomes off the field for long periods. The loss to the Texans saw the Chiefs posses the ball for just 20 minutes and 12 seconds, their biggest time of possession disparity at home in franchise history. They only had three drives in the second half and had the ball for just 78 seconds of the fourth quarter. If that happens again on Thursday it could be loss number 3 for the Chiefs.
Chiefs will be without OT, Eric Fisher and Wide Receiver, Sammy Watkins who have both been ruled out before Thursday’s game. They will also be without Kendall Fuller, Chris Jones and Andrew Wylie.
The Chiefs also have concerns over Bashaud Breeland who is questionable.
The Broncos have concerns over WR, Emmanuel Sanders, but it is expected that he will play. They will also be without Cornerback, Bryce Callahan who has been ruled out.
Key Stats & Facts
- Kansas City Chiefs average 28.7 points per game and have allowed an average of 24 points per game.
- Denver Broncos average 17.7 points per game and have allowed the same number of points per game to the opposition.
- Kansas City Chiefs 9/13
- Denver Broncos 29/20
This should be a great match up between two sides with plenty to prove. The Chiefs must stop a 2-game losing streak and they’ll need to sharpen up on offense and defence if they are to do that. Patrick Mahomes is an extremely good Quarterback and he makes some amazing plays, if he is comfortable on that injured ankle, I think he can continue to put up points.
I mentioned before that they’ll be up against a revitalized Denver Broncos defense and I think Mahomes will need to be quick with the ball on Thursday. I can see the Chiefs looking to dink and dunk their way down the field to combat that pass rush. I think LeSean McCoy will be able to benefit from this tactic and he looks to be the better receiver out of the Chief’s Running Backs and I think he could find is way to the Endzone. At 6/4 (Redzone) to score any time in the match I think that is a good angle.
I think the Denver offense could have a good night come Thursday and I think they’ll look to their Run game to get a foothold in the game. Their passing attack should also be able to move the ball down field and I think their Tight End, Noah Fant, will have plenty of opportunities. Kansas have allowed 46 receptions this season from 64 targets for 429 yards this season and rank as the 4th worst in that defending that position. Fant is 1/1 (Skybet) to have over 2.5 receptions on Thursday and I think that looks like good value for a player who has had at least 3 targets in all but 1 game this season.
In the total points market I like the look of over 49.5 points in the game and I think the history between these two sides would point towards that being a good angle. In the past 4 meetings between these two sides the lowest total points scored was 48. The last 3 games at Mile High Stadium has seen this bet come in with points to spare. I think with the Chiefs scoring an average of 28.7 points per game and allowing 24 points per game this is a good angle.
This should be a good game and if the Broncos get an upset win it will be a big shake up in the AFC West Division.